2025-2026 ENSO

[michsnowfreak]

Merry Christmas all! No white Christmas here, though snow covered the ground the entire month through the 18th so there was plenty of white for holiday activities. The Christmas torch here was a fail, just annoyingly mild highs in the upper 30s yesterday & today. 

Ive never quite seen a forecast like the one tomorrow, with snow hitting nyc while colder climes get ice, rain, or mild temps. To say nyc has been overdue is an understatement so to the NYC observer, PLEASE measure 4 or whatever so we stop hearing how nyc used to be like the arctic and is now the tropics. 

[GaWx]

 The best looking H5 map for cold potential for the E US in Jan on today’s Euro Weeklies is this one with a nice +PNA, which is for 1/12-18 (similar to yesterday):

 

Just 3 days ago it still had an ugly -PNA: so there’s been a big change for an ens mean

 

Here’s today’s temp map for the same week (similar to yesterday): chilly but I fully expect this would turn much colder than this if the +PNA idea is right

 

Here’s what the same week’s map had just 3 days ago, which is consistent with that ugly H5 then: