#NoPoles Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Might be stormy at times. It’s the type where you could see interior snow if something like that later EPS has. But for all those spanking it to judah, wave flux bullshit, frictional torque....whatever makes you comfy in your footy pajamas with a pacifier sucking in and out like Maggie Simpson and ignoring everything in front of you.....taste the collective ass of the MJO. Come to the dark side. El Ni~no, spanish for The Ni~no Rock on 94-95! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 6 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: Come to the dark side. El Ni~no, spanish for The Ni~no Rock on 94-95! Roll back 24 years...I’m 48. Book it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 22 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: GFS profiles? New GFS15 and High def RGEM have all snow profiles I would say 6 to 9 in the city, immediate burbs to the NW a foot but AEMATT says its an unpopulated foregettable area. Its is funny how you guys act when its not IYBY. Euro schooled everyone Nov 15th and for this . Amazing consistency Good luck man...like I said i take the under on a foot for CLT. Pretty good warm tongue. Most here aren't going to stay up for a moderate snowstorm...yeah if we lived there maybe. Congrats Boone NC though in the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Good luck man...like I said i take the under on a foot for CLT. Pretty good warm tongue. Most here aren't going to stay up for a moderate snowstorm...yeah if we lived there maybe. Congrats Boone NC though in the mountains. Good luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 24 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I just went through the 18Z models. Reviewing them Euro Hdef Rgem, GFS15 ,much colder aloft during max lift. They thump We'll see. Nammy usually does well sniffing those out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Some are still waiting for the Arctic SW to be sampled ignoring the Mass of weight the TPV sent down, 10 days of modeling with practically zero difference in 5 H. Easy call Looks like the epic December call wasn't quite as easy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Well it’s good to see Steve basically back to normal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Some here are deathly afraid of a week of normal with some above normal days in the midst of a cold regime reshuffling. They have exclusively talked about it since Thanksgiving. Funny stuff mostly because it didn't snow in their backyard. Still way AN snow here. AVE is 3.5 by Dec 7th 8.5 on the books, something tells me I finish Dec above my normal YTD of 13.5 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3 hours ago, frd said: Ray, do you buy the progression on the weeklies ? Or, do you feel they are too quick with the good look that they show at the end of Dec. ( starting the 24 th to 26 th ) and in Jan ? Also, when the pattern changes to a more favorable for the East , do you expect it to lock in, or still be variable ? Aren't we still waiting on the El Nino coupling to take effect. Looking back at some winters, to a degree similiar to this one, the good pattern did lock in for about a 30 to 45 day period. I know your seasonal by memory, so I know your winter forecast, but just wondering any thoughts about the evolution you see versus the weeklies. I know for fact you were never in the camp for a stellar super cold and snowy December. Oh, and there seems to be a considerable amount of long term agreement about week 5 , even though that is ages away. The GEFS, Euro weeklies and CFSv2 seem to show the same pattern. Thanks I think the last week of December is reasonable, but I won't be surprised if the pattern waivers a bit until past mid January, then locks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Well it’s good to see Steve basically back to normal. Well he had a little more time than usual to be able to calculate all of those complicated GPH and vorticity equations in his head to know all of those shortwaves were sampled well enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Well it’s good to see Steve basically back to normal. ? Just call it like I see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Hell....by mid January winter is basically over, now is the time we should be building pack 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, dendrite said: Well he had a little more time than usual to be able to calculate all of those complicated GPH and vorticity equations in his head to know all of those shortwaves were sampled well enough. Ignore TPV wave breaks at your own risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Steve has lost it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, Whineminster said: Hell....by mid January winter is basically over, now is the time we should be building pack Said no one in countless years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, Whineminster said: Hell....by mid January winter is basically over, now is the time we should be building pack I know, right? I usually start working on my tan around Groundhog Day. I'm just white enough by then to start to feel the effect of that 2.5 UV index. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Well he had a little more time than usual to be able to calculate all of those complicated GPH and vorticity equations in his head to know all of those shortwaves were sampled well enough. There was no way a 6 day euro forecast was wrong if it was showing it at D8-9 too. Save a horse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Steve has lost it When you guys gag you personal attack. I am used to it over the years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 I agree CLT is on the edge. Why is wrong to question? I should see what we have since CLT is an AAL hub. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 8, 2018 Author Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, dendrite said: I know, right? I usually start working on my tan around Groundhog Day. I'm just white enough by then to start to feel the effect of that 2.5 UV index. Round that up to 3 and my pale Irish skin sizzles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: There was no way a 6 day euro forecast was wrong if it was showing it at D8-9 too. Save a horse. Sucks you couldn't make a call Nov 15th or this week. Nowcasting is your specialty since you moved out of the snowbelt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Steve has lost it Just needs a Asian massage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: When you guys gag you personal attack. I am used to it over the years. Says the guy who keeps making passive agressive posts about Arctic shortwave sampling 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Just needs a Asian massage My PT is hot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Says the guy who keeps making passive agressive posts about Arctic shortwave sampling 5 days out. Did they sample it yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Ignore TPV wave breaks at your own risk. Did you surf it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I agree CLT is on the edge. Why is wrong to question? I should see what we have since CLT is an AAL hub. I just saw 18 Z and 3 models see the omega and Thumpity thump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, dendrite said: Did you surf it? All the way to nailing the forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Did they sample it yet? I think NMB10 on the SREFs finally did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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