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jburns

Mid to Long Term Discussion 2020

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Great look there... cant wait to start tracking some legit winter weather! Many of our biggest snows dont even come until late January , Early Feburary... exciting times ahead. 

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2 minutes ago, griteater said:

CFS Weeklies for weeks 3-6 (Jan 23 - Feb 20)

PzeSZMB.gif

Probably about the best I've seen that model look, ever.  It usually seems to show warm.  Or maybe I only notice it when it shows warm. :lol:

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42 minutes ago, griteater said:

EPS Day 10-15 Mean (850mb Temp Anomalies)

eaxoKD8.png

Now that's what I'm talking about.  Hope it's right. How does the STJ look during this period on the EPS? Does it dry up and we go northern stream dominant? 

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2 minutes ago, griteater said:

vfkAX2B.png

VTUEKB2.png

I like it, thanks!.  +PNA/-EPO ridge with the TPV on our side of the globe stretched into eastern Canada.  And no SE ridge! Let's get the GEFS on board and see it get closer in the next week...hopefully soon we'll be tracking storms and not patterns. 

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18 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

We score our best snows from clippers 

No, we score our best snows on the GFS 2 weeks out...

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29 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

We score our best snows from clippers 

There was one winter, I believe 2009- where we had multiple clippers bring us a couple of inches, each time. I may have the date wrong, though? One nice thing about clippers is the ratio's tend to be a lot higher.

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35 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said:

-epo always brings the vodka cold

It does.  This run seemed a little later to the party though.  Next week nailing down the timing of this change will be interesting. 

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Just now, mackerel_sky said:

The craziest part of the 18z was, the snow in the middle of the Gulf of Mexico on the 24th

Also the “ ice storm” next weekend 18th or about, the high almost looks like a big banana high, and the low tracks right into it. That could be a super - wedge, and being underestimated as of now!?

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1 hour ago, mackerel_sky said:

Already losing it North! It’s been shifting N the past 3 days

It’s just the table setter :guitar:

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14 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Also the “ ice storm” next weekend 18th or about, the high almost looks like a big banana high, and the low tracks right into it. That could be a super - wedge, and being underestimated as of now!?

Is it a block? 

gfs_mslpa_nhem_37.png

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1 minute ago, Extreme NEGA said:

Is it a block? 

gfs_mslpa_nhem_37.png

I think the low N of Maine, is acting as a temporary block, or temporary-NAO, by it bombing out, slowing things down. That could make the storm go more S in future runs , if it’s stronger or furthe S

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