Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[CCHurricane]

8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Rock and roll kuchie ku

What do we have to collectively pay to just lock this in. Can we all agree to this?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

We take! That’s glorious for everyone. 

It’s not that great as koochie suggests and any more e/ne slides, and it’s curtains for a huge event for wct. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That would be a deffy from maybe Kevin or just east to Ray. 

Reverse regression, Methuen due.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s not that great as koochie suggests and any more e/ne slides, and it’s curtains for a huge event for wct. 

I will bet you $1000 the deformation sets up west of where guidance has it 12-24 hours out.

[Henry's Weather]

Just now, CCHurricane said:

What do we have to collectively pay to just lock this in. Can we all agree to this?

Just that small crop might be enough for a top 7 or 8 NESIS event, excluding the warning amts for Philly and such areas

[JoeSnowBOS]

Eastern New England seems to be the lock it in area.  Central /western areas still uncertain - tomorrow clarity comes

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s not that great as koochie suggests and any more e/ne slides, and it’s curtains for a huge event for wct. 

Drunk? Don't you become a qpf queen now

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I will bet you $1000 the deformation sets up west of where guidance has it 12-24 hours out.

At 24hrs out, We may be so far west it still won’t reach us lol. 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I will bet you $1000 the deformation sets up west of where guidance has it 12-24 hours out.

Qpf queens gonna queen

[40/70 Benchmark]

11 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Literally tracks directly north from BM between hr 90-96 as it gets captured

Hopefully we don't trend that anymore, but I expect things to escape a bit more...hopefully negated by guidance not being west enough with deformation.

[wxsniss]

4 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said:

Can someone send some info on 10m winds?

Assuming duration, we will readily make blizzard criteria:

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Qpf queens gonna queen

If this was go time, I would fully expect the deformation zone to be in CTRV instead of over me, as modeled.

[Henry's Weather]

Just now, wxsniss said:

Assuming duration, we will readily make blizzard criteria:

 

Man, I wanna check Thursday midday and see red plastered all the way to Worcestor on the BOX point and click

[40/70 Benchmark]

I think SW is pretty well sampled now....maybe a bit better 12z tmw?

[dmcginvt]

I concede, this is your storm.  ^*#&@$&@$.  See you in 24 hours, my only hope is a magic trend west.  It's not impossible.  I just hating being the cold high and getting nada,

[Henry's Weather]

2 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said:

Man, I wanna check Thursday midday and see red plastered all the way to Worcestor on the BOX point and click

I can envision that sea of crimson after the 4 pm update... sweet dreams tonight

[RobertSul]

20 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Rock and roll kuchie ku

Look at that 42” bullseye right in my hometown of Southborough.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I would still be very hopeful from CTRV points east, and still in the game all the way back to NY border.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think SW is pretty well sampled now....maybe a bit better 12z tmw?

Still in an Area that’s not the best coverage for a day or so.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Drunk? Don't you become a qpf queen now

Great event as depicted in the west but not spectacular. My point/thought is, it’s not done ticking east and we have a much smaller window then you guys. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

I would go BLIZZ Watch from Kevin to ORH to ASH

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Still in an Area that’s not the best coverage for a day or so.

Leave it to scooter to come up with the verbal dutch oven-

[CoastalWx]

That was a good event as Ray said verbatim. That would be a sweet band well west.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Leave it to scooter to come up with the verbal dutch oven-

I didn’t mean anything bad lol.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I didn’t mean anything bad lol.

I know.

Another consideration.....occlusion is now delayed, so this won't be as banded as prior runs.......maybe the subby holes are 18" now, instead of 12". That will be a wall of water plowing into deform zone.

[Henry's Weather]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I would go BLIZZ Watch from Kevin to ORH to ASH

In that electric Seahawks 12th man green. I remember checking the 4 PM update for Feb 6th, 2013 as a wee weenie, and since I'd never seen a blizzard watch before, I was worried it was a flood watch and that the track had dramatically shifted west! 4th grade me was very excited for his first two foot event as a sentient being

[wxsniss]

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Hopefully we don't trend that anymore, but I expect things to escape a bit more...hopefully negated by guidance not being west enough with deformation.

Yeah I'm pretty confident the verbatim qpf maps are not west enough with deformation, UK being the most egregious

[The 4 Seasons]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I would go BLIZZ Watch from Kevin to ORH to ASH

Well probably see watches up wed night, thu am..unfortunately there is no such thing as a blizzard watch anymore though.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Man, that run is 3' in the CTRV....IDC what anyone says.

[weathafella]

4 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said:

In that electric Seahawks 12th man green. I remember checking the 4 PM update for Feb 6th, 2013 as a wee weenie, and since I'd never seen a blizzard watch before, I was worried it was a flood watch and that the track had dramatically shifted west! 4th grade me was very excited for his first two foot event as a sentient being

Wait-you were in 4th grade in 2013?   You come off much more mature than expected if that’s true!   That makes you about 18 now?