Mid to long range discussion- 2025

[wncsnow]

Poor Outer Banks gonna get raked again..

[GaWx]

14 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Poor Outer Banks gonna get raked again..

 Yeah, unfortunately just about all of the major operational model runs now have this nor’easter heavily influencing the wx from E NC through the Mid-Atlantic states by late this weekend. The main holdout, the  GFS, finally joined in with its 0Z run. Let’s see whether or not they maintain it on future runs. It’s looking bleak right now.

[BooneWX]

The EF-5 drought has been broken.


.

[NorthHillsWx]

3 hours ago, wncsnow said:

Poor Outer Banks gonna get raked again..

With the nonstop NE fetch and offshore hurricanes it’s been the worst case scenario unfortunately. That’s even without a direct tropical landfall in the area. There hasn’t been a single week going back to July without a significant NE blow I cannot ever remember another summer like this on the OBX

[GaWx]

 The Euro is still jumping around quite a bit with the track. The 12Z has it much further SSW with it never getting close to the Mid-Atlantic states:

 

From that position, it weakens as it moves WSW and then dies as the center reaches far S SC. This track is an outlier.