• Member Statistics

    16,116
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Irish
    Newest Member
    Irish
    Joined
cyclone77

October 2020 General Discussion

Recommended Posts

This would have been a solid winter wx advisory event had there been any anticipation at all.  An advisory would have been justified even if it had been more like 2-4" instead of 4-9", given that it's the first accumulating snow of the season.  The snow squall warning product sort of saves it from being as much of a catastrophic forecast failure compared to a couple years ago, but the snow squall warning product was not really intended for this type of situation.  

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

I finished with 4.4 inches from 0.27" liquid.  It's turning into wet slop now.

You are doing good when you have north of 15:1 ratios in mid-October.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said:


1.2” at DSM.

Bit further south, and it would have been game.


.

DSM 7.4" 10/27/1980

Ankeny to the north DSM 6.9" 10/27/1980

Indianola to south DSM  5.0" 10/27/1980

Newton to the east DSM 6.7" 10/26/1997

Guthrie Center to west DSM 7.0" 10/26/1997

Looks like this area is seeing heavier snows a little early and quite significant just like these past years even if DSM is just outside the heavier stuff. Very impressive event today.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I think the 9" report location near the Des Moines NWS office also received 1.5" yesterday, so that's >10" in two days in mid October.  Now, watch the same location get <10" total from tomorrow through the end of January.

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1
  • Weenie 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said:

First WWA of the season hoisted across much of Minnesota for tomorrow’s event. Not bad for October but obviously overshadowed by what occurred in Iowa today. 

D505AC8E-42E8-4617-A15C-B88B54CC012C.png

And more to come tomorrow. Only flurries my way today.

 

Oct snow 20th-21st.png

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Kind of jealous on the snow in Iowa! We have accumulating snow here in mid may, the Midwest could only go 5 months without this year.

 

 Here it's a gray murky cold day, high in the mid 40s, but color is at peak.  Few spots of green still but also lots of leaves falling & bare trees starting to show.

 

FB_IMG_1603142303972.jpg

FB_IMG_1603142312808.jpg

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Looks like the northern areas are in for a whollop later this week. Even half that for this time of year is impressive. We will see. After today's event, and tomorrow's, the system coming later this week is a bit stronger. The strong ENE winds off of the Lake could really dump a lot of snow along the ridges here Thurs night. Duluth's record is 10.6" 10/27/2017.

Oct snow potential.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Lookin pretty torchy for us in the Ohio Valley as we go into late October and early November. Hopefully winter has something up it's sleeve.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, Gino27 said:

Lookin pretty torchy for us in the Ohio Valley as we go into late October and early November. Hopefully winter has something up it's sleeve.

nina often is a roller coaster. im definitely ready for snow November 1st but after all the complaining some did last year that a cold, snowy November is a bad omen for winter, I hope all is quiet if it is a milder November lol

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said:

I finished with 4.4 inches from 0.27" liquid.  It's turning into wet slop now.

Very impressive!  Great start to the new season. 

Temps crashed from 41 to 33 here as the snow moved in.  Had a brief period of moderate snow.  No accum but very nice to see a daytime snow event in mid Oct.  Had a burst of sleet with a convective shower at the tail-end.  

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Gonna be that kind of week where sunshine is hard to find which is usually followed by an overcast weekend. Models are in agreement on that, as well. The GFS is even hinting a washout for the entire upcoming weekend into early next week with temps stuck in the 40s. Won't be seeing any sun until Thursday. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, IWXwx said:

Welcome to climo in the Lakes/Ohio Valley sub forum.

Nah man I thought this was San Diego :D

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Hi res models want to put down 6-8” in the twin cities. With compaction and a warm ground the official forecast of 2-5” seems more in line. 
 

Figures I’m in Rochester MN for work this week where a cold rain/snow mix is expected. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I always say I'm ready for snow November 1st but Id be lying if I didn't say I was a little bit jealous of Minnesota. I got to see myself snow accumulate quickly on May 10th and 11th this year. I love how even in a hot summer, the Midwest can only go 5 months accumulating snow free lol.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, OrdIowPitMsp said:

....and just like that Winter Storm Warning for MSP. Wonder how many of those have been issued in October. 

Sat images showing decent convection across SD and S MN. Cauliflower look. Cirrus somewhat obscuring tho. Guess models where taking that into account and it'll probably pan out to some good numbers down there. Looking for my snow to start later this aftrn or evening. Reports from SW MN showing 4-6" so far.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Looks like Marshall, MN is heading for a record for Oct. They're reporting 4" as of 11 am and the record is 4.5" 10/2/1999 with 4" 10/13/1960 & 10/10/1970. Still snowing with another heavy band moving through SW MN. Pipestone will be near record as well with 3.5" at noon. 6" 10/17/1937 &  4.2" 10/23/1932 &  4" 10/25/1918 - 10/9/1970 - 10/20/1980

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Fast start to winter across the midwest. Someone in this subforum (forget the name) keeps putting out long range predictions and they keep nailing them. Convinced he/she is a time traveler haha 

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, OrdIowPitMsp said:

....and just like that Winter Storm Warning for MSP. Wonder how many of those have been issued in October. 

Probably once or twice. Looks like they will break the record for largest snowfall this early in the season.

October snow facts

Twin Cities: Largest Daily Snowfall Totals, October
Rank Date Amount (inches)
1 October 31, 1991 8.2
2 October 29, 1905 5.5
3 October 20, 1916 3.0

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.