Rjay Posted October 31, 2023 Share Posted October 31, 2023 3 hours ago, lee59 said: 45 here and down a few degrees in the past few hours. Freeze watch up right at the coast from Maryland to New Jersey but nothing north of there. Lol yea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 31, 2023 Share Posted October 31, 2023 wore the coat out this morning and it felt good.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted October 31, 2023 Share Posted October 31, 2023 1 hour ago, Rjay said: Lol yea. Is it possible they already had a killing frost? Then again, it seems warmer the farther north you go sometimes, lately? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 31, 2023 Share Posted October 31, 2023 6 minutes ago, Dark Star said: Is it possible they already had a killing frost? Then again, it seems warmer the farther north you go sometimes, lately? Upton will probably wait until later today to issue for their zones since it's not til Thursday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 31, 2023 Share Posted October 31, 2023 3 hours ago, Dark Star said: Is it possible they already had a killing frost? Then again, it seems warmer the farther north you go sometimes, lately? Urban heat island is much more pronounced, in the NY metro than further south which is the catalyst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 31, 2023 Share Posted October 31, 2023 Probably tomorrow night a freeze watch will be issued for Suffolk and not Nassau, even though the rural areas of Nassau will be just as cold as Suffolk. This happens every year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 31, 2023 Share Posted October 31, 2023 unusual I’m under the freeze watch… but not tonight. tomorrow night. Seems like a lot of notice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 31, 2023 Share Posted October 31, 2023 A warm October is concluding with chilly readings. In New York City,Ocrober had a mean temperature of 60.5°. That was 2.6° warmer than normal. Overnight, an offshore storm will bring some showers and periods of light rain to the region. November will begin on a cold note. Areas outside of New York City and Philadelphia will see widespread freezes tomorrow night. The chill will moderate by the weekend, but temperatures could average below normal through the first 10-14 days of November. October is solidly on track to finish as a warmer than normal month. Since 1950, only a single El Niño event with a monthly ENSO R3.4 anomaly of +1.00°C or above was warmer than normal in New York City during October: 2015 (sample size: 6). If one lowers the ENSO R3.4 anomaly to +0.75°C or above, only two 2/12 (17%) of El Niño cases saw a warmer than normal October in New York City: 1963 and 2015. Both years saw warm Octobers followed by warm Novembers. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.6°C for the week centered around October 25. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.47°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.57°C. El Niño conditions will likely continue to strengthen into the fall with the current East-based event transitioning to a basinwide El Niño for the upcoming winter. That transition is currently underway. The SOI was +7.67 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.531 today. On October 28 the MJO was in Phase 8 at an amplitude of 1.083 (RMM). The October 27-adjusted amplitude was 1.326 (RMM). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 10/31 EWR: 54 PHL: 53 TEB: 52 LGA: 52 TTN: 52 ACY: 52 New Bnswck: 51 BLM: 51 NYC: 51 JFK: 51 ISP: 47 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 47F here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted November 1, 2023 Author Share Posted November 1, 2023 On 9/24/2023 at 9:15 AM, wdrag said: Added the CPC October outlook as prepared Thursday Sept 21. Added ACIS Oct summary of above/below temp (degrees F) and departure from normal precip (inches). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted November 1, 2023 Author Share Posted November 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, wdrag said: Added ACIS Oct summary of above/below temp (degrees F) and departure from normal precip (inches). You be the judge, In our NYC subforum, temps worked out, but precip not. Nationally, your call... Looks to me like a mixed bag of results. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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