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February Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowmagnet
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11 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Someone should start a thread for the late week slop event.

For those who buy into superstition and mojo and whatnot, it could only help at this point lol. It would also declutter this thread.

@WxUSAF

 

3 minutes ago, CAPE said:

That storm is happening. Locked in. It's largely just a matter of where the sleet/ice vs the rain is, and if there is any snow on the front end.

There is only one thing locked in about that storm, a certain someone we all know will be in the top 3 in total posts in that thread

  • Haha 2
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19 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

It's actually pretty close to a good solution, upstairs, for the Cape storm vs 6z

As usual it comes down to the subtle interactions between the southern wave and the NS shortwave(s) dropping in downstream of the amplifying ridge. ICON got it done much like the Euro did, but even simpler. GFS is messier in the NS and timing is off so it just kicks it. We just cant know, and hopefully the ensembles will shed some light and not just play follow the leader.

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