40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago On 9/20/2025 at 11:53 AM, weathafella said: I think this validates what I said-no longer east based but more basin wide and weak. Probably will be less of a factor in terms of predictability of the season this year. No; it invalidates it. The eastern zone of 1.2 began warm and the subsurface cold pool emerged there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago On 9/19/2025 at 1:51 PM, weatherwiz said: Also keep in mind 1.2 is the most volatile region so when assessing changes in SST structure you must factor in what the contributions are to that. Yes, I think Jerry is focusing on region 3...while 1.2 is volatile....this marked cooling in that zone isn't a function of volatility. If you have been paying attention, the subsurface cold pool emerged due to sustained trades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago Also, if you look at guidance, this has been expected and well forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago Now, maybe these trends reverse and guidance will be wrong, but that is not what we are seeing now. It's not becoming less east-based. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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