2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

[donsutherland1]

For reference, model skill scores:

Global Models:

Ensembles:

Hurricane Models:

 

 

 

[Roger Smith]

I was thinking about 1998 and the only thing about that tropical season that I recall is Mitch at the end of the season. Now we're looking at a pretty uneventful season in general ending with Melissa which could become a high impact storm for Jamaica, eastern Cuba and or Haiti. 

[NorthHillsWx]

If forecasts hold, Melissa all but guarantees we will finish the season above average ACE. This legitimately did not seem possible going into the third week of September 

[GaWx]

1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said:

If forecasts hold, Melissa all but guarantees we will finish the season above average ACE. This legitimately did not seem possible going into the third week of September 

There was only 39 ACE through Sept 16th. There has been 67 ACE Sept 17th through 12Z today with likely 20+ more to come from Melissa, alone. This heavy late season vs earlier has been more common in recent years, especially during La Niña.