WmsptWx Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 19 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Blizzard92? It must have been one of those "technical a blizzard but only 2" of snow" blizzards or he lived somewhere else in 92. Pretty sure he was born in 1992. He was a fetus when he had his Wunderground blog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Just now, Atomixwx said: Pretty sure he was born in 1992. He was a fetus when he had his Wunderground blog. I thought of that but was not sure someone would do something confusing like that. What if you were born in 1969? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Big changes on the 12Z Euro for this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 25 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Well Horst already punted next weekend's storm, saying that it's a rain storm, with only a long shot to get a rain to snow situation. I don't think he's idiotic? I would tend to agree with what he is saying. Temps appear to be questionable. About Monday models will show a foot of snow and by Thursday it will all be rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 2 hours ago, sauss06 said: when i first read this, i thought it said she had a psoriatic anus and i burst out laughing they just call it sore ass for short. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Euro is close to seeing us go to the next "phase" of finally getting a snow storm...better than the cold front passage of yesterday. Not posting the snow map for this one. That is @Blizzard of 93 job whether he was born in 93 or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 can't wait sorry Happy Friday (for the next 6 hours anyway) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: can't wait sorry Happy Friday (for the next 6 hours anyway) One Weenie tag for you not waiting for Blizz. Interesting thing about this one as it pertains to meteorology is that with a low that far off the coast we would usually want a full phase to explode possibilities but after looking at the temps I think keeping them separate but still partially interacting is the way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: One Weenie tag for you not waiting for Blizz. Interesting thing about this one as it pertains to meteorology is that with a low that far off the coast we would usually want a full phase to explode possibilities but after looking at the temps I think keeping them separate but still partially interacting is the way to go. I'm deserving for sure and to add to your point, it gives us wiggle room for the undeniable "north jog", but that said, at 210 it retrogrades right off SE NJ coast. Verbatim we'd likely be safe w/ it tucked in close as general rule of thumb w/ coastal like this is that once storm gets to your latitude, you are usually safe as column is as warm as its gonna get, and any marginal boundary layers would crash and we snow....like hopefully CCB snow.....like lotsa CCB snow. Stall that beeyatch. OK, way too much analyzing an op run at 8 days....sure is perty though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 6 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I'm deserving for sure and to add to your point, it gives us wiggle room for the undeniable "north jog", but that said, at 210 it retrogrades right off SE NJ coast. Verbatim we'd likely be safe w/ it tucked in close as general rule of thumb w/ coastal like this is that once storm gets to your latitude, you are usually safe as column is as warm as its gonna get, and any marginal boundary layers would crash and we snow....like hopefully CCB snow.....like lotsa CCB snow. Stall that beeyatch. OK, way too much analyzing an op run at 8 days....sure is perty though. Of course for me personally my best snow is going to be when I bring up the CTP Radar and the screen is completed filled with DBZ's piling in from S/E to NW. That look always means we are measuring in feet and and we are in the meaty quadrant of CCB snow. I need the low to tuck in just a bit further South than NJ. So tuck or no tuck I say to Lupe please give us a DelMarVa tuck. I think you would be safe with that as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 31 minutes ago, pasnownut said: can't wait sorry Happy Friday (for the next 6 hours anyway) Haha this one is better. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Lock the Euro up!!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 I'd sh!t twinkies if that were to verify..... Naked snow angels in the drifts..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Just now, pasnownut said: I'd sh!t twinkies if that were to verify..... Naked snow angels in the drifts..... Hopefully the former while still inside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Hopefully the former while still inside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 No..... its not me.........I"m much cuter thank that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Yikes. The selfies are going a bit far all of a sudden. Put that snowmobile back in the shed! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 2 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Well Horst already punted next weekend's storm, saying that it's a rain storm, with only a long shot to get a rain to snow situation. I don't think he's idiotic? Temp-wise you can argue but a storm can easily disappear or appear and in winter that can bring down cold air (or create its own). You can be very discouraged without punting, if that makes sense, which I get from Horst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 5 minutes ago, canderson said: Temp-wise you can argue but a storm can easily disappear or appear and in winter that can bring down cold air (or create its own). You can be very discouraged without punting, if that makes sense, which I get from Horst. and ground truth says its always a safer bet to say "it ain't happening" wrt snowstorms and be right 90% of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Lol what’s the euro smoking on this weekend...only thing close to snow in parts of pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 1 hour ago, pasnownut said: can't wait sorry Happy Friday (for the next 6 hours anyway) We've had a nice storm on Super Bowl Sunday before, book it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 8 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Lol what’s the euro smoking on this weekend...only thing close to snow in parts of pa. I thought of you and @pawatch when I saw the WSW totals near you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 1 hour ago, paweather5 said: Haha this one is better. Is this for next Sunday? A Super Bowl Blizzard? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 4 minutes ago, canderson said: Is this for next Sunday? A Super Bowl Blizzard? The talk of the detriment it will do to bars in the North East will be getting ramped up soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 24, 2020 Author Share Posted January 24, 2020 Def a decent signal for a storm in that D8 or so timeframe, as models set up a nice western ridge for a change and it appears to be a time of amplification overall in the pattern over the CONUS. The Euro's southern wave kinda gets buried initially and seems like a later interaction with the northern stream, causing what it had at 12z. GFS and and Euro control had earlier phasing and thus cut the low too far west. Going to come down to timing of shortwaves, position/amplitude of the western ridge, and amount of phasing. There's a lot of different shortwaves running around in that time period on the models, so there could be some wound up solutions showing up (like yesterdays 954 on the GFS) if there's a clean phase. So yea, the potential is there. That's all the further I'm going into it for now. After how this week went for what ultimately is ending up a rainer for everyone inbound tonight and tomorrow I'm on a prove it to me basis for anything that doesn't actually cut west of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 24, 2020 Author Share Posted January 24, 2020 3 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: Blizzard92? It must have been one of those "technical a blizzard but only 2" of snow" blizzards or he lived somewhere else in 92. It would be interesting to hear some climate theories on why the 60's were so snowy. Having random snowy years is just random but to have them consecutive like that would suggest something caused it. Lol, well it was probably wasn't as memorable for most of the LSV but there was major nor-easter in Dec '92 that dumped similar snowfall amounts to the 93 superstorm in the interior. I think 50+ of UNV's 92" that season came just from those two events. Back when this part of the state used to see 20"+ snowstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 15 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Lol, well it was probably wasn't as memorable for most of the LSV but there was major nor-easter in Dec '92 that dumped similar snowfall amounts to the 93 superstorm in the interior. I think 50+ of UNV's 92" that season came just from those two events. Back when this part of the state used to see 20"+ snowstorms. There you go. Jim Cantore with the high hair and I looked at MDT's 92 totals before sending that post but did not go out past that. Had just never heard anyone says Blizzard of 92 but my sometimes unfortunate LSV shaded glasses may have blinded me. I did make a post for the benefit of our Williamsport friends today so I am not always selfish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 46 minutes ago, canderson said: Is this for next Sunday? A Super Bowl Blizzard? I hope that ****ing rat dies in a blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 2 hours ago, pasnownut said: Jesus Christ, I didn't even get time to post "no pics please"...ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 24, 2020 Author Share Posted January 24, 2020 14 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: There you go. Jim Cantore with the high hair and I looked at MDT's 92 totals before sending that post but did not go out past that. Had just never heard anyone says Blizzard of 92 but my sometimes unfortunate LSV shaded glasses may have blinded me. I did make a post for the benefit of our Williamsport friends today so I am not always selfish. Nah your not being selfish haha, I thought it was a good opportunity to bust out the vintage TWC coverage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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