Bob Chill Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 If you read between the lines i think WxWatcher007 might have reaped himself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Ukie is east, but need precip maps which won't be available for another 30 minutes. Not as bad as I thought it would be, but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I would sooner travel hundreds of miles to find winter than let the knife of MA disappointment slay me. Back on topic: The Ukie isn't just east of 12z, it might as well be on another planet lol. 12z looked way east on Meteocentre.com, but the double barreled structure is what brought the precip west. That was not apparent on the Meteo site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Keep hope alive!! Seriously, you guys have done a great job. I’m back coaching basketball again so I have litttle time for this, but it’s great to be able to quickly read the thoughts of the pros. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: 12z looked way east on Meteocentre.com, but the double barreled structure is what brought the precip west. That was not apparent on the Meteo site. I'm glad, 'cuz it sounded like you and 007 were looking at completely different things there.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 5 minutes ago, wxdude64 said: I'm glad, 'cuz it sounded like you and 007 were looking at completely different things there.... Hey, precip maps will certainly be lighter than 12z, but it's a guess how much lighter. Could be dry if there isn't the double barreled low. The money shot is 108 hours, but Meteocentre.com only has 24 hour increments, so it's not available for another 25 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 I think I know what the problem is. In 13/14 and 14/15 I started all the long range threads. You boys might need me to come out of retirement for the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I think I know what the problem is. In 13/14 and 14/15 I started all the long range threads. You boys might need me to come out of retirement for the next one. Is that your way of saying "throw me the ball?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 If the ukie shows precip anywhere south of CT I'll be very surprised. Gefs lost all outliers. Bone dry on the mean. We can probably fork this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Don’t look at the GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Fair point. I hope I jumped the gun. Given how far east that defined low moved at 00z, I'm not optimistic about the Ukie pushing much precip back into our backyards the region. I mean that low moved a lot and I'm not quite sold yet on a double barreled structure for this event, hit or not. Like I said, it may give us nothing. But for the double low possibility, I would guess just that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, Bob Chill said: If the ukie shows precip anywhere south of CT I'll be very surprised. Gefs lost all outliers. Bone dry on the mean. We can probably fork this one. Funny, remember how the eps showed .1" for 2/3's of the country for 10 days? Guess it was right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 11 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Is that your way of saying "throw me the ball?" Give me the damn ball and get the hell outta the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Ukie a miss. Hits NE. Congrats JI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 12 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Funny, remember how the eps showed .1" for 2/3's of the country for 10 days? Guess it was right. When this cold period showed and looked to last for 10 days we were all like "no way we get no precip for 10 days". And then the 70s walked in the door and said what's up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanTheMan Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: When this cold period showed and looked to last for 10 days we were all like "no way we get no precip for 10 days". And then the 70s walked in the door and said what's up. It snowed last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: When this cold period showed and looked to last for 10 days we were all like "no way we get no precip for 10 days". And then the 70s walked in the door and said what's up. Which winter from the 70s were some of you comparing this to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Which winter from the 70s were some of you comparing this to? All of the cold and dry ones I'm assuming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 6 minutes ago, Cobalt said: All of the cold and dry ones I'm assuming I think it was a specific one someone mentioned but I forget which...whatever it was, it wasn't good! (And I'd be willing to bet it was in a La Niña pattern too, lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 hour ago, Bob Chill said: If you read between the lines i think WxWatcher007 might have reaped himself Time for me to build that snowpile higher than Mt Everest lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Sure, but DCA had .03 precip and BWI had .06. That's not gonna cut it out here if we want to call this a productive snow pattern. Yea, long cold periods rarely have no snow at all. And no, .03 is no longer going to cut it. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Yea, long cold periods rarely have no snow at all. And no, .03 is no longer going to cut it. Lol But, but....ratios! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 18 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Which winter from the 70s were some of you comparing this to? 1976-77 and 1977-78. It was one of those. I have been savoring the cold. I have had beautiful jebwalks the last few days, and tonight I even had some snow to jebwalk in. I had a nice refreshing north breeze, and cool temps to enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 hey that .03 adds up after a while tbh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 10 minutes ago, Jebman said: 1976-77 and 1977-78. It was one of those. I think both would qualify. I do remember 1977 having that epic Buffalo blizzard. Meanwhile we sat cold and dry here. So we are to sit cold and dry until the 'cutter' changes the pattern long enough for us to get a rainstorm then back to cold and dry again....correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 17 minutes ago, Jebman said: 1976-77 and 1977-78. It was one of those. I have been savoring the cold. I have had beautiful jebwalks the last few days, and tonight I even had some snow to jebwalk in. I had a nice refreshing north breeze, and cool temps to enjoy. Yep. It's not that they were snowless because dc got 11 and 22 respectively those 2 years. But the 70s in general did not have big storms. Feb 79 was the only big one of the decade for the most part. Some of the notable cold periods in the 70s didn't feature much snow for whatever reason. The 60s had a lot. The 70s was a nickel and dime decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 I don't know if I'm hallucinating or not, but is the Euro farther West? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 5 minutes ago, Cobalt said: I don't know if I'm hallucinating or not, but is the Euro farther West? yes imagine that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 8 minutes ago, Cobalt said: I don't know if I'm hallucinating or not, but is the Euro farther West? It is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, mitchnick said: It is Maybe GFS/Canadian/Ukie somehow all fell victim to the windshield wiper effect? Maybe? I really hope the Euro is right and the Westward trend marches on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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