schoeppeya Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said: Lots of storms over SE MS now with non-warned weaker couplets the key word is LOTS...as in maybe too many for this to get really out of hand if storms have spacing issues time will tell For the time being, it looks like the perfect spacing to maximize the number of individual cells without non stop storm interference. We will see how that plays out though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 While things have been fairly active early, its worth noting that area VADs are not particularly impressive attm. KDGX: 123 m2/s2 0-1km SRH KMOB: 122 m2/s2 0-1km SRH KLIX: 174 m2/s2 0-1km SRH KGWX: 157 m2/s2 0-1km SRH Only KMXX and KBMX along/near the warm front are particularly impressive right now with both exhibiting 300-400 m2/s2 0-1km SRH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 1 minute ago, janetjanet998 said: TFW you can see the structural bolting in the photo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Confirmed tornado just SE of Epes, AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherextreme Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Brett live streaming. Mentioned that he's 7 miles due west of a tornado https://livestormchasing.com/map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Just now, jojo762 said: While things have been fairly active early, its worth noting that area VADs are not particularly impressive attm. KDGX: 123 m2/s2 0-1km SRH KMOB: 122 m2/s2 0-1km SRH KLIX: 174 m2/s2 0-1km SRH KGWX: 157 m2/s2 0-1km SRH Only KMXX and KBMX along/near the warm front are particularly impressive right now with both exhibiting 300-400 m2/s2 0-1km SRH. True... hopefully the increase in the LLJ later this evening into overnight doesn't make the situation even worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said: Destroyed chicken houses, so that's at least EF1 to lower-end EF2 depending on construction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upper Level LOL Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Exhibit A in why chasing in Dixie is so hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Upper Level LOL said: Exhibit A in why chasing in Dixie is so hard That is some pretty sweet motion AGL though... Likewise, you really cannot get much worse chase terrain than parts of Mississippi and Alabama have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Large tornado confirmed over Billingsley, AL, per spotters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATDoel Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 28 minutes ago, tiger_deF said: So far is this busting above, below, or right around what was forecast? I have a great deal of family in GA anxiously watching these developments and any insight would be very helpful Worse than we thought so far. Outbreak wasn't supposed to start until 1 PM and we've already had several confirmed touch downs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderately Unstable Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, Calderon said: Large tornado confirmed over Billingsley, AL, per spotters. Watching that one. I always focus on the lonely duckling away from all the other storms. It's in a good spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbird12 Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 12 minutes ago, bamabonners said: Will the birmingham storms cool the air enough to keep these severe storms from northern part of the state? That will reduce the threat for awhile this afternoon across northern AL, but unless storms keep regenerating to the south (which is possible), the warm front will probably make it into northern AL by late afternoon or evening, with a corresponding increase in the threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanLarsen34 Posted March 17, 2021 Author Share Posted March 17, 2021 Storm to the SE of Laurel has a very strong couplet. It's taking a very similar path to the significant tornado we saw in that area earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Just now, Moderately Unstable said: Indeed. Watching that one. Looks like a CC drop on that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upper Level LOL Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Oh gosh, Enterprise in the crosshairs again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 I wish AL state troopers would block SB traffic at Clanton & NB traffic at US 31 near Pine Level on I-65 and let this beast of a cell cross, but they most likely will not. Tornado is occluding & we're watching handoff again on it to the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherextreme Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Brett's you tube live https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hs_-NtENqQ4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATDoel Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, Upper Level LOL said: Oh gosh, Enterprise in the crosshairs again Not the Enterprise you're thinking of 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Some sort of lowering on Brad Arnold's stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, weatherextreme said: Brett's you tube live https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hs_-NtENqQ4 its back up. wicked rotation on screen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherextreme Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Looks like Brett has one on stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Big wall cloud on Ryan Cartree's stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 don't forget this area MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0206 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0118 PM CDT WED MAR 17 2021 AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WESTERN ARKANSAS...AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI. CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 171818Z - 171915Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...AN ARCING LINE OF SUPERCELLS/LINE SEGMENTS IS LIKELY FROM SOUTHERN ARKANSAS TO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. DISCUSSION...THE MORNING CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED CLOUD SHIELD HAS MOVED OUT OF WESTERN ARKANSAS AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA WHICH HAS ALLOWED SURFACE HEATING AHEAD OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT AND NEAR THE SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY LOCATED IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THE 18Z KLZK RAOB HAD A STABLE NEAR SURFACE LAYER, BUT MODIFYING THIS SOUNDING FOR LOW 70S TEMPERATURES AND LOW 60S DEWPOINTS WHICH ARE CURRENTLY PRESENT IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA YIELDS AROUND 500 TO 750 J/KG MLCAPE AND A NEARLY UNCAPPED PROFILE. EARLY CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA SUGGESTS THIS REMAINING INHIBITION HAS LIKELY ERODED AS COOLER AIR ALOFT CONTINUES TO SPREAD OVERHEAD. THEREFORE, SEVERAL LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD FRONT WITHIN THE HOUR. OVERALL, WEAK INSTABILITY WILL BE THE PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR FOR A GREATER SEVERE WEATHER THREAT, BUT EFFECTIVE SRH AROUND 150 TO 200 M2/S2 PER SPC MESOANALYSIS AND INCREASED LOW-LEVEL VORTICITY IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE SURFACE LOW MAY LEAD TO A LOCALLY HIGHER TORNADO/LANDSPOUT THREAT. IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO THREAT, THERE WILL BE A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL GIVEN THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherextreme Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Reed Timmer live on FB https://www.facebook.com/reedtimmer2.0/videos/2658541951103802 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Is Brett's stream down for anyone else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Just now, cheese007 said: Is Brett's stream down for anyone else? Yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Confirmed tornado SW of Demopolis, per CC drop. Headed right at the regional town in rural western AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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