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powderfreak

NNE Winter Thread

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Getting some decent bursts with snow showers tonight but obviously they don't last long enough to do much. I am sure the ski areas are collecting nicely again though.

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6 minutes ago, eyewall said:

Getting some decent bursts with snow showers tonight but obviously they don't last long enough to do much. I am sure the ski areas are collecting nicely again though.

Holy crap...didn't notice it till you wrote this.

At least an inch out there in the last hour, mix of graupel or rimed flakes and dendrites.  

The daily snows continue.  It's been like two weeks straight now it seems like.

IMG_4794.GIF

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Quite the squall coming into northern Lamoille County.

I just looked and we've had a trace or more (flakes in the air) on 22 of the last 25 days, including the past 15 days straight.

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A friend is reporting lightning and thunder with this line of squalls as it moved through.

BTV has it covered well.

Wonder if I can see thundersnow for the second time this winter.

Statement as of 10:39 PM EST on February 5, 2017


... A snow squall will affect LaMoille... Caledonia... central
Orleans... central Essex... northeastern Chittenden and northeastern
Washington counties... 

At 1038 PM EST... a snow squall with embedded lightning was along a 
line extending from near Irasburg to near Johnson... and moving east 
at 30 mph.

Locations impacted include... 
Island Pond, Stowe, Underhill, Hardwick, Danville, Morrisville,
Barnet, Wolcott, Calais, Johnson, Eden, Concord, Craftsbury,
Irasburg, Glover, Coventry, Sutton, Walden, Woodbury and Lowell.

* Winds in excess of 35 mph are possible with this squall. 

* Visibilities will drop quickly to less than a mile in this 
squall. 

* Snowfall accumulation of 1 to 2 inches is expected in this snow 
squall. 
 

IMG_4795.GIF

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I got an alert for snow squalls this evening – we’re actually just a bit south of the Special Weather Statement area, but we’ve had a half inch here this far.  Advisory map and text are below:

 

05FEB17E.jpg

 

Special Weather Statement

National Weather Service Burlington VT

1039 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2017

 

VTZ002>008-016-017-060515-

Essex-Caledonia-Western Franklin-Eastern Chittenden-Western

Chittenden-Washington-Eastern Franklin-Orleans-Lamoille-

1039 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2017

 

...A SNOW SQUALL WILL AFFECT LAMOILLE...CALEDONIA...CENTRAL

ORLEANS...CENTRAL ESSEX...NORTHEASTERN CHITTENDEN AND NORTHEASTERN

WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

 

At 1038 PM EST...A snow squall with embedded lightning was along a

line extending from NEAR Irasburg to NEAR Johnson...and moving east

at 30 mph.

 

Locations impacted include...

Island Pond, Stowe, Underhill, Hardwick, Danville, Morrisville,

Barnet, Wolcott, Calais, Johnson, Eden, Concord, Craftsbury,

Irasburg, Glover, Coventry, Sutton, Walden, Woodbury and Lowell.

 

  * winds in excess of 35 mph are possible with this squall.

 

  * visibilities will drop quickly to less than a mile in this

  squall.

 

  * snowfall accumulation of 1 to 2 inches is expected in this snow

  squall.

 

Rapid visibility reduction and potentially icy roads are likely to

produce hazardous driving conditions. travel is not advised during

this snow squall. If you are traveling and encounter adverse winter

driving conditions, reduce speed and make sure headlights are on to

increase the visibility of your vehicle to those around you.

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Event totals: 0.5” Snow/0.02” L.E.

 

There were some large graupel balls (~1/4” in diameter) in the snow that has accumulated thus far.  It looks like there might be some additional snow upstream, so we’ll see if any of that makes it here.

 

05FEB17A.gif

 

Details from the 11:00 P.M. Waterbury observations:

 

New Snow: 0.5 inches

New Liquid: 0.02 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 25.0

Snow Density: 4.0% H2O

Temperature: 31.5 F

Sky: Flurries

Snow at the stake: 6.0 inches

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8 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Pretty sure I saw this guy at Stowe today, haha.  Was loading the Quad and he skied Lower Liftline and for the life of me couldn't figure out why he looked so familiar...then I realized I had just saw this post a couple hours earlier ha.  

The BV sticker gave it away.

 

Ha, yeah, that was Ty.  He actually wasn’t in my coaching group today, but he was out there having fun.  The snow is excellent out there, and tonight’s activity should be a nice addition to freshen surfaces.

