Hurricane Agnes Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Getting some moderate rain as a band moves through. Temp is 63 and currently up to 1.64" today so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Yo Red Sky....major Red Sky going on here! Need to pick up a case a beer before the Birds... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Last days of November=the new late May/early June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Well that was fun. Gusty winds, lightning, and some 6"/hour rain rates. What's the date again? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 1.26" of rain on the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 1.80” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Finished up with 1.74" of rain. Currently clear and 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 1, 2020 Author Share Posted December 1, 2020 Picked up 1.05" of rain for the day. Current temp 59 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Since there's no snow in the immediate forecast, I'm back to looking at the damn surfcams. Jenk's death slab resembling Backdoor/Pipeline this morning. Also I think this is required viewing for anyone interested in weather and the ocean in the mid-atlantic region. Towing Hurricane Sandy in OCMD with Will Skudin, who recently opened the Skudin Surf wave pool in the American Dream mall. The last wave in particular has to be the biggest wave surfed in the region. Can I weenie tag my own post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 We just missed finishing (in a virtual tie but losing the rounding game) for the Warmest November on record with an average reading of 50.06 vs the all-time record from 1931 of 50.10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Bam out of nowhere the models are spitting out hopium a plenty at 12z, ECM with some snow on the weekend and the GFS slammin in the long range. What is it with the weather gods and 12/5? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Poconos get rocked on the 12z euro. Almost everyone sees some flakes though. This is pretty much the best case scenario for this week imo. That 50/50 high isn't going to allow it to escape much further off the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 18 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Poconos get rocked on the 12z euro. Almost everyone sees some flakes though. This is pretty much the best case scenario for this week imo. That 50/50 high isn't going to allow it to escape much further off the coast. That alone would surpass my totals from last year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Sudden stratospheric warming possibilities, potential polar vortex intrusions all unicorns and rainbows today got to love it. What will they say in three days though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 EPS not gloom and doom as much as the GEFS and GEPS were for mid month. Holds that Scandinavian ridging which I had mentioned feeding the neg NAO. PAC is also neutralish looking. A workable pattern anyway and not a total shut the blinds look. Key to this winter as I stated in early Nov will he how long and how strong that Scan ridge holds and if it continues to feed the NAO as it has shown since mid Sept. Cautious optimism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Yeah Pacific isn't as puke-worthy as it was last winter. Currently, though, even with the nice PNA ridge Canada is torched so our cold air source is non-existent. Need a nice -EPO to develop and set up a cross polar flow and at least have some cold air up north we can tap into. I would be surprised if we get completely shut out this December, but knowing our luck with the previous winters, I'm not sure what to bet on lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Mt. Holly confirmed an EF0 in Montgomeryville (I was last up on that area in late September) - Quote NOUS41 KPHI 011648 PNSPHI DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054- 055-060>062-070-071-101>106-020500- PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT National Weather Service MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1148 AM EST Tue Dec 1 2020 Montgomeryville, Montgomery County Tornado ...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 11/30/20 TORNADO EVENT... Start Location...Montgomeryville in Montgomery County, PA End Location...Montgomeryville in Montgomery County, PA Date...November 30, 2020 Estimated Time...3:47 PM EST Maximum EF-Scale Rating...EF0 Estimated Maximum Wind Speed...70 mph Maximum Path Width...100 yards Path Length... 0.5 miles Beginning Lat/Lon...40.232546, -75.236494 Ending Lat/Lon...40.23972, -75.23589 * Fatalities...None * Injuries...None ...Summary... An EF-0 tornado touched down immediately east of the Route 309 (Bethlehem Pike) northbound onramp to the 202 Parkway in Montgomeryville, PA around 347 PM. As the tornado crossed the Parkway, two small trees were uprooted on its northbound side. Outdoor wooden picnic benches and tables at the Texas Roadhouse restaurant were picked up and tossed a few hundred feet, breaking the front window of the nearby but now shuttered Noboru restaurant. Circulation associated with this tornado then pulled air-handling equipment from the roof of this restaurant and tore off siding from the northeastern edge of the building. Six to eight cars in the nearby parking lots of both the Texas Roadhouse and Noboru restaurants were shaken and/or tossed as the tornado moved through, and branches of numerous small trees in the area were snapped. Several metal light posts were also bent at the base in and round these parking lots as a result of the wind and/or flying debris, and the poles supporting two stop signs were bent and dislodged as well. A supporting pole to the entranceway of the Staybridge hotel was also damaged as the storms circulation moved by. As the tornado continued to travel in a northeasterly direction, the circulation slowly weakened, with some minor roof damage to the Costco building. After less than one minute on the ground, the tornado lifted just north of Upper State Road, in the vicinity of a local quarry. EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the following categories: EF0...Weak......65 to 85 mph EF1...Weak......86 to 110 mph EF2...Strong....111 to 135 mph EF3...Strong....136 to 165 mph EF4...Violent...166 to 200 mph EF5...Violent...>200 mph * The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to change pending final review of the event and publication in NWS Storm Data. $$ Davis I know there were a bunch of TOR warnings down in Delaware but didn't hear whether anything was confirmed there (although I haven't really looked that hard but figured it would have been highlighted in the news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Some very light mood flakes continue to fall in East Nantmeal temperature at 36.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 First little band was virga but this 2nd one and there be flakes here (first of the season here). Temp had bottomed out at 33 (with dp 25) before the flakes started flying. Currently 36 with dp 28. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Light snow in upper Chichester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Have a dusting of snow on grassy surfaces up here in Saylorsburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Dusting on cars and deck here as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Missed seeing it fall, but there’s pixie dust on the car, 35F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 0.3" of snow in East Nantmeal Township- our 1st measurable snow since the 2.0" on January 18th - December to remember.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 A dusting here as well, 1st of the season! Based on radar, looks like it fell roughly from 6 to 6:30 am. Currently 41F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 If we can get storm tracks this winter like the one forecast for the upcoming weekend, many here wouldnt complain. Benchmark track for SE PA. Hopefully this becomes the default and not the apps runner track that Cecily/Adam think will be repetitive. I'll tag myself, thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Flakes on first two days of meteorological winter, hell of a way to start a predicted warm dud winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 46 minutes ago, RedSky said: Flakes on first two days of meteorological winter, hell of a way to start a predicted warm dud winter. Shhhh, 12z gfs is night and day vs 6z. Full lat SE ridge at 12z and complete Nina look vs epic neg NAO look from 6z. This looks like that transition we deal with every winter where models are waffling on major pattern change which inevitably ends up dictating a good chunk of winter ahead. Been down this road almost every year....some ya win, some ya lose. Hoping the less Nina look and more favorable blocking will be the theme and not the opposite. Cautiously optimistic. I mean it's 2020, what could go wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 LOL @ Mt. Holly looking way west! Currently 41 and unsettled out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 55 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Shhhh, 12z gfs is night and day vs 6z. Full lat SE ridge at 12z and complete Nina look vs epic neg NAO look from 6z. This looks like that transition we deal with every winter where models are waffling on major pattern change which inevitably ends up dictating a good chunk of winter ahead. Been down this road almost every year....some ya win, some ya lose. Hoping the less Nina look and more favorable blocking will be the theme and not the opposite. Cautiously optimistic. I mean it's 2020, what could go wrong? First half of December is going to have this months mild forecasts in trouble this wasn't suppose to happen. Going to need a big torch week to have a warmer than normal month(xmas ) Interesting fact is 89/90 was a heavy analog being used so maybe a colder look shouldn't be a surprise. For those that don't know that was a frigged month and a torch Jan/Feb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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