Go Kart Mozart Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 ukie-like at 72hrs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 I'd be stunned if its better....trough is slightly further east, n stream less aggressive. Blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Ray it was 941mb about 100 miles east Of CHH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 941 just S of NS....BEAST! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 At hour 96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Euro is a bit east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, ROOSTA said: 941 just S of NS....BEAST! Whoppe. I'd take 980 over the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, Thunderblizzard said: Euro is a bit east. Precip shield seems farther West, but heavier precip looks East Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 941 just S of NS....BEAST!Its east of CHH by 100 miles right where I want the storm otherwise we change to rain any closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: Precip shield seems farther West, but heavier precip looks East If it looks like this in 12-24 hours, I'm moving on. Not what I wanted to see at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Poured my drink after taking a mile walk with my wife-in -2 conditions. Euro is a let down. Maybe we’ll get better results tomorrow. Even James is 3-6 st best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Precip shield seems farther West, but heavier precip looks East Precip is a little west by a little down around Delmarva/NJ... up here, whole thing is 100% east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Awful, terd of a run....nothing redeeming about it aside from those who derive erotic pleasure from modeled pressure readings that are likely overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Euro whiff nada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Euro seems a bit drunk from New Year's as well. Jackpots SE Delaware/Maryland, and screws New England. Weirdest run I've seen in a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Tomorrow is the last chance as we’ll be in the 72 hour window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Tomorrow is the last chance as we’ll be in the 72 hour window.That is not true, we have to within 24 hours before giving up on this bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Screw this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 At least the Crown Royal is top notch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Its screwed NE because it developed that western lobe faster and it blew its load further sw....then it transfers to what i think is the real storm, further east. Still say that western lobe is BS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: That is not true, we have to within 24 hours before giving up on this bomb Do what you want James, I know it’s dead if it’s not coming back tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: That is not true, we have to within 24 hours before giving up on this bomb Its true....the main synoptic snow shield isn't that close. If it looks like this in 24 hrs, then its over imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Awful, terd of a run....nothing redeeming about aside from those who derive erotic pleasure from modeled pressure readings that are likely overdone. Relax...nobody's attacking you. I'm a thousand miles away a 940mb unto itself is noteworthy. Sorry it doesn't puke the mother-load of a thousand year snows. Wow ,and now I know why I don't post more often. You are pompous and immature! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Euro seems a bit drunk from New Year's as well. Jackpots SE Delaware/Maryland, and screws New England. Weirdest run I've seen in a while Wow, WTF happened there? Like a hot air balloon deflating and crashing down somehow. Anyway Happy New Year!! Would be fitting somehow if Ocean City cashed in but we all choke exhaust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, ROOSTA said: Relax...nobody's attacking you. I'm a thousand miles away a 940mb unto itself is noteworthy. Sorry it doesn't puke the mother-load of a thousand year snows. Wow ,and now I know why I don't post more often. You are pompous and immature! I wasn't directing that at you...sorry. I know how it looked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, ROOSTA said: Relax...nobody's attacking you. I'm a thousand miles away a 940mb unto itself is noteworthy. Sorry it doesn't puke the mother-load of a thousand year snows. Wow ,and now I know why I don't post more often. You are pompous and immature! Cmon Don-I don’t think Ray was aiming at you. You remember the sting of defeat with these don’t you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: Cmon Don-I don’t think Ray was aiming at you. Yeah u remember the sting of defeat with these don’t you? I would have thought that, too....I apologize, Don...I was just pissed. Honestly not directed at you. My fault. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Do what you want James, I know it’s dead if it’s not coming back tomorrow. So if this is a miss. Where do we go after? I know it gets brutal cold in its wake. But are there chances in the pipeline? Or do we thaw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 At this point I think the most likely track is probably a lot closer than most models are showing to southern New England, and it may turn into a huge snowfall event. My reasoning is that indications are already showing up that cyclogenesis has started over the eastern GOMEX and both the northern and chasing energy centers will be drawn in at even faster rates than models are showing. This may explode a low near Hatteras rather than out to sea, and lead to a track straight up the Gulf Stream towards Cape Cod. The various model flirtations with extreme low pressure likely mean that this will deepen to the 950s as early as 3rd near Hatteras and the end result will be a widespread northeast U.S. blizzard. It will slide inland over Maine but highly occluded at that point, and end up in the western Gulf of St Lawrence. When will models show this evolution? Late 1st or early 2nd. This may resemble the Jan 1978 superstorm on a track from east of Florida to Maine instead of Alabama to Lake Huron. I think there's too much energy stored up here, waiting to explode, for some of these OTS scenarios, and the SSTs are anomalously warm on the east coast. It will try to hug the coast long enough to force the flow around it rather than pushing it along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 5 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: At this point I think the most likely track is probably a lot closer than most models are showing to southern New England, and it may turn into a huge snowfall event. My reasoning is that indications are already showing up that cyclogenesis has started over the eastern GOMEX and both the northern and chasing energy centers will be drawn in at even faster rates than models are showing. This may explode a low near Hatteras rather than out to sea, and lead to a track straight up the Gulf Stream towards Cape Cod. The various model flirtations with extreme low pressure likely mean that this will deepen to the 950s as early as 3rd near Hatteras and the end result will be a widespread northeast U.S. blizzard. It will slide inland over Maine but highly occluded at that point, and end up in the western Gulf of St Lawrence. When will models show this evolution? Late 1st or early 2nd. This may resemble the Jan 1978 superstorm on a track from east of Florida to Maine instead of Alabama to Lake Huron. I think there's too much energy stored up here, waiting to explode, for some of these OTS scenarios, and the SSTs are anomalously warm on the east coast. It will try to hug the coast long enough to force the flow around it rather than pushing it along. We'll know in 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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