Mid to long range discussion- 2025

[olafminesaw]

48 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 The fall foliage here is headed to a significantly earlier peak than average. This is the earliest I can recall in many years! Recent years have peaked in the last week of Nov or Dec.

 Anyone else have a fall leaf report?

Just past peak in the triad, about a week early I think. The really weird thing is that my maple tree and oak trees are dropping about on the same schedule, usually the maple tree is a couple weeks earlier.

[yotaman]

3 hours ago, GaWx said:

 The fall foliage here is headed to a significantly earlier peak than average. This is the earliest I can recall in many years! Recent years have peaked in the last week of Nov or Dec.

 Anyone else have a fall leaf report?

My maples are dropping their leaves quickly while other trees are still holding onto the green. Seems like only maples right now.

[suzook]

12 hours ago, GaWx said:

 The fall foliage here is headed to a significantly earlier peak than average. This is the earliest I can recall in many years! Recent years have peaked in the last week of Nov or Dec.

 Anyone else have a fall leaf report?

My yard looked like this December 1st last year. We are 3 weeks ahead this year.

[suzook]

12 hours ago, GaWx said:

 The fall foliage here is headed to a significantly earlier peak than average. This is the earliest I can recall in many years! Recent years have peaked in the last week of Nov or Dec.

 Anyone else have a fall leaf report?

I do think the drought has accelerated the leaf change in addition to the cooler fall so far. My Bermuda grass has gone dormant earlier too

[eyewall]

Here in Raleigh we kind of have a double peak with different trees. We just had the peak of the first wave I think:







 

[ncjoaquin]

52 minutes ago, eyewall said:

Here in Raleigh we kind of have a double peak with different trees. We just had the peak of the first wave I think:







 

Great pictures! 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

1 hour ago, eyewall said:

Here in Raleigh we kind of have a double peak with different trees. We just had the peak of the first wave I think:







 

Phenomenal 

[GaWx]

Here are the progs for Nov 11th lows from the latest ICON/CMC/Euro/GFS/UKMET

1. GA
-SAV: 29/31/34/34/35
-NE ATL (Chamblee): 25/23/29/34/32

2. SC
-GSP: 23/21/29/27/29
-CAE: 28/32/33/32/34

3. NC
-CLT: 25/30/31/29/32
-RDU: 28/34/32/32/35

—————————
Average for each model for the 6 cities:

ICON: 26.3
CMC: 28.5
Euro: 31.3
GFS: 31.3
UKMET: 32.6

Any guesses for:
1. Which model for the 6 cities averaged out will do best?

2. Which model for the 6 cities averaged out will do worst?
———————

My guesses:
1. Best: Euro/GFS (tie)
2. Worst: ICON

Edit: I’m guessing that the average low for these 6 cities will be 30.5F.

[eyewall]

Thank you all. I took some more this morning as it is really popping in a few other nearby places in town too.

[WinstonSalemArlington]

I’ll take it in early November

[eyewall]

Today clearly shows we are just about at peak around here. There may be a secondary peak as additional trees turn which I have seen here before but this is some of the better color we have had in a few years.

[olafminesaw]

Euro back to some light snow Monday night

[WinstonSalemArlington]

European weekly upper level patterns favor colder than normal 12/5, 12/12, and 12/19 EIA weeks for U.S.

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[WinstonSalemArlington]