BIG FROSTY Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 You Guys and Gals stay safe down there, Thoughts and prayers from BF!! My chance may come tonight but hopefully the wedge keeps me out of the severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monsoonman1 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 12 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Wow! I'd heard it was bad down there , but that's very sad!! Wonder if the storms were that powerful or just the location, where it would seem they have more poorly built houses and MH? I'd guess there were significant tornadoes down there, saw a few TDSs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 20 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 800 AM CST Sun Jan 22 2017 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern Alabama The Florida Panhandle Coastal Waters * Effective this Sunday morning and afternoon from 800 AM until 200 PM CST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Convection will continue to develop in a band that will lift slowly northward through the morning into southern Alabama and southwestern Georgia. A few storms in this band will be capable of producing tornadoes, especially later this morning toward southeast Alabama and the eastern Florida Panhandle, where a strong tornado will be possible. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from Marianna FL to 10 miles south of Mobile AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Wow. Last night was really active in GA. Close calls with tornado warned storms in Waycross. Really worried about family in GA this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdgwx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 31 minutes ago, audioguy3107 said: I'm trying to remember the last time there was a high risk issued for this part of the SE? Has there been? Back in March 2008 the high risk area extended from central Georgia into southern SC, but having it this far south and east is unusual to say the least. This low pressure and track is crazy. - Buck I couldn't find another instance for the peninsula of Florida either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Things are ramping up a bit in the W FL Panhandle. Just had a nasty part of a storm move thru with pea size hail, Frequent lightning, & tropical rain. Very concerned about those to the East! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Several warnings across S Georgia right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Hope our own stay safe today and our lone Florida poster and good friend Phil! High risk in Jan is no joke, this is scary. Hodographs coming out of the area are supportive of extremely strong tornadoes. Just impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxFreak11 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Really hoping the sun doesn't come out here in the Charleston area but it looks like skies may clear out somewhat around noontime here. Destabilization is our worst enemy right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 the stuff over the gulf coast is Spreading fresh cloud cover over S GA may cut back on heating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 have to watch that supercell maturing as it moves into the pensacola metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Last high risk for the Florida Panhandle was March 1, 2007 (Enterprise, AL tornado day). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 more details form last night PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 940 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0332 AM TORNADO 1 NW BARNEY 31.02N 83.53W 01/22/2017 BROOKS GA 911 CALL CENTER *** 2 FATAL *** DAMAGE REPORTED IN BROOKS COUNTY WITH DUAL-POL TDS. FATALITIES OCCURRED WHEN A HOUSE WAS DISPLACED ONTO HIGHWAY 122. 0345 AM TORNADO 4 SE ADEL 31.09N 83.38W 01/22/2017 COOK GA EMERGENCY MNGR *** 7 FATAL *** EMS RELAYED REPORT FROM EMERGENCY MANAGER THAT THESE FATALTITIES HAD OCCURRED WITH ONE PERSON STILL MISSING. 0350 AM TORNADO 2 NW NEW LOIS 31.11N 83.29W 01/22/2017 BERRIEN GA LAW ENFORCEMENT *** 2 FATAL *** DAMAGE ALONG OLD LOIS ROAD. LIKELY CONTINUATION OF TORNADO FROM COOK COUNTY. FATALITIES CONFIRMED BY SHERRIF. REPORTED BY WALB-TV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Unlike the webpages of the Jacksonville and Peachtree City offices, nothing on the Tallahassee front page about the high risk. Need to get that high risk map up. Good job, good effort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OUGrad05 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Possibility of too much lift so maybe widespread convection dampens the threat some, this is a potent system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monsoonman1 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Tallahassee radar back up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 44 minutes ago, metalicwx366 said: Wow. Last night was really active in GA. Close calls with tornado warned storms in Waycross. Really worried about family in GA this afternoon. I'll be working (at times) in your old stomping grounds soon CAE...... A warm front will extend through the forecast area ahead of strong low pressure today. Satellite and radar trends support numerous showers and thunderstorms early this morning mainly associated with a mid-level shortwave trough. Shear will be high with h85 wind near 50 knots. Observation trends support increasing instability associated with the low-level southerly flow. The instability will likely remain weak this morning as depicted by the HRRR, but because of the very strong shear severe thunderstorms including tornadoes are possible. The threat should be greater in the southeast section closer to the more unstable air. The high-resolution models support a lull in shower and thunderstorm coverage as this lead mid-level feature lifts northeast of the area later this morning. There will likely be increased coverage this afternoon into the evening just ahead of the upper low. The NAM and GFS are consistent indicating strong instability developing as the cold upper low gets closer to the area. The models display surface-based LI values -5 to -9 with the greatest instability in the east section closer to greater low-level moisture. This instability combined with continued favorable h85 and h25 jet dynamics and a mid-level dry slot supports the potential for supercells ahead of an QLCS. Significant tornadoes (EF2 damage or greater) and large hail will be possible this afternoon and evening. The severe thunderstorm threat should end late tonight as the warm or occluded front shifts north of the forecast area with a loss of surface-based instability. Wrap-around moisture and cold air aloft associated with the upper low supports a continued shower chance with graupel possible. Mixing associated with strong instability forecast today plus the pressure gradient tonight supports a lake wind advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Looks like the TLH radar has come back online. Moody AFB is still out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Christ, I wake up to a high risk, and my Dad is in the middle of it in Daytona Beach, in a camper.... Already talked to him today, he knows where to go to take shelter, etc. They must be taking it very seriously down there. I'm really gonna be glued to everything today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Holy crap! TWC just showed a hi-res model , zeroed in on ATL of course, but from about 5pm-11pm or so, there were some insane looking storms in NGa through the Upstate!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 5 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Holy crap! TWC just showed a hi-res model , zeroed in on ATL of course, but from about 5pm-11pm or so, there were some insane looking storms in NGa through the Upstate!! yeah thats a sneaky 500mb core cold stuff near the low HRRR radar wraps the low up so much it has an eye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Sig on the Okaloosa County FL (Ft Walton, Destin) rotation might be weakening. Can someone take a look for me? My wife is headed to work for a meeting in Mary Esther! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Moot point, but torcon up to 9, to see Forbes do that in GA and FL is just insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, NavarreDon said: Sig on the Okaloosa County FL (Ft Walton, Destin) rotation might be weakening. Can someone take a look for me? My wife is headed to work for a meeting in Mary Esther! Impressive structure but not much showing up on velocity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Just now, SmokeEater said: Impressive structure but not much showing up on velocity. Thank you! If you put that in motion my best guess was there was a waterspout in the gulf that weakened! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monsoonman1 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Saw some pics of a mobile home Park near Adel, GA obliterated from last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Adel GA damage pics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 That cell approaching FWB has two weak areas of rotation, but there's likely a waterspout out there. We'll see if it can consolidate, and if it does it could become a significant tornado producer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monsoonman1 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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