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Central PA - Summer 2021

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4 minutes ago, canderson said:

If anyone is curious what the exact dead center of Pennsylvania is, I had to discover it for a map I'm creating.

It's 200 Windy Butte Lane in Spring Mills, Centre County. 


1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

Nothing like having a windy butte right in the centre of things.  (sorry, lol)

street view show nice farm land around it

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1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

.26" for me yesterday, .44" since midnight. 2 day running total at .70"

I'll pass on the tornado threat. Paid off my house and became 100% debt free last week, I'd like to keep things intact now. :) 

Hey congrats, that's bigtime!  What a freeing feeling.  I run my days from AM to AM (similar to the Cocorahs folks), since I manually check the cylinder gauge each morning.  It used to be at 6am sharp everyday and now it's more like 7-8am.  My two-day total is only .37".  Don't think we're gonna get a whole lot from Fred but I have my eye out for some severe potential. 

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Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...The tornado threat is expected to gradually increase into
   this afternoon. Tornado Watch issuance is likely by 16Z.

   DISCUSSION...At 1445Z, T.D. Fred is still moving northeastward near
   the OH/WV border northeast of Parkersburg, WV. A warm front extends
   east-northeast from the cyclone across southern PA, while a surface
   confluence axis is noted extending from southwest PA into central
   VA. Rich low-level moisture will continue to stream northward across
   PA in conjunction with the warm front this afternoon, with some
   breaks in the clouds allowing for some modest destabilization from
   central PA southward into MD/northern VA. 

   Convection will likely increase in coverage with time near/north of
   the warm front, with more scattered convection possible along/east
   of the surface confluence axis into MD/northern VA. This afternoon,
   0-1 km SRH will likely be maximized over central PA (potentially in
   excess of 200 m2/s2), though somewhat enhanced SRH will also extend
   southward into MD/VA where surface winds remain backed to a
   southeasterly direction. Scattered supercells are likely to evolve
   with time as convection matures, with an attendant threat of a few
   tornadoes and isolated/scattered damaging wind gusts. Tornado Watch
   issuance is likely by 16Z in response to these threats.
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5 minutes ago, sauss06 said:

suns coming out in the Burg. not warming fast though. 81

sun=instability.  Might not take much.  I think souther lsv is likely on the sidelines (based off of days of showing more of a squall line coming through my area), but pts N look to get enough lift to really stir up the CTP pot.  I'd think a quick hitter down here, but you Hburgers and north crew east of the susky may cash in on damaging Tboomers.

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