mitchnick Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 hours ago, MJO812 said: This looks great. More members further south this run. Mean is livin' with the termites. I don't recall ever seeing such an extended, weak period of 10mb winds. Still decently below average into January and lower at that point than several days ago. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Lowest Nino 3.4 SSTs this fall (since Sept 1st) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 4 hours ago, MJO812 said: That doesnt mean this winter will not be good. Its only November 17. Jeez people are already jumping off ledges. In Michigan we get more winter than the east coast and we get it noticeably earlier. I would never be worried about a winter if I wasn't seeing lots of snow on models by the start of December. If anyone SERIOUSLY (and not trolling) is jumping off a ledge on the east coast in mid November...Just wow. Especially when so many have pointed out many good signs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 4 hours ago, MJO812 said: Weeklies are awesome if you like winter weather Per this EW run’s weekly 2m maps directly from the source, it remains a step down process from a mild E US start: Dec 1-7: mild Dec 8-14: cools some to slightly mild to normal Dec 15-21: cools to normal Dec 22-28: cold comes in around Christmas! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 4 hours ago, MJO812 said: This looks great. More members further south this run. This is by a good margin the weakest SPV on any run. If this verifies closely, this would be the weakest late Nov to early Dec SPV by a good margin since way back in 1987! We know that one month later there was a historic SE winter storm, which gave Atlanta 4” of sleet, very heavy snowfall in some other areas, and ZR down all of the way down here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5 minutes ago, GaWx said: Per this EW run’s weekly 2m maps directly from the source, it remains a step down process from a mild E US start: Dec 1-7: mild Dec 8-14: cools some to slightly mild to normal Dec 15-21: cools to normal Dec 22-28: cold comes in around Christmas! They are catching onto the time-lagged -NAO from November Stratosphere warming (late Dec -NAO). Still, that Dec 1-7 map is pretty significantly different from a few weeks ago.. the seasonal models don't fluctuate that much. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stadiumwave Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 hours ago, snowman19 said: Lowest Nino 3.4 SSTs this fall (since Sept 1st) Look at Region 1 & 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, stadiumwave said: Look at Region 1 & 2 Region 4. Looks basin-wide 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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