Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[Typhoon Tip]

14 minutes ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

A majority of members are west of the mean.

Using this view to ensure all members are visible.

Heh... none of those members are over land though ...that I can tell in that depiction there anyway-

That right there implies some kind of eccentrically intense lateral thermal gradient between Ocean modulated air...  A-priori, that typically aligns on from Marblehead to Cambridge to NE RI ...something like that.  36 F wet snow/cat-paw vacillation east, 22-27F within 2 or 4 miles W of the sharp boundary is white miasma

[CT Valley Dryslot]

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Probably not, but the hook is always a worry on these southern streamers. But Tip is also right that there is a limit to this...the trough axis is pretty far east already when this starts rapidly gaining latitude.

I'm not worried. I average 65" for a reason....no way I end up totally porked again. Totally anecdotal, but just a hunch. 

[PhineasC]

Just now, CT Valley Dryslot said:

Very healthy. Good precip pretty far west and north. Definitely can see that this takes a more northerly trajectory versus the usual ENE OTS look. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Heh... none of those members are over land though ...that I can tell in that depiction there anyway-

That right there implies some kind of eccentrically intense later thermal gradient between Ocean modulated air...  A-priori, that typically aligns on from Marblehead to Cambridge to NE RI ...something like that.  36 F wet snow/cat-paw vacillation east, 22-27F within 2 or 4 miles W of the sharp boundary is white miasma

Oh man, gonna get my coastal front naked twister this one. Phineas and WOR can have deformation. I don't need a jackpot.

[JC-CT]

10 minutes ago, dendrite said:

The chickens are more agitated than normal. I think they sense something.

Please refer to us as people.

[NotSureWeather]

55 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

let's play where's the coastal front

I quit if this happens.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm not worried. I average 65" for a reason....no way I end up totally porked again. Totally anecdotal, but just a hunch. 

Pretty bold call at day 5, we salute you.

Im not nearly as confident in a snowy solution really anywhere right now, given how these have gone so far this year 

 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Oh man, gonna get my coastal front naked twister this one. Phineas and WOR can have deformation. I don't need a jackpot.

I want to be near the CF in this one because it’s going to be so defined. Someone will get obliterated just west of it. 

[dryslot]

11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

The chickens are more agitated than normal. I think they sense something.

A roof collapse?

[CoastalWx]

What a hellacious delineation on the GFS between have and have nots lol.

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I want to be near the CF in this one because it’s going to be so defined. Someone will get obliterated just west of it. 

That may be NE CT to ORH to NW RI

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Pretty bold call at day 5, we salute you.

Im not nearly as confident in a snowy solution really anywhere right now, given how these have gone so far this year 

 

I would not be confident if I were you. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

That may be NE CT to ORH to NW RI

East of ORH

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

What a hellacious delineation on the GFS between have and have nots lol.

Why do you live is SE anus Massachusetts ?  

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

What a hellacious delineation on the GFS between have and have nots lol.

I can't even lie and tell you I hate to see it

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I want to be near the CF in this one because it’s going to be so defined. Someone will get obliterated just west of it. 

Up here i usually sit just NW of it as long as i don't get a 20mi+ push inland.

[PhineasC]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

What a hellacious delineation on the GFS between have and have nots lol.

But the reservoirs, lakes, and streams need it?

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I want to be near the CF in this one because it’s going to be so defined. Someone will get obliterated just west of it. 

Watch it set up in Wilmington and I get subsidence lol

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

East of ORH

GFS tickles me with it, would probably be hard to get it as far north as the tolland mountain peaks

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Why do you live is SE anus Massachusetts ?  

I'm 10 miles from BOS. Tickling the anus.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I would not be confident if I were you. 

Congrats Tuna?

[dryslot]

Looking at the rest of the GFS there is fun times to be had thru that whole run.

[JC-CT]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I'm 10 miles from BOS. Tickling the anus.

so that's why you taint

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, JC-CT said:

GFS tickles me with it, would probably be hard to get it as far north as the tolland mountain peaks

GFS is too corse to resolve that...it may show it just east of ORH, but it will be too far west

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, PhineasC said:

But the reservoirs, lakes, and streams need it?

[JC-CT]

Just now, dryslot said:

Looking at the rest of the GFS there is fun times to be had thru that whole run.

it keeps trying to give us february ice storms

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

GFS is too corse to resolve that...it may show it just east of ORH, but it will be too far west

The GFS would probably pin that near coast-128ish  somewhere verbatim. But obviously depends on track. 

[JC-CT]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

GFS is too corse to resolve that...it may show it just east of ORH, but it will be too far west

yeah i don't recall ever having coastal front problems tbh...probably because if the winds were ever coming from the south, it's too far west anyway

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

it keeps trying to give us february ice storms

We all want that though