CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Hope all is well with the baby, Ray. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2019 Author Share Posted November 30, 2019 UK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Ukie is pukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 And dookie 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 i cant post a single map from anywhere right now as my max total size is down to a strange 0.38MB, anyone know why that is, i tried to msg dendrite but didn't hear back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2019 Author Share Posted November 30, 2019 Euro is def. maturing the system more slowly...this is a trend that I was cautioning Luke about. If this continues, amounts will end up somewhat less over NYS, and higher back this way and especially into ME. Ideally, that trend would continue along with a slightly further se track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: i cant post a single map from anywhere right now as my max total size is down to a strange 0.38MB, anyone know why that is, i tried to msg dendrite but didn't hear back You may have to go into your attachments and delete previous images you posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2019 Author Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: i cant post a single map from anywhere right now as my max total size is down to a strange 0.38MB, anyone know why that is, i tried to msg dendrite but didn't hear back Delete old attachments....click on your profile and select "my attachments" from menu..delete some. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: i cant post a single map from anywhere right now as my max total size is down to a strange 0.38MB, anyone know why that is, i tried to msg dendrite but didn't hear back Clear your content. Delete attachments from prior. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 UK clowns are much worse than I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 nam out to lunch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 EPS was an improvement as well from 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Euro is def. maturing the system more slowly...this is a trend that I was cautioning Luke about. If this continues, amount will end up less over NYS, and higher back this way and especially into ME. Ideally, that trend would continue along with a slightly further se track. I like it the way it is. It has a front end of 1.2" (defined as by midnight Sun/Mon). Part #2 is about another 1"....I think it's actually showing more from part 2 out toward Cooperstown this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 the track of the slp and H5, H7 for this storm felt eerily similar to Dec 24-26 2002 and Jan 3-4 2003, i checked CIPS and sure enough they both were in the top 10 analogs. 12-6-2003 being the top analog. That was a different situation though as i believe the airmass was signicantly colder to work with. The other two were boarderline like this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2019 Author Share Posted November 30, 2019 NAM gave me like 8"...no thanks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2019 Author Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: the track of the slp and H5, H7 for this storm felt eerily similar to Dec 24-26 2002 and Jan 3-4 2003, i checked CIPS and sure enough they both were in the top 10 analogs. 12-6-2003 being the top analog. That was a different situation though as i believe the airmass was signicantly colder to work with. The other two were boarderline like this storm. I'll take a warmer 12-6-2003.....cf porked me in that one...subsidence hell. 12", with 36" 10 mi ese of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll take a warmer 12-6-2003.....cf porked me in that one...subsidence hell. 12", with 36" 10 mi ese of me. I don't think that storm was much where I lived below Albany (in Saugerties then). This area here may have done better. So it may have been a further east solution relative to this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2019 Author Share Posted November 30, 2019 GEM looked north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Looks run of the mill for E MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 00Z NAM giveth, 06z NAM taketh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 surprise, surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2019 Author Share Posted November 30, 2019 34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 00Z NAM giveth, 06z NAM taketh. Amounts not much different for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 NWS not confident enough to turn a lot of those watches over to warnings, not even Litchfield or Worcester yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 it's over, had a feeling the warm nose would be further north and southern areas wouldn't recover. Oh well, next 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 6 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: NWS not confident enough to turn a lot of those watches over to warnings, not even Litchfield or Worcester yet. Too early for that right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Nice to see steady as she goes overnight. No changes needed yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Too early for that right now. no doubt, confidence is low given the lead timing. But they did upgrade a lot to warnings where its pretty much guarantted to be 8 and in some places 9" or more snow totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Have fun guys. Wish I lived in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 You dont see this get used to much but i imagine they are going with 24hr totals for this storm, in some places 12 or 24 won't matter. But for CT and surrounding locales probably need the 24 threshold. I still like 12-25-02 for the best fitting analog. Surface track, H5 and H7 are very close throughout the duration. 12-07-03 might be the top analog for the storm at the 72 hour panel but subjectively, 12-25-02 makes more sense to me. Plus the airmass is closer to that storm and no 12-07-03 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 8 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: no doubt, confidence is low given the lead timing. But they did upgrade a lot to warnings where its pretty much guarantted to be 8 and in some places 9" or more snow totals. Yeah I see they upgraded ORH hills to WSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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