showmethesnow Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 If everyone is good with it then I'll throw up a thread if it hasn't been done already. eta: Guess we roll with Ji and his luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 6 minutes ago, Ji said: epic winter continues for you...meanwhile for me.... not sure 13" is considered epic, but okay Just now, showmethesnow said: If everyone is good with it then I'll throw up a thread if it hasn't been done already. Ji beat you to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 i have a feeling 12z GFs might be better ...well see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ji said: i have a feeling 12z GFs might be better ...well see maybe the south shift has already started with the march 6-7 event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 7 minutes ago, Ji said: maybe the south shift has already started with the march 6-7 event Still really not doing anything for us on the 6-7 though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, Interstate said: Still really not doing anything for us on the 6-7 though it is different though lol..and its close to something. Or maybe it sets the stage for the next one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ji said: it is different though lol..and its close to something. Or maybe it sets the stage for the next one Yeah, it's better. Long way to go though. Develops a storm offshore. And of course gets New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 38 minutes ago, mappy said: not sure 13" is considered epic, but okay Ji beat you to it. Little more than double my 5.6, so yeah....it is epic lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Yeah, it's better. Long way to go though. Develops a storm offshore. And of course gets New England. It's actually screwing with our next event smh but pretty wild run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 13 minutes ago, Interstate said: Still really not doing anything for us on the 6-7 though It's much better organized and it has drifted more south and west with that low really winding up off the Jersey coast. Maybe we can get some luck with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 I do know one thing... it does give us our 50/50 low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 We got 2 chances left after this weekend then its done most likely. We won't get 2 events but we need some luck where one storm dosent shred the other Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 I do know one thing... it does give us our 50/50 lowToo far south though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Cmc is also close day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 39 minutes ago, snowmagnet said: I never expected this weekend to give us snow, but I thought this storm was a crucial part in setting up a 50/50 Low to help us with the upcoming storm for March 7-8th. Is that still something that has potential? Thanks for your insight! Mentioned yesterday I thought there were a lot of similarities on how the models were evolving for the setup for the 7th/8th possible storm as we have seen with the storm that is now incoming. And as you know we are hanging on by a thread for our Fri. storm. So at this point my hopes aren't especially high. But as you pointed out it will probably come down to where our current low we are tracking tracks and evolves. If we see that lolligag far to the south off the coast we will see heights build in the east again where the general setup leading into the 7th/8th will be very hard to overcome. On the other hand if we can get that to to exit stage right quicker we will be in a better position leading into the storm. Probably too much to ask for it to rotate up into the 50/50 region at this point, which would be ideal, because of the strong blocking we are seeing. This blocking is evident by how the models are stalling and/or looping the current projected low off the coast. But we are still talking seven days away so there is plenty of time to see improvements within the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Welp gfs has march 12 threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 cmc is close at day 10. just what i wanted to hear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: Welp gfs has march 12 threat A nice one too... The NS and SS almost in sync... that would be nice for a change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 22 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yeah, it's better. Long way to go though. Develops a storm offshore. And of course gets New England. The fact that we are still even discussing what will happen with a 48 hours storm should temper any definitive statements one way or the other on day 7+ stuff. As it is right now the setup does favor New England...we have that stupid upper low track to thank for that... either get that to adjust south a bit or get it north and out of the way and that changes quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 I can see that March 7th storm popping a low off the southeast Virginia Coast and then maybe it will at least make it look like winter around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 11 minutes ago, Ji said: Welp gfs has march 12 threat Yep. The 12z gives me a little hope that maybe something breaks our way over the next 2 weeks. Of course though as you have been saying all winter when we take a step forward we will take 3 steps back on the next run..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 15 minutes ago, Ji said: Welp gfs has march 12 threat ots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 ICON is about to go BOOM at 180 hrs lol. Its rain because the surface is warm but I bet temps crash quickly after that panel. Obviously NOTHING is likely right with details at that range but its pretty pictures none the less. I bet based on what were seeing from the ops this morning that the ensembles spit out some pretty solutions today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 its been 4 years. the 10 day threat is still 10 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: ots yea but given the normal spread of error at that range its plenty close enough to be a legit threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, WestminsterSnowCapitalMA said: its been 4 years. the 10 day threat is still 10 days away. Shush cause in another week it will be 10 months away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Shush cause in another week it will be 10 months away yes but my blueberries are only 3 months away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Icon actually looks like the 6z GFS but with a quicker south transfer... but its the ICON so who cares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: yea but given the normal spread of error at that range its plenty close enough to be a legit threat. The existence of a system that far out is meaningless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: The existence of a system that far out is meaningless. Then why are you complaining about the location of that meaningless existence? Snarkyness aside...the existence of synoptic systems in the general area and of a general type that COULD threaten snow is significant in that it says there is potential. That is it. The more guidance that suggests that the stronger the potential. Seeing a well located trough ridge orientation with some scattered systems in the right area at that time range is all I care about. Seeing a big arse ridge over us would not be good. Getting into it any more then that isnt productive or is just for fun. But you kind of imply that nothing matters at all at that range in which case why are you here looking at it and making comments about it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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