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MikeGold

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About MikeGold

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  • Website URL
    http://mtlynlowrynorthcarolina.wordpress.com/

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Grass Lake, MI
  • Interests
    Weather, climatology, storm chasing, travel, investing

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  1. January 11-13 Winter Storm

    Had blizzard like conditions here for about an hour before we got in between bands and reminded there unfortunately. Briefly, it was the most intense snowfall of the season. Looks to be over but the stiff North wind is blowing snow all over the place.
  2. January 11-13 Winter Storm

    33 here in Eastern Jackson County. Looks like a very intense band of snow is going to set up between Jackson and Kalamazoo NE towards Lansing. Still not clear exactly where it will setup but guessing those locations based on radar trends. Also not sure just how fast the change over to snow will occur. Will be an interesting next few hours for sure. EDIT: Sleet began around 6:30 AM and 32. EDIT: Snow began around 7:10 AM and 31. So no more than a hour for a change over to occur. EDIT: Heavy snow at 7:20 am. (Very large flake size). EDIT: Near blizzard conditions at 8:00 am. 1" of snow, 27 degrees...visibility no more than 1/8 of a mile at times with gusty winds and blowing snow.
  3. January 11-13 Winter Storm

    Nice to see SE Michigan back in the play for a moderate storm. It appears will have to wait for the 0z model suite for the final call.
  4. January 11-13 Winter Storm

    True but the 0Z run was consistent with its own ensemble members which probably means future model shifts will be minimal. QPF's totals may come down as really that can't realistically go up.
  5. January 11-13 Winter Storm

    The writing is on the wall for this one... GFS has started the trend to the Euro as expected. Michigan may end up with some rather remarkable snow totals.
  6. January 11-13 Winter Storm

    Agree. "FOCUS THEN SHIFTS TO STRONG SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE THAT WILL EJECT TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY. MODELS HAVE GENERALLY STAYED IN THEIR CAMPS OF THE PAST COUPLE DAYS WITH GFS QUICKER AND FURTHER EAST WITH SFC LOW AND EC/GEM/UKMET ALL LEANING TOWARDS SLOWER/STRONGER AND FURTHER NW SOLUTION. INTERESTING NOTE ON 700 MB LOW ON THE GFS IS DEPICTED MUCH FURTHER WEST THAN SFC REFLECTION (OVER E OHIO SAT AM). SUSPECT WITH TIME THE GFS WILL COME INTO LINE WITH OTHER MODELS."
  7. December 24-25 Snow Potential

    Dendrites appear to be excellent..."medium-sized" is probably the best way to describe it. Expecting a 14 to 1 ratio.
  8. December 24-25 Snow Potential

    Nice dusting of snow at Noon already here between Jackson and Ann Arbor. Expecting this storm to over perform a bit locally and tomorrow might prove to be especially interesting with snow squalls/convergence band setting up somewhere near I-94. Not looking forward to driving to a Christmas party near Warren this evening!
  9. December 8-16 Clipper Regime

    Yes..ie the consensus. Note that the consensus for the last storm was too far to the North. Also note that the latest HRRR clips Ann Arbor with 0.5 QPF amounts which could translate into 9" of snow.
  10. December 8-16 Clipper Regime

    It is already down to 995 and the 1-hr pressure falls shows that it has further to go. I think the low/ associated snow band may track slightly SW of the current consensus but an error of no more than 1 county or so at best. (Of course a stronger solution may result in more aggressive dry slotting. Dry slotting being both good and bad...good in the sense that more likely see some convective bursts on the fringes of it. Note comments in NWS DTW discussion about contributions from Lake Erie. This suggests that Ann Arbor might end up with some of the highest snow totals with its location near the glacial ridge, favorable up-slope winds, and also within the main swath of snow. Snow already has started here in Eastern Jackson County as of 6:15 AM.) Edit: 994 mb low as of the 6 am update. 06 Z NAM NEST didn't have it that deep till 19z.
  11. Weather Flow

    I have received the first half of my WeatherFlow Smart Weather Station a couple of weeks ago. (Read about it here: https://www.indiegogo.com/projects/weatherflow-smart-weather-stations#/updates/all or watch the promotional video: More specifically the AIR portion of it which includes temperature/humidity/barometric pressure and a lightning detection function. The SKY portion of the weather station is not yet available and has additional functionality such as wind speed/direction, rain gauge etc. How it detects wind/rainfall is rather novel for a low price weather station. Overall, it was very easy to set up. In a few minutes, was able to set up it on cellphone so can view data remotely. In the same amount of time, I was able to set it up as a reporting station on Weather Underground. It provides data almost in real time with nice charts to show trends. https://smartweather.weatherflow.com/station/1800/ If you click on the temperature etc you can view the nice charts. Use the + or - key to view different periods of time. The temperature sensor appears to be very accurate based on surrounding weather stations. I installed it on a pole in the shade a couple of meters off the ground. (A radiation shield is recommended for non shady locations.) The humidity sensor which measures relative humidity then converts it to dew point seems to be about 3 or 4 degrees too moist for some reason on my station although others don't report having this problem. The lightning sensor appears to be designed for warning the user when cloud to ground lightning strokes are nearby rather than accurately counting lightning strikes or pin pointing their location except a simple distance estimate. Looking forward to receiving the SKY portion of the weather station. The Company is still doing some more field testing prior to releasing the final product. (If the latest testing iteration is successful, the SKY portion might be available by Christmas.)
  12. 2017 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    Webcam view of Mt. Mitchell this morning.
  13. 2017 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    I see some decent snows have already fallen: https://www.wunderground.com/webcams/RanchMtnMan/2/show.html I think this is near Max Patch.
  14. 2016 Mountains & Foothills Fall & Winter Thread

    Looks like with a secondary surge of moisture/energy going through the Balsams will probably end up around 6" or so. Nice!
  15. 2016 Mountains & Foothills Fall & Winter Thread

    As expected, looks like the Balsams did get their couple of inches per webcam: http://brpwebcams.org/cam/5/1. Upstream radar has a Southward shift to returns so should start to lighten up for the rest of the night.
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