May 2025 Obs/Discussion

[kdxken]

8 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

0.98” here since midnight.  This morning was wet

. 59 in southborough and an even 3/4 at the woodyard.

[Damage In Tolland]

40 minutes ago, kdxken said:

And of course West. You know how those stupid models are always too far East. Western New York into The Great lakes is more likely.

Just use apps 

[Damage In Tolland]

17 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

.71 since the start of just today?

Since the whole thing started yesterday . Very meh and radar so far looks the same 

[kdxken]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Since the whole thing started yesterday . Very meh and radar so far looks the same 

Hate to say it but I believe you. Very localized so far.

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, kdxken said:

Hate to say it but I believe you. Very localized so far.

Not ruling out his flooding forecast , but so far radar does not look like it 

[ineedsnow]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Since the whole thing started yesterday . Very meh and radar so far looks the same 

No I'm talking about storm total from Friday.. including the storms we had on Saturday

[kdxken]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

No I'm talking about storm total from Friday.. including the storms we had on Saturday

I don't think they got that much down there. What do you have? I think Hippy is the winner so far (or loser). I'm sure the South Coast of Connecticut has a lot.

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

No I'm talking about storm total from Friday.. including the storms we had on Saturday

.29 on Saturday PM and .71 since yesterday . You’ve got 3-5” forecast. We’ll see 

[kdxken]

Big totals seem to be near 84 and 91. He's more 395.

[kdxken]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

.29 on Saturday PM and .71 since yesterday . You’ve got 3-5” forecast. We’ll see 

I think he said 2 to 3 for you just to be fair.

[ineedsnow]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

.29 on Saturday PM and .71 since yesterday . You’ve got 3-5” forecast. We’ll see 

I got 3 to 4 and have had that.. some localized area might see 5 or 6 it hasn't changed 

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, kdxken said:

I think he said 2 to 3 for you just to be fair.

3 to 4

[powderfreak]

4 minutes ago, kdxken said:

I don't think they got that much down there. What do you have? I think Hippy is the winner so far (or loser). I'm sure the South Coast of Connecticut has a lot.

Somewhere in SE CT should be pretty wet.

GON with like 1.5” since midnight?

I will say I expected some heavier rain rates in the higher DBZ cores.  But no one is doing like the 1/2 - 1” in an hour type stuff. 

[powderfreak]

2 minutes ago, kdxken said:

I think he said 2 to 3 for you just to be fair.

I think he was a bit higher… I had the 2-3 for DIT over the whole period (2” or more).

[kdxken]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

I think he was a bit higher… I had the 2-3 for DIT over the whole period (2” or more).

My mistake he said 3 to 4

[kdxken]

4 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Somewhere in SE CT should be pretty wet.

GON with like 1.5” since midnight?

I will say I expected some heavier rain rates in the higher DBZ cores.  But no one is doing like the 1/2 - 1” in an hour type stuff. 

Radar looks totally unimpressive for tonight at least early. Maybe tomorrow.

[WxWatcher007]

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

Hopefully this juices up more over the next few runs

Give me as much juice as possible. Today has been kind of a “bust” imby. Typical. 

That said, I’m still at 1.23” since Friday. 

14 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Somewhere in SE CT should be pretty wet.

GON with like 1.5” since midnight?

I will say I expected some heavier rain rates in the higher DBZ cores.  But no one is doing like the 1/2 - 1” in an hour type stuff. 

Some PWS in SE CT over 2” today.

[powderfreak]

12 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Radar looks totally unimpressive for tonight at least early. Maybe tomorrow.

Agreed.  We'll see.  The latest HRRR had this radar for 8pm, which doesn't look too far off.  Not sure what to make of it, ha.

I don't see on the radar the localized 1-1.5"+ amounts... need more convection that's not there.

But then drops this by 5am.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

Give me as much juice as possible. Today has been kind of a “bust” imby. Typical. 

That said, I’m still at 1.23” since Friday. 

Some PWS in SE CT over 2” today.

Damn I’m 2.5” today 3.8” since Friday night 

[WxWatcher007]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Damn I’m 2.5” today 3.8” since Friday night 

A paltry .22” here today. 

[ineedsnow]

4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

A paltry .22” here today. 

close to a inch here today

[ineedsnow]

not bad in Worcester

Heavy Rain Fog

48°F

9°C

Humidity	100%
Wind Speed	E 7 mph
Barometer	30.28 in (1025.8 mb)
Dewpoint	48°F (9°C)
Visibility	0.25 mi
Wind Chill	45°F (7°C)
Last update	5 May 7:54 pm EDT

[kdxken]

30 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

not bad in Worcester

Heavy Rain Fog

48°F

9°C

Humidity	100%
Wind Speed	E 7 mph
Barometer	30.28 in (1025.8 mb)
Dewpoint	48°F (9°C)
Visibility	0.25 mi
Wind Chill	45°F (7°C)
Last update	5 May 7:54 pm EDT

50 here . Glad I didn't install at least for the next week.

[Torch Tiger]

it's been fairly Stein locally. Rained much more in SE NH today tbh

[metagraphica]

Anti-Stein here:

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
744 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025

CTZ005>012-062345-
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-
Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-
744 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

2 to 4 inches of rainfall are likely across southern CT overnight,
particularly the higher elevations. Isolated instances of flash
flooding are possible.

[Hailstoned]

2 hours ago, kdxken said:

Undercut the lower limb at the v standing on the uphill side. Might get lucky and it rolls off with the first cut. I can't see the end of the upper limb but gravity always wins. If it doesn't come off , keep undercutting until you get to the wall. Cut shorter pieces as you get closer to the wall it's likely going to slide towards you. It's a lot easier rolling something off when it's on a wall then jammed in the dirt. 

Forgot to mention, If the upper limb is being supported by the lower limb (not hitting the ground) cut as much of it as you can going slowly cutting small pieces (Don't cut over shoulder height). The less weight the better.

Sounds like a plan. Appreciate the advice from a pro!