FLweather Posted January 4 FWIW. 18z Nam Vs GFS. Still a border line system. Nam retains some of that energy in southern Canada. More of occluded frontal boundary. May or may not have the merit behind it to dig a good slp. Further east development. Granted nam shows slp in MO, MS, NO. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wncsnow Posted January 4 4 minutes ago, FLweather said: FWIW. 18z Nam Vs GFS. Still a border line system. Nam retains some of that energy in southern Canada. More of occluded frontal boundary. May or may not have the merit behind it to dig a good slp. Further east development. Granted nam shows slp in MO, MS, NO. It's the NAM at 84 hours... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
FLweather Posted January 4 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: It's the NAM at 84 hours... True. But it's the gfs at 96, 108 324 hour Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wncsnow Posted January 4 23 minutes ago, FLweather said: True. But it's the gfs at 96, 108 324 hour True that! It will be interesting to see how it plays out on the NAM the next few days when it gets closer to range. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BornAgain13 Posted January 4 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: True that! It will be interesting to see how it plays out on the NAM the next few days when it gets closer to range. I'm ready to get Name'd!! Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
FLweather Posted January 4 15 minutes ago, wncsnow said: True that! It will be interesting to see how it plays out on the NAM the next few days when it gets closer to range. 11 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: I'm ready to get Name'd!! I'm rooting for yall. I really am. Long long time over due. Considering how the globals have been... I've got more merit on short range. Globals have been blah. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
griteater Posted January 4 Euro follows up the weekend storm with a classic NW Gulf to NE Gulf Miller A winter storm, though it goes negative tilt with the wave and warms inland 3 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wncsnow Posted January 4 1 minute ago, griteater said: Euro follows up the weekend storm with a classic NW Gulf to NE Gulf Miller A winter storm, though it goes negative tilt with the wave and warms inland VA and DC get hammered and its a nice system for central NC but temps are really marginal 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wncsnow Posted January 4 Total snow map from the 2 systems. This is 10-1 so likely overdone but lots of potential 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
griteater Posted January 4 Storm 2 only on the Euro 3 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BullCityWx Posted January 4 Plymouth State soundings are down. Not sure how I get through a storm without them. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
griteater Posted January 4 12z Euro is a hit again early next week with the 2nd storm from central LA to W NC 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BullCityWx Posted January 4 34 minutes ago, griteater said: 12z Euro is a hit again early next week with the 2nd storm from central LA to W NC Someone is going to have an epic meltdown if they get outdone by Baton Rouge. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
griteater Posted January 4 1 minute ago, BullCityWx said: Someone is going to have an epic meltdown if they get outdone by Baton Rouge. Meltdowns are fun! 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BullCityWx Posted January 4 Just now, griteater said: Meltdowns are fun! Ji is gonna be volcanic 1 4 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BullCityWx Posted January 4 ECENS seemingly crushes Storm #2. I dont know if it's spread in warmer solutions or QPF. if I had to guess, it'd be QPF. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
griteater Posted January 4 Impressive look developing at the end on the EPS Mean here with heavy west based -NAO via Davis Strait ridging and deep blues off the Canadian Maritimes / and removal of Gulf of Alaska Low (Jan 12-19) 7 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 4 Ice Man Cometh Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Upstate Tiger Posted January 4 GSP still honking on both systems in this afternoon's AFD LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 230 PM EST Monday: No significant changes in the overall thinking for the Thursday night into Friday winter storm. A strong upper low at 500 mb will likely pass just to our south Thursday evening into Friday. A leading surface low pressure system will slowly strengthen Thursday night before more rapidly strengthening into Friday thanks to a stronger baroclinic zone near the coast. Steady moisture advection first off the Gulf of Mexico transitioning to off the of Atlantic combined with deep lift (strong isentropic lift at lower levels and large scale ascent aloft) should support at least moderate precipitation at times, possibly with periods of heavy precipitation during the best overlap between forcing and moisture Thursday night into early Friday. Temperature profiles should support mostly snow across the mountains and possibly into the I-40 corridor with a transition zone probably setting up between roughly the I-40 and I-85 corridors outside of the mountains, with mainly rain south of I-85. That being said, the latest EC showed a jogged a bit north with the upper low in its latest run, which would support warmer profiles and a bit more in the way of liquid precipitation should this trend continue. A brief period of northwest flow snow showers are possible in the storms wake late Friday or Friday night. High pressure will build in this weekend with mostly sunny skies and below normal temperatures. Another colder storm may be on the horizon for early next week. 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
buckeyefan1 Posted January 4 55 minutes ago, griteater said: Impressive look developing at the end on the EPS Mean here with heavy west based -NAO via Davis Strait ridging and deep blues off the Canadian Maritimes / and removal of Gulf of Alaska Low (Jan 12-19) This. This. This. There is nothing better for an active southern winter Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
griteater Posted January 4 18z GFS goes mini-boom with classic MIller A crossing N FL early next week (Monday)...busy in here 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Southern Track Posted January 4 1 minute ago, griteater said: 18z GFS goes mini-boom with classic MIller A crossing N FL early next week (Monday)...busy in here Really can’t draw it better than the 18z run. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 4 2 hours ago, buckeyefan1 said: This. This. This. There is nothing better for an active southern winter You still in Fountain Inn ? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
buckeyefan1 Posted January 5 12 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: You still in Fountain Inn ? Yep, and I’m prepared for heartbreak imby Friday I will drive to tr and play if I have to 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Upstate Tiger Posted January 5 Well....I got my heart broken last Friday night so I am due a better Friday this week. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 5 56 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said: Well....I got my heart broken last Friday night so I am due a better Friday this week. I don't know man, you guys have had PLENTY of fun over the past few years, need to let some others experience it for a change. Like maybe my Gamecocks... Kinda like how the mtns need to share their snow with the rest of us! Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wncsnow Posted January 5 Just now, Iceagewhereartthou said: I don't know man, you guys have had PLENTY of fun over the past few years, need to let some others experience it for a change. Like maybe my Gamecocks... Kinda like how the mtns need to share their snow with the rest of us! #shanetrain #fail 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Upstate Tiger Posted January 5 4 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: I don't know man, you guys have had PLENTY of fun over the past few years, need to let some others experience it for a change. Like maybe my Gamecocks... Kinda like how the mtns need to share their snow with the rest of us! That’s what I’ve been saying about the west and the winters they’ve experienced the last few years. Maybe you’re on to something. If OSU can finally beat us maybe be we can finally get a Miller A in the middle of January . Best look over the next 10-14 days we seen in several years. 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SnowNiner Posted January 5 8 hours ago, griteater said: 12z Euro is a hit again early next week with the 2nd storm from central LA to W NC One of these days we're going to get the nice pretty 32 surface line in to South Carolina. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites