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Tyler Penland

2018/2019 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

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Just now, BlueRidgeFolklore said:

Absolutely ripping here.

Think we can stave off that warm nose?

Totally unsure.  HRRR looks exceptionally promising.

21Z SREF plumes and what I think the 00Z NAM will show...is a sleet and freezing rain mess. Warm nosed big time.

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18 minutes ago, HurricaneTracker said:

Oh and the 00Z NAM is U.G.L.Y. Just wastes liquid on sleet and freezing rain. Oh my.  Just  5.2" of snow.  Warm nose at 700mb goes all the way to Bristol, TN!

I shall hold out hope that is wrong and just enjoy the beating we are taking now. At this rate, we may get 5.2 easy.

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1 minute ago, BretWheatley said:

Approaching 4 inches here now - and still pouring. 

Trying to wrap my head around another 12 hours of snow... We shall see! 

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5 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Rain in marion still and fog.. not good. Per dad.

Wow. Been snow here since 6:45 tonight. I have 1/2 on cars and the ground is covered. Gravel roads are getting covered but main roads are just wet for now. 

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35 minutes ago, HurricaneTracker said:

Oh and the 00Z NAM is U.G.L.Y. Just wastes liquid on sleet and freezing rain. Oh my.  Just  5.2" of snow.  Warm nose at 700mb goes all the way to Bristol, TN!

The warm nose looks like a pinocchio nose at 12Z...but at 9z and 15z shows the zero isotherm at 750 so the duration of the mixed precip may be limited.  However, I don't think there remains any doubt, that warm nose is coming.  Note, the warm nose should make its presence known by watching the Mt. Lyn Lowry station at 6000 feet hit 32.  Right now it is at 27  and still slowly dropping suggesting the mixed precip is still hours away.

 

 

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Just did the Canton to Maggie Valley drive home from work. Word of advice, if you  don't have to drive in Haywood County, avoid it. Cars slld off the road everywhere.

It is beautiful out there and the snow is still thumping. Good luck to everyone for a big thump and may we avoid the evil warm nose.

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