Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,922
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    VAHunty
    Newest Member
    VAHunty
    Joined

May 2025 Obs/Discussion


weatherwiz
 Share

Recommended Posts

10 hours ago, Torch Tiger said:

how much snow left on ground while it's constant lightning?  asking for a friend 

Sorry if there was confustion, I was commenting on the video from the midwest live cam.  Not here.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looks like a great dewy day today with some storms later. 

Current activity in PA has mainly dissipated and confidence in showers/thunderstorms this morning for our area has decreased.

Latest consensus across the CAMs is we are able to clear out enough to get MLCAPE values up as high as 1500 J/kg this afternoon across northeast NJ, the Lower Hudson Valley and interior southern CT

NBM was used of for T and Td today giving highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s for most and Tds reaching the mid to upper 60s.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, BrianW said:

Looks like a great dewy day today with some storms later. 

Current activity in PA has mainly dissipated and confidence in showers/thunderstorms this morning for our area has decreased.

Latest consensus across the CAMs is we are able to clear out enough to get MLCAPE values up as high as 1500 J/kg this afternoon across northeast NJ, the Lower Hudson Valley and interior southern CT

NBM was used of for T and Td today giving highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s for most and Tds reaching the mid to upper 60s.

All north 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Yeah this is more central/northern New England today. Best forcing too late for southern areas. Those mlvl lapse rates hang on a few more hours today and there could be some nasty storms up north.

not terrible.. I wish we had a better trigger though

nam4km_2025051706_013_42.62--72.14.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

not terrible.. I wish we had a better trigger though

nam4km_2025051706_013_42.62--72.14.png

From the temperature profile (which this is also apparent by how poor the 700-500 lapse rates are) convection would really struggle in that environment. The llvl turning is nice but not a ton of speed shear there in the lowest 3km or really through the column...winds aren't really increasing with height. Could see some gusty winds in that environment with the dewpoint depression/inverted-v look

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Keep it rain free and dewy . And then hopefully trend continues to push mid week storm south 

That storm isn’t going south. Good signal on the only models that matter. Euro, EPS, and euro AI. That trough is pretty far north as it rolls through.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That storm isn’t going south. Good signal on the only models that matter. Euro, EPS, and euro AI. That trough is pretty far north as it rolls through.

Well even it comes at least it’s gone for the long weekend .. so unfortunately Innedsnow will have to outside and do warm season things 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

47 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Well even it comes at least it’s gone for the long weekend .. so unfortunately Innedsnow will have to outside and do warm season things 

It doesn't look warm at all :lol: I'll be shocked if you hit 70

  • Confused 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Your going to have to put the speedo away for a bit and grab a Hoodie

ecmwf_T2m_neus_64.png

Not saying it’s going to be warm next week . But if we can keep pushing storm south and stay dry it’ll be fine. Next weekend will easily be near 70 + by Sunday or Monday . And then we really warm thereafter into Junorch .

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...