SN_Lover Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Tuesday looks interesting on the GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 5 minutes ago, burrel2 said: At 96hrs, the Ukmet has the surface low situated just to the south east of Mobile, Alabama. The GFS has the surface low well off the coast of NC at this time. Still lots to be ironed out here. So yeah it's slower, but sharper than the GFS with the wave over the SE. Looks good if it's cold enough. Sfc low pretty far south there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Who has the black and white Canadian? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, griteater said: So yeah it's slower, but sharper than the GFS with the wave over the SE. Looks good if it's cold enough. Sfc low pretty far south there CMC on the slower side like the UK. Looks warmer from the crap maps I have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, griteater said: Who has the black and white Canadian? These are out now.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Canadian looks like a 3-5 inch event from Charlotte up 85, toward Raleigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 GEM looks a little stronger with the LP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 ^^^ Ahem....Where is the high pressure?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: ^ Ahem....Where is the high pressure?? It's hustling... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: ^^^ Ahem....Where is the high pressure?? Stronger on GEM than on the NAM. 1028-1030 on the panel posted above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, WidreMann said: Stronger on GEM than on the NAM. 1028-1030 on the panel posted above. The main center is still way up in Canada. That might be a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: The main center is still way up in Canada. That might be a problem. If the HP weakens, yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: The main center is still way up in Canada. That might be a problem. We can still have hybrid or in situ. They're not great. But we're not in a situation where the high is scooting off the coast right as the storm comes. It'll be there for the duration, though the main part will be further away than we'd like. I've also seen trends where the NE node of the high gets stronger and stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 So we got a non-March climo-type system, coming in at a weird angle, a high pressure center way up in Canada, super duper warm SSTs, and are in the jackpot snow zone on the clown maps 84 hours out. Oh, and it's mid-March. Lol, I'm going to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, WidreMann said: We can still have hybrid or in situ. They're not great. But we're not in a situation where the high is scooting off the coast right as the storm comes. It'll be there for the duration, though the main part will be further away than we'd like. I've also seen trends where the NE node of the high gets stronger and stronger. That would be what we need here...desperately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, WidreMann said: We can still have hybrid or in situ. They're not great. But we're not in a situation where the high is scooting off the coast right as the storm comes. It'll be there for the duration, though the main part will be further away than we'd like. I've also seen trends where the NE node of the high gets stronger and stronger. Yep, models do tend to underdo the strength of the cold in these setups typically....the 00Z CMC run is a disaster lol... 12Z.....nice Current 00Z...ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: So we got a non-March climo-type system, coming in at a weird angle, a high pressure center way up in Canada, super duper warm SSTs, and are in the jackpot snow zone on the clown maps 84 hours out. Oh, and it's mid-March. Lol, I'm going to bed. Go to bed Cold Rain. You're like a TV Met that uses logic in your forecasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 UKMet has a fairly dynamic looking system running from just SE of Mobile to sub 1000mb well off Hatteras. Don't know how cold it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 The 00z has a weak strung out low, so that causes all sorts of problems, as per usual. It's actually kind of weird watching it just slide out like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 CMC screws me on Sunday but now gives parts of eastern NC 2-3" on Wed.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YetAnotherRDUGuy Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Oh Snap!! RAH has a 60% chance of just plain Snow on Sat night and Sun for my locale, of which also happens to be the dates of Mar 11 and 12. This after every single day in Feb hit 75+ degrees** Boomshakalaka! **this might be an exaggeration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 GFS trends... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 GEFS is tasty. Big mean increase for central NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, Cary_Snow95 said: GEFS is tasty. Big mean increase for central NC yea, gotta be some big dogs in there to have that widespread a mean of 6"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 It's already Thursday. Won't be too much longer before Watches are issued I imagine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 HOLY via other forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 7 minutes ago, Cary_Snow95 said: HOLY via other forum Seen this before.....probably 18 or so of these panels gives MBY 6"+......same thing happened back in Jan and ended up with 8 hrs of 32 and rain and then 10 hrs of light sleet an snizzle for a total of 1.5" of sleet. Still taken in its totality with the other models I actually feel optimistic to see more out of this event than I got back in Jan.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 56 minutes ago, downeastnc said: Seen this before.....probably 18 or so of these panels gives MBY 6"+......same thing happened back in Jan and ended up with 8 hrs of 32 and rain and then 10 hrs of light sleet an snizzle for a total of 1.5" of sleet. Still taken in its totality with the other models I actually feel optimistic to see more out of this event than I got back in Jan.... I was going to say, this is setting up to be just like Jan.7th. All the models showed North Central NC as the bullseye, and then a day or 2 before the storm, it trended North, back towards south central Va. But there are a lot of panels that are in agreement with each other on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Other than the mountains, Euro is a 1 inch event for NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 06Z NAM looks pretty darn good.....temps at the surface are still meh hovering around 32 need that a few degrees colder but at this point realistically a general 1-3" event would be more than any of us should reasonable expect.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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