anotherman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 You sure are, I'm sorry for the oversight. Haha, no worries. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 My point and click is calling for 2-4 inches tonight. HWO posted. I suspect CTP will probably hoist advisories across the board at 2:00. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: I appreciate your dedicated effort to extend the hash just far enough east to include me. Haha I didn’t know everyone was putting their snow maps out while I was working on my post. The snow map game is strong in here today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: So you like the two band idea as well? The northern band isn't huge 20-30 miles wide. That's going to be the hard one to pinpoint Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Yes, there is usually a second snow max, an often its the better max, further north where the best moisture transport banks up against the arctic boundary. Higher ratios help here too. But honestly pinning that down is very difficult. Guidance has it a little south of where I placed it but I shifted both max zones north a little, just a gut call. I feel very confident in the 2-5 call but where within there are the 4-8 max zones is more guesswork in all honesty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 15 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Haha I didn’t know everyone was putting their snow maps out while I was working on my post. The snow map game is strong in here today. It seemed like a timed and agreed upon effort the way they flew in. They are certainly more gracious in amounts down here than most modeling right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 All of these snow maps by pros & great posters are bringing a tear to my eye over my lunch break! Thanks all! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: 'ole great-grandpa Blizz showing the way for future generations... Yes, good old great great Grandpa Bob, Lol! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 24 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: My map for this. Tried to make a compromise in blends but perhaps on the bolder side. I anticipate CTP needing another tier or so of advisories in the central and upping at least the western half of the watches to warnings. 3-5” amounts should be common in the main swath. Big question is in or near the area I hashed. I was going to get cute and try to highlight two distinct areas but I’d probably need a bigger map. Any rate I feel the hashed area has the best chance to see an embedded swath of 5-6”+ and/or local totals of 6+. Best 700mb forcing is in there coupled with 700mb temps in the low minus teens. The fluff bomb potential is high with that. The southern Laurels will have that plus the benefit of some extra upslope forcing and colder surface temps.. hence the distinct 5-8” I anticipate there. The other snowfall max is probably somewhere in the northern Mid-Atl (northern VA/northern MD, where better 850mb forcing will be. That won’t yield the bigger ratios like the 700mb dynamics that should be residing in southern PA. Thanks for getting Marysville & MDT into your dashed line jackpot zone! You have always been one of my favorites…Lol! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: All of these snow maps by pros & great posters are bringing a tear to my eye over my lunch break! Thanks all! Going to be a long, cold night for Mrs. Blizz... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Not sure I have seen this posted yet 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 54 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Gem takes next weekend thru central PA, so it rains. Poenty of time. Canadian actually snows on a good chunk of CTP outside of the LSV later next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Canadian actually snows on a good chunk of CTP outside of the LSV later next week. WB > Pivotal when it comes to snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 CTP must be waiting on the Euro to hoist their Warnings & Advisories… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Anybody else see Flipper on this map? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Anybody else see Flipper on this map? It could be something else covering something else. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Anybody else see Flipper on this map?My daughter and I doSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, Jns2183 said: My daughter and I do Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk I think I'll have tuna for lunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 All models considered, I still like the Nws forecast of 3-5" here. I've yet to hit the high end of any of the snowfall forecasts this year, so 3-4" wouldn't shock me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Don't know if anyone noticed, but 12z Gfs was NOT void of chances over the next 2 weeks. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I think I'll have tuna for lunch.Sorry, Charlie.Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 12z Euro Kuchera 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 From our great friend DT: last call 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 46 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: My point and click is calling for 2-4 inches tonight. HWO posted. I suspect CTP will probably hoist advisories across the board at 2:00. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk This is the kind of event our area overachieves on if the good precip and forcing are north enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 11 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: From our great friend DT: last call Looks pretty reasonable. I wonder why his northern fringe goes to infinity at the PA/NY border. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Hot off the press: Winter Storm Warnings 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 12 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Looks pretty reasonable. I wonder why his northern fringe goes to infinity at the PA/NY border. He might have to change that last call again with the new Winter Storm Warning that was just issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 5 minutes ago, AccuChris said: Hot off the press: Winter Storm Warnings Wow, I never saw this coming…! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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