SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 7 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Its charging as we speak, I need to get the timing right this time. What you thinking about time here. Hard to gauge with how fast that line out front is firing up. Thinking maybe try to be in a spot by 7ish? Going to be great timing right at sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 11, 2021 Author Share Posted August 11, 2021 1 minute ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: What you thinking about time here. Hard to gauge with how fast that line out front is firing up. Thinking maybe try to be in a spot by 7ish? Going to be great timing right at sunset. I was thinking 630 I need to get ahead of it. Once it gets too windy I can't fly the drone. Also going to be busy everywhere along the water as its so nice out. Where is your go to spot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: I was thinking 630 I need to get ahead of it. Once it gets too windy I can't fly the drone. Also going to be busy everywhere along the water as its so nice out. Where is your go to spot? I usually do furhman Blvd from tift up to the coast guard station. I need to pick my daughter up in hamburg between 6-7 so going to have to do this one on the fly. If I can’t get back up route 5 in time I’ll have to hit Hamburg beach area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I was thinking 630 I need to get ahead of it. Once it gets too windy I can't fly the drone. Also going to be busy everywhere along the water as its so nice out. Where is your go to spot? Speaking of the drone. Nice spot on furhman Blvd where the old pier use to be. Just a huge empty abandoned grass lot along the water. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Picked up another 0.30" this afternoon, short lived but pretty intense, 0.18" fell in about 4 minutes.. Station didn't pick the rate up correctly.. We have had a good 4-5 tropical down pours in the past 24hours, 1.74" for the event so far..3k has a little more action overnight not that it's trust worthy lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 11, 2021 Author Share Posted August 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: I usually do furhman Blvd from tift up to the coast guard station. I need to pick my daughter up in hamburg between 6-7 so going to have to do this one on the fly. If I can’t get back up route 5 in time I’ll have to hit Hamburg beach area. Hamburg beach is always super crowded at sunset, I try to find an abandon spot to focus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: Hamburg beach is always super crowded at sunset, I try to find an abandon spot to focus. Same… I hate being around people. Certain areas of the outer harbor can be crowded but can always find an area with only a few people around especially once you get further down like Wilkinson Point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 lol… Well let’s hope option 1 doesn’t happen… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 11, 2021 Author Share Posted August 11, 2021 17 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: lol… Well let’s hope option 1 doesn’t happen… How do these guys really not know whats going to happen an hour out from a severe weather event. SMH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 11, 2021 Author Share Posted August 11, 2021 I wonder whats in that hole in the middle of that storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 6 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: How do these guys really not know whats going to happen an hour out from a severe weather event. SMH Because the models stink lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Here is the Hrrr for 6 pm.. Pretty much craps out after this.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I wonder whats in that hole in the middle of that storm Gust front on the main line is just going so fast it’s literally gobbling up the convention that blew up ahead of it. Slowing down a bit now with that, looks like it’s going to do a little reorganizing. I think I’m safe waiting till 7-730ish to get down to the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Here is the Hrrr for 6 pm.. Pretty much craps out after this.. It’s been doing that with this line all day. It has the convection at initialization but just has it disappear by hour 2-3… every run… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Few trees down out here in Ohio, one in the right lane in a 70 zone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 11, 2021 Author Share Posted August 11, 2021 storms weakening still might get a shelf cloud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 11 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: storms weakening still might get a shelf cloud. Yeah… I think option 1 is going to take the cake… ugh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 11, 2021 Author Share Posted August 11, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted August 12, 2021 Share Posted August 12, 2021 I am in West Michigan this week. Was at an outdoor concert when the storms hit. They keep reforming. Very impressive clouds and cloud to ground lightning. Sat in the car for an hour and they have officially cancelled. Bummer! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted August 12, 2021 Share Posted August 12, 2021 3 hours ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: lol… Well let’s hope option 1 doesn’t happen… According to the radar, #1 it is...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted August 12, 2021 Share Posted August 12, 2021 5 minutes ago, vortmax said: According to the radar, #1 it is...lol Maybe some strengthening last couple frames? Or I could be grasping at straws. The western sky looks pretty black here right now though. Seems like something is trying to get going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 12, 2021 Share Posted August 12, 2021 3 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: How do these guys really not know whats going to happen an hour out from a severe weather event. SMH You know exactly why? Do you know what’s going to happen in the next hour? You have access to everything they do. I had no idea. Highly complex mesoscale weather can beat the models in these scenarios. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 12, 2021 Author Share Posted August 12, 2021 1 minute ago, DeltaT13 said: You know exactly why? Do you know what’s going to happen in the next hour? You have access to everything they do. I had no idea. Highly complex mesoscale weather can beat the models in these scenarios. They go to school for 4-6 years and do this full time for their jobs. They know a lot more about what the atmosphere is doing then I do. Why put weather balloons into the air if the data sucks? I don’t even think it will rain here. This mornings storms were the ones to be up for. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 12, 2021 Share Posted August 12, 2021 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: They go to school for 4-6 years and do this full time for their jobs. They know a lot more about what the atmosphere is doing then I do. Why put weather balloons into the air if the data sucks? I don’t even think it will rain here. This mornings storms were the ones to be up for. You underestimate what you know and overestimate what they can do in a nowcast scenario like this. Every mesoscale model had a wildly different output. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 12, 2021 Share Posted August 12, 2021 Lake killed the storms. Had very strong SW winds all afternoon despite the great daytime hearing setup. Gusting to 40mph it really mixed and stabilized things over the eastern end of Lake Erie and WNY. BUF only made it up to 86 with a max heat index of only 91 due to that breeze. Crazy look at this morning it was 79 with 73 DP at 4am… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted August 12, 2021 Share Posted August 12, 2021 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Now that’s the real Sizzlercuse! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 12, 2021 Author Share Posted August 12, 2021 43 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: You underestimate what you know and overestimate what they can do in a nowcast scenario like this. Every mesoscale model had a wildly different output. Thanks for the compliment. I was really excited about those storms, I didn't get a drop of rain. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 12, 2021 Author Share Posted August 12, 2021 Check this out so close and the rotation is incredible https://www.facebook.com/WeatherNation/videos/365946691597150 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 12, 2021 Share Posted August 12, 2021 19 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Check this out so close and the rotation is incredible https://www.facebook.com/WeatherNation/videos/365946691597150 Wow! Doesn’t get much better than that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted August 12, 2021 Share Posted August 12, 2021 4 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Thanks for the compliment. I was really excited about those storms, I didn't get a drop of rain. Same, absolutely disgusting. This is the most miserable weather we get IMO. I’d rather live through three months of those cold, damp springs that everyone hates because they get in the way of our great early summers rather than put up the grueling, soupy misery we get every few years in July and/or August. I spent about ten minutes doing yard work yesterday morning and I had to take a second shower. My three year old cried when I suggested we play outdoors - she has respiratory problems and this weather makes outdoor activity a challenge for her. What’s worse, it’s so continuously humid that my central a/c unit is having trouble keeping up, and it feel sticky inside and outside. Absolutely cannot wait for this to break for good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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