Central PA Spring 2025

[Voyager]

I know most of you will enjoy it, but I wonder if what we're seeing will be the general theme of the entire summer. 

In my highly uneducated theory, the pattern that developes in May seems to carry through most of the summer season.

Just as you guys like your winters to be winters, with cold and snow, I like my summers to be actual summers, with generally warm to hot days, broken up by occasional late day thunderstorms.

[mahantango#1]

37 minutes ago, Voyager said:

I know most of you will enjoy it, but I wonder if what we're seeing will be the general theme of the entire summer. 

In my highly uneducated theory, the pattern that developes in May seems to carry through most of the summer season.

Just as you guys like your winters to be winters, with cold and snow, I like my summers to be actual summers, with generally warm to hot days, broken up by occasional late day thunderstorms.

It looks like a good bit of rain headed our way... again.

[Voyager]

6 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

It looks like a good bit of rain headed our way... again.

Crazy. We went from too little to too much. 

[mahantango#1]

10 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Crazy. We went from too little to too much. 

I have 5.50 for the month, so far.

[Itstrainingtime]

21 hours ago, canderson said:

Hey @Itstrainingtime what’s up with your O’s? I didn’t follow the offseason much at all so don’t really know if they have a roster issue or just underperforming like Boston (well they too have a horrible bullpen roster and did nothing to help it blah). 

There are many reasons/weaknesses with this team - injuries to key rotation pieces including Bradish, Wells and Rodriguez. They let Burnes walk after 2024 without anyone near his caliber. The team has a lot of holes defensively. They are horrible at situational hitting. And the bullpen isn't great either.

They are a mess.

[Voyager]

23 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

I have 5.50 for the month, so far.

Somehow I hit the jackpot this month.

8.89"

[pawatch]

2 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Somehow I hit the jackpot this month.

8.89"

I’m at 6.18” for the month. 
59 degrees 

[canderson]

23 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

There are many reasons/weaknesses with this team - injuries to key rotation pieces including Bradish, Wells and Rodriguez. They let Burnes walk after 2024 without anyone near his caliber. The team has a lot of holes defensively. They are horrible at situational hitting. And the bullpen isn't great either.

They are a mess.

Ugh yea that blows - similar to Boston minus the Bregman and Crochet signings. 

[Mount Joy Snowman]

Low of 61 and .02” of rain from last evening’s showers. Perfect day on tap. 

[Blizzard of 93]

57 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Low of 61 and .02” of rain from last evening’s showers. Perfect day on tap. 

Glorious few days on tap before the cool down & showers return by Wednesday.

[ChescoWx]

Today through Tuesday look like great weather. Temperatures will be a couple of degrees below normal today with highs not too far from 70 degrees. We fall below normal with temperatures in the 60's on Tuesday and continue to fall into the unseasonably chilly low to mid 50's for high temperatures by Wednesday and Thursday. These readings will be at least 20 degrees below normal for late May! Rain chances will also increase by Wednesday morning with some spots picking up an inch of rain by Thursday night. We dry out a bit toward Memorial Day weekend but will remain chilly with temperatures likely to still be 10 degrees or so below normal.

[WmsptWx]

7 hours ago, Voyager said:

I know most of you will enjoy it, but I wonder if what we're seeing will be the general theme of the entire summer. 

In my highly uneducated theory, the pattern that developes in May seems to carry through most of the summer season.

Just as you guys like your winters to be winters, with cold and snow, I like my summers to be actual summers, with generally warm to hot days, broken up by occasional late day thunderstorms.

Just about every summer forecast I have seen has the eastern US cold. 

 

Edit: Maybe it changed? Last I saw AccuWeather had Northeast cooler than average and better than average but I just pulled TWC, AccuWeather, and NOAA and all appear above-average (1-2 degrees) temp wise with above average precip.

[Voyager]

2 hours ago, WmsptWx said:

Just about every summer forecast I have seen has the eastern US cold. 

 

Edit: Maybe it changed? Last I saw AccuWeather had Northeast cooler than average and better than average but I just pulled TWC, AccuWeather, and NOAA and all appear above-average (1-2 degrees) temp wise with above average precip.

I really hope my theory is wrong, and those cold outlooks are as well. I don't need 40+ 90 degree days, but I'd like it to predominantly be in the low to mid 80's.

