HeadInTheClouds Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, David-LI said: Any news on the Ukie? I heard 00z held serve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, HeadInTheClouds said: Being wrong is one thing but for the NWS to basically be so definitive about something that is 4-5 days out is unusual. Still waiting for my 24 to 36 from Juno 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: But it didn't. I get your reasoning but the negativity with this system was 2 days of run after run of cutters. I'm just saying that it's way too early to make any definitive statements. We'll get better sampling and more model consensus once the system is onshore. All we know now is that there will be a sizeable storm in the area this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, David-LI said: Any news on the Ukie? @Rjay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: @Rjay Just bring on the JMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Ukie is a 999 east of cape cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, Sn0waddict said: Ukie is a 999 east of cape cod. Yeah but we need to know the lead up to that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 This is a wee bit painful,,this waiting = Ukie anyone ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Ukmet 0z run a bit west but ends up having a benchmark track 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Brasiluvsnow said: This is a wee bit painful,,this waiting = Ukie anyone ? Ukie was a good run, holding serve, good snow storm for much of our area. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 The ukie has the storm in northern Alabama 24 hours prior to being off cape cod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I can't wait on you guys lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Ukmet 0z run a bit west but ends up having a benchmark track Lock it up. Don't like the west tick but considering where we were 3 hours ago we can't get Greedy. Need the PV to squash this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: This is a wee bit painful,,this waiting = Ukie anyone ? From the New England forum. Check them out. They post a lot of good stuff that's often relevant to us. 0Z Ukie looks good fo Me. Would love to have soundings... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Lock it up. Don't like the west tick but considering where we were 3 hours ago we can't get Greedy. Need the PV to squash this. Is it west or just slower? It was in GA now AL but as long as it goes offshore to the BM we should be fine 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 6 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Lock it up. Don't like the west tick but considering where we were 3 hours ago we can't get Greedy. Need the PV to squash this. Well I think this will work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Is it west or just slower? It was in GA now AL but as long as it goes offshore to the BM we should be fine It is a bit west of the last run but in my opinion it’s just as good.. don’t have the soundings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingbaus Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 how much qpf on the ukie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Is it west or just slower? It was in GA now AL but as long as it goes offshore to the BM we should be fine Looks ever so slightly inside the BM but that should get the job done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 OZ GFS ENS at 7 Am Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, CPcantmeasuresnow said: OZ GFS ENS at 7 Am Sunday. Painfully close. Worlds better than 18z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, Ericjcrash said: Painfully close. Worlds better than 18z agreed but we just went from out on the ledge to back inside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 GEFS clearly south of 18z. 6" mean very close to the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 It would appear the FV3 is about to spit out a completely different solution than the “old” GFS. It may very well be Thursday before a general model consensus like some have been saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Brasiluvsnow said: agreed but we just went from out on the ledge to back inside I was halfway to the pavement. Pretty sweet look on the GEFS. Pretty remarkable shift for an ensemble. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, snowman19 said: It would appear the FV3 is about to spit out a completely different solution than the “old” GFS. It may very well be Thursday before a general model consensus like some have been saying As HM posted on Twitter a few minutes ago in response to Earthlight it would be funny if this thing just ended up entirely suppressed after all of this. The Friday wave has certainly gone that way from what it was two days ago 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: As HM posted on Twitter a few minutes ago in response to Earthlight it would be funny if this thing just ended up entirely suppressed after all of this. The Friday wave has certainly gone that way from what it was two days ago I'd prefer that to 55° rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: As HM posted on Twitter a few minutes ago in response to Earthlight it would be funny if this thing just ended up entirely suppressed after all of this It’s not happening. Even with today’s 12z ukmet run was way east and we got a heavy snow event depiction. The area of precip is wide and long! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just inside bm. Almost perfect 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 And GFS ENS at 1PM Sunday. People on the coast on the fence but I'm liking it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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