NEG NAO Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 2 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Temp is up to 73 here now. same here and the winds are really picking up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 "Line" passed through here within the past 10 minutes - just some rain - otherwise a non-event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squid1225 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Can you say...... BUST!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 The line just doesn't have the bite that Saturday had, I think the key for today was to get the sunshine and the warmer temps earlier then we did even though alot of the area has warmed up substantially over the last couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 3 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: The line just doesn't have the bite that Saturday had, I think the key for today was to get the sunshine and the warmer temps earlier then we did even though alot of the area has warmed up substantially over the last couple of hours. Pretty big temp bust as well. 63° here while forecast was for 71°, even Weather Underground had 72° this morning. Needed the sun big time today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 3 minutes ago, Squid1225 said: Can you say...... BUST!!! At least no watch was issued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Just now, JerseyWx said: Pretty big temp bust as well. 63° here while forecast was for 71°, even Weather Underground had 72° this morning. Needed the sun big time today. its low 70s less than 20 miles from you. Always hard to forecast when you're depending on a warm front moving through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
husky0101 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 From SPC: Across central/northern NJ into far southern NY, the atmosphere remains only weakly unstable, and the prospect for an appreciable wind threat north of the current Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains unclear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Yeah, looking at the Wundermap it seems like Northern and Western NJ are the coolest spots in the state, besides the shore of course. LI is in the 50s along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Wind has really kicked up here in the last few minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 It all looks mundane outside of the cells near Cape May County. Oh well, you win some, you lose some. The writing was on the wall two days ago when the models really slowed down the progression of the warm front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Lightning struck a runway at LGA, causing a hole in the runway. wtf. http://gothamist.com/2017/03/01/see_what_god_just_did_to_lga.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 5 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: It all looks mundane outside of the cells near Cape May County. Oh well, you win some, you lose some. The writing was on the wall two days ago when the models really slowed down the progression of the warm front. Nam 4k 1 HRRR - 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: Nam 4k 1 HRRR - 0 Sir, the 4k NAM had nothing, at least the HRRR showed heavier rain showers, which is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 9 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Sir, the 4k NAM had nothing, at least the HRRR showed heavier rain showers, which is correct. those are dying out fast. Best rains were here this AM got about .50. Let's hope for some winds tomorrow...after that's it's boring for awhile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 9 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: those are dying out fast. Best rains were here this AM got about .50. Let's hope for some winds tomorrow...after that's it's boring for awhile Just goes to show you how quickly a great setup can turn completely meh. That's why we very rarely get all the pieces on the table here. The warm front was supposed to come through last night and it was clear on the later runs on Monday that it was going to be delayed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 21 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Sir, the 4k NAM had nothing, at least the HRRR showed heavier rain showers, which is correct. it was incorrect those "heavier" echos seen on the HRRR and the radar flew past me so fast that we ended up with a light shower...........Basically NADA ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Just now, NEG NAO said: it was incorrect those "heavier" echos seen on the HRRR and the radar flew past me so fast that we ended up with a light shower........... Not here, picked up a nice downpour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 That "line" is really movin fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Didnt get a drop of rain here, either at work or at home. (0.00) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Just now, psv88 said: Didnt get a drop of rain here, either at work or at home. The NAM had an area with no rain, but it was too far north. You missed all this AM's action by about 15 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Just now, Brian5671 said: The NAM had an area with no rain, but it was too far north. You missed all this AM's action by about 15 miles let's face it no model is going to be perfect with the precip areas ............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 LOL the sun is now out here and the temp has spiked. Maybe we can get something later. The cold front is still way off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 4 drops of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Even during the summer, it can be tough to get strong to severe storms following a decent round of morning convection. You could see yesterday that the models had several rounds of convection so it wouldn't be the single strong line we got on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 16 minutes ago, bluewave said: Even during the summer, it can be tough to get strong to severe storms following a decent round of morning convection. You could see yesterday that the models had several rounds of convection so it wouldn't be the single strong line we got on Saturday. Yes, I think we need to remember our severe weather climo lol. Maybe 1 out of 10 of these actually work out. More for NJ and the LHV (more like 5 out of 10) and less for Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 12 minutes ago, Paragon said: Yes, I think we need to remember our severe weather climo lol. Maybe 1 out of 10 of these actually work out. More for NJ and the LHV (more like 5 out of 10) and less for Long Island. I can still remember that MDT risk day several years back maybe in June? Debris clouds and some morning convection took away from the afternoon potential that the SPC had highlighted. The opposite of this was Sep 10 where the the afternoon WAA came further north than forecast and NYC got one of their greatest severe outbreaks of all time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 35 minutes ago, bluewave said: Even during the summer, it can be tough to get strong to severe storms following a decent round of morning convection. You could see yesterday that the models had several rounds of convection so it wouldn't be the single strong line we got on Saturday. agree-often with morning rains, it's tough to recover. Especially this early in the year with a few less sunlight hours and heating.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 10 minutes ago, bluewave said: I can still remember that MDT risk day several years back maybe in June? Debris clouds and some morning convection took away from the afternoon potential that the SPC had highlighted. The opposite of this was Sep 10 where the the afternoon WAA came further north than forecast and NYC got one of their greatest severe outbreaks of all time. Was that the one where we had large hail on the south shore? I think that might have been 1994. I saw reports of car dealerships reporting bad damage to their cars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 1 minute ago, Paragon said: Was that the one where we had large hail on the south shore? I think that might have been 1994. I saw reports of car dealerships reporting bad damage to their cars. We didn't get anything during that MDT risk day and there were a bunch of bust posts that caused a dispute in the thread. But the Sep 10 QLCS./Macroburst/tornado pounded the city with not that much here on LI. I was actually out that day and didn't tune into Craig Allen on the car radio until I heard continuous static on the radio and knew something really big was up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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