[canderson]

29 minutes ago, Voyager said:

I really hope my theory is wrong, and those cold outlooks are as well. I don't need 40+ 90 degree days, but I'd like it to predominantly be in the low to mid 80's.

You’ll def get that. Even a cool summer will sit in the mid to upper 80s. For 3+ months. 

[Voyager]

Rain not withstanding, I just perused the models, and surface temps on Wednesday, per the Euro and the GFS, keep me in the upper 40's for a high temperature. Absurd...

[mahantango#1]

23 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Rain not withstanding, I just perused the models, and surface temps on Wednesday, per the Euro and the GFS, keep me in the upper 40's for a high temperature. Absurd...

Seen some places could get close to 2-3in. of rain and those cool temps to boot. I guess you'll have to go into hibernation like a bear until this pattern breaks.

[Voyager]

17 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

Seen some places could get close to 2-3in. of rain and those cool temps to boot. I guess you'll have to go into hibernation like a bear until this pattern breaks.

I saw an article about the polar vortex being "dislodged" and that it doesn't look to retreat back anytime soon. I know the talk was about Phoenix and the west having a hot and dry summer, so that correlates to us being cool and wet. Heard that the pattern might linger well into June.

[mahantango#1]

13 minutes ago, Voyager said:

I saw an article about the polar vortex being "dislodged" and that it doesn't look to retreat back anytime soon. I know the talk was about Phoenix and the west having a hot and dry summer, so that correlates to us being cool and wet. Heard that the pattern might linger well into June.

JB thinks around June 10th or so the rubberband could possibly snap. Then the heat will come along with those nighttime thunderstorms coming over the top of the ring of fire. So I guess we'll see what happens. Forecasts always change. Also JB is thinking early Tropical development in the Gulf in early June and possibly coming north along the east coast. I hope not.

[Voyager]

32 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

JB thinks around June 10th or so the rubberband could possibly snap. Then the heat will come along with those nighttime thunderstorms coming over the top of the ring of fire. So I guess we'll see what happens. Forecasts always change. Also JB is thinking early Tropical development in the Gulf in early June and possibly coming north along the east coast. I hope not.

After all this excess rain, the last thing we need is a tropical system riding the coast.

[mahantango#1]

2 minutes ago, Voyager said:

After all this excess rain, the last thing we need is a tropical system riding the coast.

Your 100% right on that!

[Mount Joy Snowman]

Low of 54 and yesterday was my first day without measurable precip since May 11th. 

[WmsptWx]

15 hours ago, Voyager said:

I really hope my theory is wrong, and those cold outlooks are as well. I don't need 40+ 90 degree days, but I'd like it to predominantly be in the low to mid 80's.

My experience in the last few years is that is generally is rainy and cold up until Memorial Day. Back in 2017 or 2018, I went to Ocean City on Memorial Day and it was 60 and dreary. I don't sweat a cooler Memorial Day as long as it's sunny. 

 

But when the water park and pool are open, I need it to be warm. I think we get there. Sounds like thunderstorms are going to be the triggering factor to any below normal temps and above average precip chances.

[Mount Joy Snowman]

2 hours ago, Voyager said:

Rain not withstanding, I just perused the models, and surface temps on Wednesday, per the Euro and the GFS, keep me in the upper 40's for a high temperature. Absurd...

FYI, min max records for MDT for Wed/Thu are 48/54, with both being set in the late 1800s.

[Superstorm]

1 hour ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

FYI, min max records for MDT for Wed/Thu are 48/54, with both being set in the late 1800s.

Got an outside chance at that 54F for Thursday.

[canderson]

I have had 4.8” rain this month. I was curious what MDT had - they’ve had 5.45”. 

[Mount Joy Snowman]

5 minutes ago, canderson said:

I have had 4.8” rain this month. I was curious what MDT had - they’ve had 5.45”. 

6.07" at KMJS.

[ChescoWx]

Great weather continues both today and tomorrow before we turn increasingly chilly and wet for much of the rest of the week. We will be only a few degrees below normal today with highs near 70 degrees....but by Wednesday and Thursday I suspect some of the higher ridge locales across the area may not escape the very chilly 40's to near 50 degrees. This is more than 20 degrees below normal for late May. A nice soaking rain will arrive by Wednesday morning and last into the weekend. The heaviest rain should be Wednesday into Thursday. Model output shows between 1.5" to as much as 3 inches of rain for some spots as any drought concerns have been erased over the last 2 months.