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September 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208

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12 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

The remnant low is pretty incoherent, you wonder what might've been with a decent cold front to drive cyclogenesis.  As it is looks like some spots could be in for 2+ inches while their neighbors starve.  I guess we'll see.

What do you want? It’s been over land for days and has lost most of its tropical characteristics. 

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29 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

There is the distinct feeling in the air of a strong tropical warm front.  Albeit decaying.  But not like some warm front advecting into an extrotropical storm.  Just different.  Feels really nice to be outside.  The strong breeze is doing something for me.

Me too. Clouds are racing, nice strong breeze and a very tropical airmass. Feels different then your normal warm passes we've experienced this summer..but ye know...human psyche does play a role.

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On 9/14/2018 at 11:53 AM, gravitylover said:

Every time I try to explain this to people they tell me I'm wrong :whistle:

It's like London people think it rains there a lot but it really doesn't.  Doesn't mean there is a lot of sunshine either though.

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1 hour ago, nzucker said:

Incredibly warm for 1am on Sept 18, 75F in the Bronx.

It's those ridiculously high dew points again- this summer has been like nothing I've ever seen before, glad it's on its last legs.  I can tolerate 100+ heat with low humidity, but this is just yucky and you dont even get the joy of witnessing historic 100 degree heat, you just get the nasty humidity lol

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On 9/13/2018 at 9:17 PM, gravitylover said:

When we think we've had a lot of rain I can't help but think of the guy in NC that posted in their Florence thread last night that he is at 103" so far for the year. I couldn't believe it when i saw it but he confirmed it. Can you imagine...

I remember the outrageous 80"+ inches of rain we had in 1983 although I was only 10 at the time (2 feet of that was from a snowstorm here).  Really hot summer too, with 28 days of 90+ at JFK (the record holder prior to the 31 in 2010) and 37 days of 90+ at NYC (the record holder prior to 1991 and 1993's 39- although 2010 should have been well into the 40s if not for the overgrown foliage) and JFK also had 24 days of 75+ dew points (far and away the record holder and the only year with more than 19 until 2018 came along and gave us 40 so far) and the still record holder of 240 hours (10 whole days!) of 90+ heat indices there!  The only year with more than 200 hours of that.

 

 

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On 9/13/2018 at 9:02 AM, bluewave said:

Warm minimums really driving the temperature departures this month. Pretty lopsided results so far with all the clouds and high humidity.

LGA

AVG....+3.1

MIN....+4.8

MAX....+1.4

ISP

AVG....+3.8

MIN....+5.8

MAX....+1.9

EWR

AVG....+2.9

MIN....+4.8

MAX....+0.9

ALB

AVG....+4.6

MIN....+6.9

MAX....+2.3

All the yuckiness of high humidity without the fun of record highs

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11 hours ago, bluewave said:

The Miami dew points can't stay away for long.


Kennedy Intl   CLOUDY    75  74  96 SE9       30.02F

Warwick          N/A     75  75 100 SE5         

We missed a 75 degree dew point by one degree lol.

Looks like Warwick, RI made it.

JFK got their 41st the next day, 75/75/100% right now at  5 am

 

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2 hours ago, SRRTA22 said:

Me too. Clouds are racing, nice strong breeze and a very tropical airmass. Feels different then your normal warm passes we've experienced this summer..but ye know...human psyche does play a role.

I got this refreshing feeling last year too when those TCs were just offshore and in 2016 I think it was with Matthew passing by to our east.

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Next 8 days averaging 72degs., or about 6degs. AN.

Month to date is +2.9[73.2].   Should be +3.9[72.8] by the 26th.

Of the previous 60 days, just 17 have been BN.

Florence leftovers, remnant low, appear to be about 150 miles to our west this AM, with no real circulation anymore.

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On 9/13/2018 at 8:11 AM, SACRUS said:

More like Denmark in the spring.  If you looked at the 500 MB map the last 8 days youd think we would have been +8 - 10.  ONce we clear in 2023 we should warmup nicely.

 

In all seriousness - ECM is back to predominant higher heights in the Sep 20 - 24 period perhaps the next window for a little late season heat. 

Hey Denmark has a nice climate lol.

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30 minutes ago, bluewave said:

41 days is off the charts compared to anything that we have seen before. 

1384579836_Screenshot2018-09-18at6_40_12AM.thumb.png.64a0609ec5adb19ed30c9abd0c449242.png

 

Chris, do you think today is the last one or could we see more of these this month/year?  It seems to be rather easy to get 75+ dew points this year, much harder to get 90 degree highs, but if you look at climatology and past history, 75+ dew points should be more difficult to get than 90 degree highs here!

 

Fall begins Saturday night at 9:54PM EDT but day and night dont become equal until 4 days later, on the 26th.

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23 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Chris, do you think today is the last one or could we see more of these this month/year?  It seems to be rather easy to get 75+ dew points this year, much harder to get 90 degree highs, but if you look at climatology and past history, 75+ dew points should be more difficult to get than 90 degree highs here!

 

Fall begins Saturday night at 9:54PM EDT but day and night dont become equal until 4 days later, on the 26th.

Plenty of moisture available for slow moving tropical downpours from Florence later.

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/HRRRNE_CUR/comploop.html

885140965_2018091806_GFS_015_40.58-73.65_severe_ml.thumb.png.0dfbec839feeacdd5d6968583fb30e2e.png

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