2025 Short Range Severe Weather Discussion

[CheeselandSkies]

Could be looking at some action next week in the northern/western parts of the sub.

[sbnwx85]

Day 5 slight risk for much of us.

[CheeselandSkies]

I'm actually looking more at Tuesday evening. 00Z NAM moves an organized convective system through a strongly unstable environment in E IA/S WI/N IL Tuesday afternoon with what looks like some potential for supercells along the southern flank of it. These setups are always finicky with timing/placement of subtle shortwaves and associated MCS's which are crucial to determining the existence/placement of any chase-worthy threat. Often can't pin them down until the evening before at the earliest.