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2018/19 Winter Banter and General Discussion - We winter of YORE


Baroclinic Zone

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1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Turning the corner to Morch.

Even 00z NAM/GFS 2m temps had me in the mid 20s/near 20 for this morning so it isn't just a MOS or lack of radiational cooling issue. But yeah, we approach the season when models start to overestimate the cold and the sun starts laughing at 2m temp progs.

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8 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Even 00z NAM/GFS 2m temps had me in the mid 20s/near 20 for this morning so it isn't just a MOS or lack of radiational cooling issue. But yeah, we approach the season when models start to overestimate the cold and the sun starts laughing at 2m temp progs.

Got down to 33 but clouds and wind creeped in so was 35 when I got up. Dews low so snow iced up from evapo cooling. Speaking of ice, enjoy Sunday there.

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Just now, CoastalWx said:

Got down to 33 but clouds and wind creeped in so was 35 when I got up. Dews low so snow iced up from evapo cooling. Speaking of ice, enjoy Sunday there.

Worst case scenario is an accumulation of sleet and then it all gets completely encased in glaze. It'll take weeks to melt the driveway out.

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3 hours ago, dendrite said:

Wow. What a bust with MOS temps for this morning. 12z MAV yesterday had 19° for CON. I just woke up to 31° here and 33° at CON. 

Places that decoupled were quite different.  Low was about 14 here (haven't checked the max-min) after slipping 5° between 5:15 and 6:45.  PQI was well below zero.

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