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January 20-22 “bring the mojo” winter storm threat


lilj4425
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1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said:

Folks, not saying it will happen, but we aren't out of this yet... I believe the 18z nam was a bad run... and hopefully the Euro is the beginning of better trends... yall know how things work around here, you can't get a good consensus until within 24-36 hrs...

The NAM has support from GFS (trending drier) and Futurecast which is based on the Barron model.

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3 minutes ago, senc30 said:

Hope you're wrong because I don't want .4 of ice personally. Hard to believe that much ice falls that close to the coast. 

That’s not eyewalls map, another met made it. Signature in bottom right. 
 

That’s the most realistic solution. And even if the bigger totals of earlier runs come close to verifying, putting places like CLT in the 1-2” covers all a met needs to. If they get 4” great! If Mets say 4” and CLT gets 1” it’s the biggest bust in the 21st century….

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1 minute ago, GunBlade said:

That’s not eyewalls map, another met made it. Signature in bottom right. 
 

That’s the most realistic solution. And even if the bigger totals of earlier runs come close to verifying, putting places like CLT in the 1-2” covers all a met needs to. If they get 4” great! If Mets say 4” and CLT gets 1” it’s the biggest bust in the 21st century….

That is my real name :)

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1 minute ago, GunBlade said:

That’s not eyewalls map, another met made it. Signature in bottom right. 
 

That’s the most realistic solution. And even if the bigger totals of earlier runs come close to verifying, putting places like CLT in the 1-2” covers all a met needs to. If they get 4” great! If Mets say 4” and CLT gets 1” it’s the biggest bust in the 21st century….

This has nothing to do with me hoping to not see .4 in ice imby. 

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3 minutes ago, ncskywarn said:

Even is the models trend back with more QPF do you really think that Western Wake County will only be in the 1-2 inch range?

Right now this is a distinct possibility yes.

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2 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

It’s time for you to sacrifice to the gods and take the rain for Wake’s snow. As it has been said, let it be. Amen.

Give me all the rain. Just keep the ice away from me!

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15 minutes ago, ILMRoss said:

Not going to lie if the 00zssssssssss windshield wipe and come back with a vengeance tonight the broadcast mets hedging for big totals are going to look really flippin smart

I will sing their praises in the snow

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"The low is tracking farther offshore, and the snow line through Friday may remain along and east of I-95," said WRAL meteorologist Mike Maze. "This means most of us could miss out of snow."
 

8pm update on WRAL.

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2 minutes ago, rawlee said:

"The low is tracking farther offshore, and the snow line through Friday may remain along and east of I-95," said WRAL meteorologist Mike Maze. "This means most of us could miss out of snow."
 

8pm update on WRAL.

They also said:   Wednesday 8 p.m. update: New model runs mean more could see precipitation

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