JC-CT Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 Looks fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 57 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The GFS has also trended colder. It has a great 3-4 hr burst from like 9a-12pm give or take. Some of the mesos have had a drier area of QPF over parts of SE MA..maybe because of forcing issues...but I would not worry too much yet. I hope this doesn't keep trending colder into a CJ coastal front configuration. Starting to fear exhaust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 25 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I hope this doesn't keep trending colder into a CJ coastal front configuration. Starting to fear exhaust. No exhaust for you...not in this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 1 hour ago, JC-CT said: I agree. Show us the goods or gtfo. j/k Lol!!! 1 hour ago, JC-CT said: quarter to half inch Nice.....make for great pictures. 1 hour ago, dryslot said: This air mass means business too, After a high of 3°F today, Back down to -2.4°F Nice. We stalled at 10. Clouds encroaching, ftw. I don't like Ray 's exhaust comment. I'm sticking get with the "highest amount" map from BOX showing my 8". And I'm not talking about my avatar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: The cold means business. High of 3F at home today and currently -1F. I'm impressed with a high of 3 degrees on December 16th. Nice. Down to 0* at Pit east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 16, 2016 Author Share Posted December 16, 2016 5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Nice. Down to 0* at Pit east. I'm out right now but local PWS shows 3F at home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No exhaust for you...not in this setup. Looking at the hi res NAM WRF....I think i may be near the sweet spot for cf enhancement.....really wish wxbell had the RGEM. Not sure why they don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looking at the hi res NAM WRF....I think i may be near the sweet spot for cf enhancement.....really wish wxbell had the RGEM. Not sure why they don't. Yeah you should do well esp the final 3 hours or so before the flip. Earlier before that the best cf enhancement will be SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 Anyone have the RGEM output? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looking at the hi res NAM WRF....I think i may be near the sweet spot for cf enhancement.....really wish wxbell had the RGEM. Not sure why they don't. Yeah you will be later on. You will do well I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah you should do well esp the final 3 hours or so before the flip. Earlier the best cf enhancement will be SE. The cf really begins to coalesce when it encroaches on the 128 area....from mid to late AM, so I think I may go to town for a while. Have the RGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Anyone have the RGEM output? Check out tropical tidbits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=rgem®ion=neus&pkg=ref_frzn&runtime=2016121618&fh=22&xpos=0&ypos=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The cf really begins to coalesce when it encroaches on the 128 area....from mid to late AM, so I think I may go to town for a while. Have the RGEM? Too bad this isn't a week from now. CF will be right around the Woburn/Wilmington line for a while with some good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looking at the hi res NAM WRF....I think i may be near the sweet spot for cf enhancement.....really wish wxbell had the RGEM. Not sure why they don't. They do http://models.weatherbell.com/cmc/hrdps_region.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 They dohttp://models.weatherbell.com/cmc/hrdps_region.phpYeah, it's not under mesoscale for some reason. It's with the ggem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 RGEM basically all snow Saturday for many. Cold output! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 I'm thinking about not clearing my driveway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 fairly certain the following opine won't register and/or just irate some ... but, don't be fooled by how cold it was last night and today. granted, this is a unique scenario that may very well succeed in actually 'winning' against a deep layer SW flow (...mainly because we have a weak (but strong enough) secondary...) but, it is possible flip some 50 F in as little as 12 hours given the right circumstance. i know - i've seen it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Yeah, it's not under mesoscale for some reason. It's with the ggem. Its so annoying to find on there....I don't see it. Just the gem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: fairly certain the following opine won't register and/or just irate some ... but, don't be fooled by how cold it was last night and today. granted, this is a unique scenario that may very well succeed in actually 'winning' against a deep layer SW flow (...mainly because we have a weak (but strong enough) secondary...) but, it is possible flip some 50 F in as little as 12 hours given the right circumstance. i know - i've seen it. Who is doubting this? Its been established for days- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I'm thinking about not clearing my driveway. Same...clearing may end up making icier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 Oh yeah, we'll torch John. Sunday morning Toucan Sam will be at my bird feeder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: fairly certain the following opine won't register and/or just irate some ... but, don't be fooled by how cold it was last night and today. granted, this is a unique scenario that may very well succeed in actually 'winning' against a deep layer SW flow (...mainly because we have a weak (but strong enough) secondary...) but, it is possible flip some 50 F in as little as 12 hours given the right circumstance. i know - i've seen it. You've seen it. Lucky! Never had the opportunity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Who is doubting this? Its been established for days- yeeeah, okay - if you say so. the 'music' of the forum isn't conveying that same melody, Ray -come on. it's not a difficult read when when you see a constant stream of 'this cold means business' type content, based on a present thermometer ob - there's no other reason to say things like that other than to believe it has some special resistance to warming. it may - look, i'm not doubting the agreement between the RGEM and NAM ..and the trend of the others. i'm just saying 'in general' it's possible. and should it warm more in the end than presently believed or wanted, there's a dying hope folks won't get grousy about it. word Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 35 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Lol!!! Nice.....make for great pictures. Nice. We stalled at 10. Clouds encroaching, ftw. I don't like Ray 's exhaust comment. I'm sticking get with the "highest amount" map from BOX showing my 8". And I'm not talking about my avatar. Who are you? Pete Bouchard? I think he quoted 9" though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Oh yeah, we'll torch John. Sunday morning Toucan Sam will be at my bird feeder. right - all i dared say is don't be too wooed by the cold now .. .and immediately, this cackle back that's not really even necessitated. oh well - ... having said that, i'm actually wondering if it will at this point...ahahahaha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: You've seen it. Lucky! Never had the opportunity yeah, jokes aside it was in the end of January, 1994 - your favorite winter as memory serves - so yeah, you lived it too I'll try to dig up the charts. i've told this story a half dozen times though so not going to bother doing it again. it's just that seeing a dawn 9 F in light snow end the day as 62 F gales to 50 mph from the S is an experience in short duration change one is not likely to forget. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 The OES event of January 1999 was classic. 12" of fluff vaporized in hours. The best nuke job ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.