Zelocita Weather

Possible Dec 1-3 Winter Storm

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3 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Haha my bad I meant that for @jm1220, he needs to leave Suffolk so we can snow again 

I’m in LB now actually. For a fee I can remain here so you can enjoy what’s yours and I slink back on Tue AM. 

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5 minutes ago, White Gorilla said:

Has the NAM historically had hiccup runs like this with complex systems inside 48?  We know that the crazy uncle often goes wild with too much qpf, but the other direction? 

We have had a few instances where the high to the north was underestimated and position slightly off. We got suppression especially north of the city. The dry cold air was pushed from the north right down the Hudson valley instead of the northeast. Not sure if this will be one of those instances that the NAM is catching on to. I didn't look at this run. 

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1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

I’m in LB now actually. For a fee I can remain here so you can enjoy what’s yours and I slink back on Tue AM. 

How much we talking?

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Just now, lee59 said:

Storm moving in from the west and developing off New Jersey coast, especially this time of year with mild water temps, not a good scenario for NYC metro and Long Island.

The redeveloping low has been trending toward hanging right off Fire Island and not clearing East until the dynamics weaken. Maybe that changes but it has to for whatever CCB to work out for East of the city. 

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3 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

RGEM very dynamic around the city on Monday, going to be a precip type battle at least initially

I thought the Rgem don't come out until 11.

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Just now, donsutherland1 said:

Another nice run by the RGEM. More model runs to come later this evening.

Rgem has about an inch  or 2 on the onset tomorrow for NYC 

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Just now, Snow88 said:

Rgem has about an inch  or 2 on the onset tomorrow for NYC 

I am more interested in the back end... anything? 

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2 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Rgem has about an inch  or 2 on the onset tomorrow for NYC 

I’m sort of confused by that given the warm nose on the NAM is fairly significant 

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Just now, SnowGoose69 said:

I’m sort of confused by that given the warm nose on the NAM is fairly significant 

To me it makes more sense with the low dewpoints and how intense the precip is coming in. We shall see

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2 minutes ago, NJsnow89 said:

Rgem is on it own. Nam and Gfs both are terrible for our area. 

3-6 isn’t terrible what the nam spat out. Gfs just sucks. Euro shows several inches like rgem and so does cmc 

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