donsutherland1 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Morning thoughts… Today will be partly to mostly cloudy and warm. A shower is possible in a few places, but most of the region should be dry. High temperatures will likely reach the middle and upper 80s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 84° Newark: 88° Philadelphia: 85° Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 81.1°; 15-Year: 81.0° Newark: 30-Year: 82.5°; 15-Year: 82.5° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 83.7°; 15-Year: 83.4° Heavy rain from the remnants of Ida will impact the Middle Atlantic and southern New England regions during midweek. A general 3”-6” of rain with locally higher amounts is likely. Flash flood risks are elevate, as parts of the region have had an exceptionally wet last two weeks of August. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 As of 9AM here, current temp 79/DP 69/RH 91% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 About yesterday's lightning tragedy at Seaside Heights, NJ:https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9941703/Lightning-strike-Jersey-Shore-kills-lifeguard-injures-7.html?ito=push-notification&ci=Ss9M9o8DSk&si=32052645&xi=5a2c9b28-ef82-418e-b681-0ce62b30c195&ai=9941703 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 84/64 and some breaks in the clouds. With enough clearing today can push another 90 for the hot spots. Sep to open wet with remnants then a dry cooler weekend 9/3 - 9/6. Next week we watch another front potentially get hung up before warmer air arrives with rising heights into the east 9/10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 1 hour ago, CIK62 said: About yesterday's lightning tragedy at Seaside Heights, NJ:https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9941703/Lightning-strike-Jersey-Shore-kills-lifeguard-injures-7.html?ito=push-notification&ci=Ss9M9o8DSk&si=32052645&xi=5a2c9b28-ef82-418e-b681-0ce62b30c195&ai=9941703 Aluminum chairs, don't know if wood would have made a difference??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 5 hours ago, bluewave said: Newark moved into the 2nd warmest August spot with a +3.5 departure. Bridgeport is in 3rd place with only a +1.9 departure. ISP is in 5th place with a +2 departure. So the much warmer 1991-2020 climo makes it possible for some stations to have a top 5 warmest August at only a +2 departure. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of AugClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 2005 80.4 0 2 2021 79.9 1 - 2016 79.9 0 3 1988 79.7 0 4 1973 79.6 0 5 2018 79.2 0 - 1993 79.2 0 6 2001 79.0 0 7 2015 78.7 0 8 1995 78.5 0 - 1980 78.5 0 9 2002 77.9 0 10 2020 77.7 0 Time Series Summary for IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT, CT - Month of AugClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 2016 78.4 0 2 2018 77.9 0 3 2021 76.4 1 4 2020 76.3 0 - 2005 76.3 0 5 2015 76.1 0 6 1955 76.0 0 7 1980 75.9 0 8 2001 75.8 0 - 1973 75.8 0 9 2012 75.6 0 - 2003 75.6 0 10 1988 75.5 0 Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Month of AugClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 1980 77.4 0 2 2016 77.3 0 3 2005 77.0 0 4 2018 76.7 0 5 2021 75.8 1 6 2015 75.7 0 - 1998 75.7 0 7 2001 75.6 0 8 2020 75.3 0 9 1988 75.0 0 10 1969 74.9 0 How did it do at JFK? Also, because of how hot summers typically are here, isn't anything more than a +2 anomaly rare anyway? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Ewr on its way to another 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 2 hours ago, LibertyBell said: How did it do at JFK? Also, because of how hot summers typically are here, isn't anything more than a +2 anomaly rare anyway? JFK finished with the 11th warmest August temperature due to the sea breeze arriving earlier than the other stations which ranked higher. Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Month of AugClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 2016 78.9 0 2 2015 78.5 0 3 2005 78.4 0 4 1980 78.0 0 5 2018 77.5 0 - 1984 77.5 0 6 1978 77.4 0 - 1969 77.4 0 7 1970 77.3 0 8 2001 77.2 0 9 1995 77.0 0 10 1955 76.9 0 11 2021 76.8 1 - 1991 76.8 0 - 1959 76.8 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 2 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: Ewr on its way to another 90 too cloudy. 89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 if the city has not done it already.. this rain will blow by the 10 inch mark for the month for the city. darn tomorrow is sept 1 lol well maybe september will be another 10 inch month lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 2 hours ago, bluewave said: JFK finished with the 11th warmest August temperature due to the sea breeze arriving earlier than the other stations which ranked higher. Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Month of AugClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 2016 78.9 0 2 2015 78.5 0 3 2005 78.4 0 4 1980 78.0 0 5 2018 77.5 0 - 1984 77.5 0 6 1978 77.4 0 - 1969 77.4 0 7 1970 77.3 0 8 2001 77.2 0 9 1995 77.0 0 10 1955 76.9 0 11 2021 76.8 1 - 1991 76.8 0 - 1959 76.8 0 I'll call it the bay breeze lol they get it before the south shore of Nassau County gets it. Interesting that 2010 is nowhere on this list. As far as August goes my two hottest were 1980 and 1995. Chris, do you have a list of their top August 90+ day rankings? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 7 hours ago, CIK62 said: About yesterday's lightning tragedy at Seaside Heights, NJ:https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9941703/Lightning-strike-Jersey-Shore-kills-lifeguard-injures-7.html?ito=push-notification&ci=Ss9M9o8DSk&si=32052645&xi=5a2c9b28-ef82-418e-b681-0ce62b30c195&ai=9941703 Just awful and tragic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 19 minutes ago, nycwinter said: if the city has not done it already.. this rain will blow by the 10 inch mark for the month for the city. darn tomorrow is sept 1 lol well maybe september will be another 10 inch month lol.. NYC is past 10” for August. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 24 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I'll call it the bay breeze lol they get it before the south shore of Nassau County gets it. Interesting that 2010 is nowhere on this list. As far as August goes my two hottest were 1980 and 1995. Chris, do you have a list of their top August 90+ day rankings? Islip beat out all the other stations in the August 90° day rankings. They finished with 7 days in 2nd place. 13 days at Newark was only good enough for the 4th highest number of days. JFK was further back in the list with only 4 days. 10 was the record there set in 2005 and 1959. Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Month of AugClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 Missing Count 1 1980 8 0 2 2021 7 1 - 2016 7 0 - 2005 7 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of AugClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 Missing Count 1 1988 17 0 2 1959 15 0 3 2018 14 0 - 2002 14 0 - 1995 14 0 4 2021 13 1 - 2016 13 0 - 2015 13 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 52 minutes ago, bluewave said: Islip beat out all the other stations in the August 90° day rankings. They finished with 7 days in 2nd place. 13 days at Newark was only good enough for the 4th highest number of days. JFK was further back in the list with only 4 days. 10 was the record there set in 2005 and 1959. Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Month of AugClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 Missing Count 1 1980 8 0 2 2021 7 1 - 2016 7 0 - 2005 7 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of AugClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 Missing Count 1 1988 17 0 2 1959 15 0 3 2018 14 0 - 2002 14 0 - 1995 14 0 4 2021 13 1 - 2016 13 0 - 2015 13 0 2005 was a sneaky hot summer, I say sneaky because it was one of those sea breeze summers where LGA was a lot hotter than either JFK or NYC, but they were all pretty hot. Still cant wrap my mind around how September in 1983 had 5x 90+ highs at JFK, a record that may never be equaled (since the next closest is 2x which has happened several times.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said: NYC is past 10” for August. #3 in July and #4 in August. Don do you see a break from tropical activity for the east coast after this storm blows through? Maybe we wont see any more up here, just like we didn't after August last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: #3 in July and #4 in August. Don do you see a break from tropical activity for the east coast after this storm blows through? Maybe we wont see any more up here, just like we didn't after August last year. It will depend how active the tropics are. The pattern could again become favorable for U.S. landfalls around and after mid-September. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 8/31 EWR: 89 LGA: 87 JFK: 87 BLM: 87 PHL: 86 ACY: 86 New Brnswck: 86 ISP: 84 TEB: 84 NYC: 83 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 8/31 EWR: 89 LGA: 87 JFK: 87 BLM: 87 PHL: 86 ACY: 86 New Brnswck: 86 ISP: 84 TEB: 84 NYC: 83 lol NYC 4 degrees cooler than JFK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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