BristowWx Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: 18z FV3 has snow chances on the 30th and 5th. FV3 looked interesting on 30th. Few adjustments and that could be better than it looks now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: FV3 looked interesting on 30th. Few adjustments and that could be better than it looks now yep, totally. Interesting enough the 30th and 5th are anniversaries of 2010 storms. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: yep, totally. Interesting enough the 30th and 5th are anniversaries of 2010 storms. Marginally exceeding climo is my bar now. Given up on epic or historic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 5 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Marginally exceeding climo is my bar now. Given up on epic or historic. Anytime I can exceed climo, I consider it a good winter in DC. Great winter is another story obviously. I find it hard to believe I don’t exceed climo considering I’m only 6” from that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 ICON joining the party of a pretty nice look next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 We should keep an eye on the clipper for Sunday. 0z icon improved at h5 and gets flurries into the area. Still time for it to trend into something for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Nice hit on the icon. It's funny because that shortwave has been a rain event for a while. Now cold/suppressed with snow. -NAOs are good 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 Nice hit on the icon. It's funny because that shortwave has been a rain event for a while. Now cold/suppressed with snow. -NAOs are goodI'll take the icon and call it a January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 24 hour storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Nice hit on the icon. It's funny because that shortwave has been a rain event for a while. Now cold/suppressed with snow. -NAOs are good It snows on us from hrs 153-174. Like it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 1 minute ago, Ji said: 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Nice hit on the icon. It's funny because that shortwave has been a rain event for a while. Now cold/suppressed with snow. -NAOs are good I'll take the icon and call it a January Snowing in the teens and low 20s on hard frozen ground. Yea, that works 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Heh, and below zero afterwards. If the icon verified this Jan would be an A grade. 3 events and 20" for the month including single digit or sub zero lows... that's a big win for this area. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ji said: 24 hour storm Yes please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 10 minutes ago, Ji said: 11 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Nice hit on the icon. It's funny because that shortwave has been a rain event for a while. Now cold/suppressed with snow. -NAOs are good I'll take the icon and call it a January Only 4 to 6 though and you are okay with it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, yoda said: Only 4 to 6 though and you are okay with it? That's the icons weird snow algo. Drops like .6-.7 on my yard. Deep cold column = 12-15:1. I'm thinking 10" 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, Bob Chill said: That's the icons weird snow algo. Drops like .6-.7 on my yard. Deep cold column = 12-15:1. I'm thinking 10" Oh I know.... just needling Ji a bit. ICON would be great. Though just to our NE gets a foot... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 Snowing in the teens and low 20s on hard frozen ground. Yea, that worksI feel like an icon is a fun trailer before the main movie that you would never actually see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 Oh I know.... just needling Ji a bit. ICON would be great. Though just to our NE gets a foot... lolIcon is like opposite of nam...take the snow and multiply by 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, Ji said: 14 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Snowing in the teens and low 20s on hard frozen ground. Yea, that works I feel like an icon is a fun trailer before the main movie that you would never actually see I've been saying I really like the period from Fri thru the end of the month for days but somehow winter got cancelled last night while I was asleep. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, Ji said: 14 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Snowing in the teens and low 20s on hard frozen ground. Yea, that works I feel like an icon is a fun trailer before the main movie that you would never actually see I swear a week ago someone said the icon has been good at picking up on threats before the other models. Maybe my memory serves me wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 Im 8 inches from a 20 inch January lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 I believe in the upcoming big cold, 5 degrees colder than what we just had Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I've been saying I really like the period from Fri thru the end of the month for days but somehow winter got cancelled last night while I was asleep. It's a stretch to think any model can nail a NS shortwave 5+ days out so no way to know yet if that shortwave is going to work. However, there are multiple cold fronts coming and flow looks fairly active. Have the ingredients. Just need a little luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Pretty decent s/w in northern plains at 138 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 Gfs lifts confluence too early...sw dosent dig Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 I guess the gfs requires a vortex over Maine in order to get something underneath us.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, Ji said: Gfs lifts confluence too early...sw dosent dig Yea, spacing is different than 18z. However, the -nao is better. This is becoming a good setup with a transient 50/50 and -nao building. Should be more than 1 chance if it holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 PV looks like it's coming close for a visit at 168 to the US Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 I swear a week ago someone said the icon has been good at picking up on threats before the other models. Maybe my memory serves me wrongI’ve personally repeatedly honked that the ICON is fantastic at sniffing things out in the medium range. That said, I certainty only remember the times it has vs. the times it hasn’t. ICON has definitely popped storms that fail to come to fruition. . Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 I guess the gfs requires a vortex over Maine in order to get something underneath us....A vortex there always kills us....either it kills our storm or it lifts too soon lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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