weatherwiz Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 what time do u think it will start in ct Probably by mid morning there should be some light stuff working into the region...might be virga at first but atmosphere becomes saturated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shadow Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Probably by mid morning there should be some light stuff working into the region...might be virga at first but atmosphere becomes saturated. thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 That Long-term AFD by BOX is the BEST most exciting AFD I have read since Feb of 2006...just incredible. I saved it. Yeah, it's excellent. They say 15:1 ratios up here, but I bet a lot of that depends on how much wind we get. If that ends up our ratio, we might push 20''. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Thanks, Andy! Given the ENSO state and strength, I'm sure that you'll be rejoicing, while I hope for a decent front ender before pining in no time. You've waited awhile - getting close to sit back and let it happen time. peace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Just for fun, Canaan, CT GFS BUFKIT totals: http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/cobb_gfs/gfs3_can.dat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 thank you You're welcome. Yeah, it's excellent. They say 15:1 ratios up here, but I bet a lot of that depends on how much wind we get. If that ends up our ratio, we might push 20''. I would certainly take a little less in the way of ratios to see some intense winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Just for fun, Canaan, CT GFS BUFKIT totals: http://www.meteor.ia...fs/gfs3_can.dat Woah, I like the layout of that. What's the link to get data? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I would certainly take a little less in the way of ratios to see some intense winds. I'd rather 15:1 ratios than just eeking out blizzard criteria. 50+ mph though and I'd agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Storm Total Snow Forecast Note: The map below displays the expected average accumulation. Some locations will receive less snow, while others will receive more. Graphic last modified: Saturday, 25th December, 2010 @ 11:18PM WWUS41 KBOX 260401WSWBOX My House is LITTERALLY still under the jackpot dot in North Cumberland, RI. Go Baby Go! Go Baby Go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I'd rather 15:1 ratios than just eeking out blizzard criteria. 50+ mph though and I'd agree. That's what I'm talking about...50 mph +....and thunder too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Not being able to see the GGEM/RGEM in between hours blows. I'd still assume they're at least 35mm (1.35'') for most of us though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Woah, I like the layout of that. What's the link to get data? http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/index.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Hopefully there is someone still hanging around who has the Euro on WSI or SV...AccuWx only updates the GFS and NAM live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Hopefully there is someone still hanging around who has the Euro on WSI or SV...AccuWx only updates the GFS and NAM live. There really isn't any point to stay up for the euro... we know we are going to get anywhere from 10-18 with this storm. The only thing that can eff us is banding and dry slots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shadow Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 well now its time to just sit and look out the window what we will be getting here or their for snow is all up to the snow gods now have fun everybody and be safe good night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 There really isn't any point to stay up for the euro... we know we are going to get anywhere from 10-18 with this storm. The only thing that can eff us is banding and dry slots. And I want to see what the Euro does with both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Also interested to see what the Hi-res NMM and ARW do tonight...they might be able to give us a clue as to who gets the best banding. Or they might blow, it's hard to say with them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2010 Author Share Posted December 26, 2010 Hopefully there is someone still hanging around who has the Euro on WSI or SV...AccuWx only updates the GFS and NAM live. I gottcha. This is an amazing system.....snow right down to the ocean in the se....into my old stomping grounds of Camp Lejune and Paris Island.....amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Well ... if things work out according to plan from PHI to BOS... so much for 'no KU can happen during La Nina' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Not being able to see the GGEM/RGEM in between hours blows. I'd still assume they're at least 35mm (1.35'') for most of us though. What do you mean? The Enviro Canada site is 12hr QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 what are your guys' thoughts for the whole mixinng issue in SNE? sorry i've been out tonight haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 What do you mean? The Enviro Canada site is 12hr QPF. Oh yeah, you're right. Underwhelming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2010 Author Share Posted December 26, 2010 Oh yeah, you're right. Underwhelming. Who cares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Who cares. I'm not broken up over it lol, I was just surprised it was so low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 what are your guys' thoughts for the whole mixinng issue in SNE? sorry i've been out tonight haha We have nothing to worry about in CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2010 Author Share Posted December 26, 2010 NAM has 1.7" IMBY.....about 20" of snow: http://68.226.77.253...km/NAM_KBED.txt GFS in with 1.59"; I 'll ride that conscensus: http://68.226.77.253/text/1DegGFS/GFS_KBED.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Euro is running now. It really doesn't matter much for most of us, but it may provide a clue as to if the GFS/GEFS is a bit too far west...which could matter for far SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2010 Author Share Posted December 26, 2010 I'm not broken up over it lol, I was just surprised it was so low. The GEM is hardly useful in the medium range, nevermind now.....it has definitely handled this sytem the worst; deplorable. The RGEM is often a bit too far east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 GFS in with 1.59"; I 'll ride that conscensus: http://68.226.77.253...FS/GFS_KBED.txt 1.39'' here...NAM was probably around 1.6''. 16''+ with 12:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Appears to be a 30 HR+ event on the doorstep and starting to knock very loudly, unto itself is impressive. Throw in Thundersnow with sf rates at min 3" an hour. Hurricane force gusts. Without question not your run-of-the-mill Nor'easters. Coastal flooding will be extensive due to surge. I think this will exceed model output in every aspect. My back is already killing me (spasms) One for the ages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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