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Bob Chill

December 2017 Long Range Disco

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Also take note what LWX said in their AFD... pretty good statement about the Fri potential:

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Upper level troughing will amplify over the Ohio Valley Thursday
into Friday, causing early season cold to plunge southward from the
Arctic towards the Mid-Atlantic. A piece of southern stream energy
will eject into the western Atlantic Ocean Friday, inducing surface
cyclogenesis east of the Carolinas. Current model forecasts tend to
keep this energy sheared out and thus the surface low tracks well
offshore. However, highly meridional (north to south) upper level
flow, with a very strong ridge positioned near 120 W longitude
during this time argues there is room for error in this forecast
track. This time period bears watching in the coming days.

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