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Central PA - Summer 2021


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1 hour ago, Anduril said:

Looks like the worst of it went South of you guys Milton / Lewisburg def took some strong winds

I guess it did.

We never got a big show.  Rain and thunder and lightening that never got louder than the TV, that was it. Believe it or not, winds never got above 8 miles an hour at Montoursville Airport five miles away!  See for yourself.  I can't really understand it myself.

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/pa/montoursville/KIPT/date/2021-7-11

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We got the goods...sort of. I believe the line weakened some at it got here as there was a continuous lightning/thunder event to my west, but as it neared, the lightning became more infrequent.

We never (to this point anyway) got the instantaneous flash/boom that I so desperately crave. Wind toped out at 12.5 mph, and so far, with the heaviest rain east of me already, got 0.67" as of this post.

On to the next one some other day I suppose...

***edited to add that the radar looked really good as it passed through, but it didn't seem to correlate with ground truth***

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1 hour ago, CarlislePaWx said:

I did avoid anything approaching severe.  I've had several episodes of lightning and thunder, nothing out of the ordinary though.  Briefly very heavy rain but then back to moderate.  Picked up 0.15" of new precip with this part and 0.22" total since midnight.

Looks like you are tacking on now.

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28 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Family is on vacation, so I have no idea how hard the Danville/Bloomsburg area got hit. Looked like a bow echo moving through there...

That's part of my route tomorrow morning as well. If I see any damage, I'll let you know.

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13 minutes ago, Voyager said:

That's part of my route tomorrow morning as well. If I see any damage, I'll let you know.

Thanks! Sort of like Tamaqua, the ridges around Danville seem to direct the worst storms just to the North towards Benton/Berwick....or just to the south towards Elysburg.

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8 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

MDT is now running a precip surplus for the year!

MDT recorded 2.17 inches of precip yesterday. 
 

Precip for the year is now at 22.40 and the average through yesterday is 22.23 inches.

Sounds like your green grass will continue.  Most of the LSV probably stays off the drought map this week now.  I was told we would be put under D0 drought on the Thursday map this week as of now but I have seem them change their mind before and not sure they put a smallish area on yet. The person I know is not the decision maker. 

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3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

MDT is now running a precip surplus for the year!

MDT recorded 2.17 inches of precip yesterday. 
 

Precip for the year is now at 22.40 and the average through yesterday is 22.23 inches.

And just a few days ago they were something like 3.50in behind for the year. 

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Canderson commented on the SPC and I think the HRRR needs an "accommodation" as well.  It predicted the line would hit a wall just as it entered the LSV and fade off to the NE and although it was a bit too far NW with where it happened, the actual result vs. the forecast is pretty good.  Here is a HRRR from later yesterday afternoon along with estimated radar results.  I would gladly take this level of accuracy from it any day. 

image.png.785e7116f819baabdd2cfbbbe18e81d7.png

image.thumb.png.1960e741119d53b255fa8656abc724bf.png

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So I ended up with 0.88" for last night's event. This after an inch and a half on Friday. Whatever we get today will fall on saturated ground so flash flooding I guess will be a concern later today and tonight.

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14 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Poof, its gone (or at least not in that location....Central Canada. 

I saw that. The GFS has been very consistent that the north central US and adjacent portions of Canada get extremely hot (approaching all time record levels in some instances), but most runs don’t translate that ridge east. At least not anything beyond garden variety heat.

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3 minutes ago, TimB84 said:

I saw that. The GFS has been very consistent that the north central US and adjacent portions of Canada get extremely hot (approaching all time record levels in some instances), but most runs don’t translate that ridge east. At least not anything beyond garden variety heat.

You used the word Doldrums and that is what I feel like looking at the GFS and Euro.  Same thing.  Some days struggle to break 80 and others get into the low 90's.  But most 82-88 (cooler for you).  Lots of daily storm chances but I normally do not do well with that here.  Harrisburg keeps stealing our "thunder".   I did see the N Central US heat that keeps showing up.  Not palouse level but pretty extreme. 

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Pleasantly surprised to see .59" in the gauge this morning from some overnight action, nothing like what the Harrisburg area saw but I'll take it.  After only getting ~1" for the prior month I matched that in the last three days; again, nothing like what some other areas saw but much needed nonetheless.  Looks like a great chance later today for some people to cash in again.  Summer rolls on.....

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1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

You used the word Doldrums and that is what I feel like looking at the GFS and Euro.  Same thing.  Some days struggle to break 80 and others get into the low 90's.  But most 82-88 (cooler for you).  Lots of daily storm chances but I normally do not do well with that here.  Harrisburg keeps stealing our "thunder".   I did see the N Central US heat that keeps showing up.  Not palouse level but pretty extreme. 

Stop talking dirty to me....

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