BuffaloWeather Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 8 minutes ago, Syrmax said: GFS lurches from Spring is near to mid winter conditions run to run. I'm onboard for early Spring. And it's not even winter yet, technically! I think we actually get winter in January this year. Nov/Dec have been way above normal for temps, and 10/12 months above. We're due for a below average month sometime in the Jan-March window. Even normal/slightly below normal temps in January brings us all snow as precip. type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 17 minutes ago, Syrmax said: I measured about 3/8ths of an inch of snowfall and 0.9" liquid. Ratio was poor. 15 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Understatement of the year. Yup. So maddening. Under nice banding all evening...and GRAUPEL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 That was 3z, here is 9z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 GFS lurches from Spring is near to mid winter conditions run to run. I'm onboard for early Spring. And it's not even winter yet, technically! You need to just move bro!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 23 minutes ago, Syrmax said: I measured about 3/8ths of an inch of snowfall and 0.9" liquid. Ratio was poor. .9 or .09? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 She's coming North just a tad bit more as the 36 he trend is upon us, or it can definitely trend the other way. Did the 06z Euro stay the course or did it wobble either direction?Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Sref Syracuse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: She's coming North just a tad bit more as the 36 he trend is upon us, or it can definitely trend the other way. Did the 06z Euro stay the course or did it wobble either direction? Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 The OP GFS and Euro are being soooooo stubborn with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Looks to be an all timer for almost all of PA, that's a massive hit for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 10 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: .9 or .09? Typo! it was 0.09" liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Typo! it was 0.09" liquid. I was like daaang. Those ratios are insane! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 SREF plume average has 17" for KBGM. Looking good for Bingo to get into the 12+". Good for them! Seems like Binghamton area has been screwed for significant snowstorms over the past decade. I don't think it will be another 1983 "Megalapolitan" storm disaster (feet predicted the day before...high overcast in reality). That one left some scars with me. I decided to join the Navy after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 45 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: This is awesome I didn't even know about it. What were the max snowfall totals? 100 Cm+ would be 40"+ Yep! The snow was so deep we could sled down where the street plows out the excess around each corner. It was awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 40 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Yep about right. That would have the Buffalo metro about 2-3” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Thinksnow18 said: Yep about right. That would have the Buffalo metro about 2-3” Yeah that's actually an old run.. 9z was 4" for kbuf.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Looks like a little north on the nam.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 17 minutes ago, Syrmax said: SREF plume average has 17" for KBGM. Looking good for Bingo to get into the 12+". Good for them! Seems like Binghamton area has been screwed for significant snowstorms over the past decade. I don't think it will be another 1983 "Megalapolitan" storm disaster (feet predicted the day before...high overcast in reality). That one left some scars with me. I decided to join the Navy after that. Don't you mean Birmingham? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Yeah, NAM is looking beautiful for much of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 NAM came further north. Looks like 3-6" for WNY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 KROC SREF mean is about 6"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: Nice. Any northerly component to the wind along the S. Shore for the event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, vortmax said: Nice. Any northerly component to the wind along the S. Shore for the event? Yep, chance of 6"+ at ROC (Based on this NAM run) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 The nyc crew is going bonkers. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 7 minutes ago, 96blizz said: The nyc crew is going bonkers. Lol Dude its disgusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Why am I just noticing the Ferrier SLR on the 3k NAM? Supposed to help correct for sleet, I believe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, 96blizz said: The nyc crew is going bonkers. Lol Looking at that 12Z NAM snow graphic for So. NE...its totally believable...lived it soooooo many times in the past. I'd be tossing that run (and lighting on fire in the Dumpster). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 Maybe the CIPS analogs were onto something? Lots of good hits for Upstate in there. http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/DFHR.php?reg=MV&fhr=F048&rundt=2020121500&map=thbCOOP72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 17 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Looks like a little north on the nam.. Are we seeing an area wide WWA event taking shape? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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