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Just had a nice one roll through here but I didn't have a camera ready. 30-40 mph winds accompanied it. No thunder.

Sent from my VS987 using Tapatalk

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I can’t tell if I just happen to be seeing more of these winter advisories because of the alerts on my phone, or we’ve just been having an especially dense stretch of them, but not long after that first Special Weather Statement from last night, another one followed it up with a focus a bit more to the south:

 

06FEB17A.jpg

 

Special Weather Statement

National Weather Service Gray ME

1243 AM EST MON FEB 6 2017

 

MEZ012-013-019>021-NHZ002>004-006-060630-

Southern Oxford-Androscoggin-Interior Cumberland-Southern

Franklin-Kennebec-Northern Grafton-Southern Carroll-Southern

Coos-Northern Carroll-

1243 AM EST MON FEB 6 2017

 

...A SNOW SQUALL WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN KENNEBEC...SOUTHERN

OXFORD...ANDROSCOGGIN...NORTHWESTERN CUMBERLAND...NORTHERN

SAGADAHOC...SOUTH CENTRAL FRANKLIN...SOUTHEASTERN COOS...EAST CENTRAL

GRAFTON AND CARROLL COUNTIES...

 

At 1241 AM EST, a snow squall was located along a line extending

from near Mount Washington to near Livermore Falls in Maine.

Movement was southeast at 45 mph.

 

Locations impacted include...

Lewiston, Conway, Gardiner, Bridgton, Fryeburg, Mechanic Falls,

Bethel, Bethlehem, Lincoln, Moultonborough, Naples, Turner, Ossipee,

Jay, Litchfield, Livermore Falls, Farmingdale, Manchester, Dixfield

and Hallowell.

 

Visibilities will drop quickly to less than a quarter of a mile in

this squall. A quick inch of snow is possible.

 

Use extra caution if you must travel into or through this snow

squall. Rapid changes in visibility and potentially slick roads are

likely to lead to accidents. Consider delaying travel until the

squall passes your location.

 

I caught another radar grab from last night when the heavier echoes reached our area:

 

06FEB17A.gif

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Event totals: 1.6” Snow/0.05” L.E.

 

The overnight period brought an additional 1.1” of snow, and it looks like that should do it for this most recent Clipper system based on the forecast and related discussion.

 

Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations:

 

New Snow: 1.1 inches

New Liquid: 0.03 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 36.7

Snow Density: 2.7% H2O

Temperature: 13.3 F

Sky: Partly Cloudy

Snow at the stake: 7.0 inches

 

There’s no rest for the weary in this active pattern though – it looks like the next potential for snow is later today.  On the models it almost seems as though the early bout of precipitation blends right in with the more potent midweek system, but I’ll keep them as individual events if anything happens with the first one in our area and there’s enough demarcation to separate the events.

 

Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Burlington VT

638 AM EST Mon Feb 6 2017

 

.SYNOPSIS...

Light snow will move into the region later today and tonight as

a weak trough of low pressure passes to our north. Amounts will

generally be an inch or less. A more potent system moves into

the region late Tuesday into Wednesday.

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The CPV Morale Crusher is nearly upon us. Looks like 1-2 inches on the front end followed by misery. The pattern doesn't look helpful thereafter.

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2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

5.5" at High Road Stake 3000ft.

3.0" at 1,500ft.

Per coworker.  That's close to 50" now in 14 days at 3kft.  Probably more at 4kft.

No. What was at 4k blew down to 3k. 

 

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9 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Nice. Was up on the Kanc yesterday. Wife and I did the Boulder Loop Trail. Decent snow, but didn't need the snowshoes.

Tied on the racquets Saturday, as I figured the crust under the trees wouldn't support my ample biomass without them - first time in 2 years as last "winter" never had sufficient pack.  The little snowfall of 2/1 had settled/sublimed to under 1" so my wood snowshoes (w/o teeth/spikes) slid on the crust when much slope was encountered.  Scads of bunny tracks, some deer use from shortly after the Jan 24 sleetfest, before the cold firmed things up so they could stay atop, and some of the biggest fisher tracks I've ever seen - almost as big as coyote prints but with the classic mustelid staggered-feet pattern.

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1 hour ago, adk said:

No. What was at 4k blew down to 3k. 

 

Haha.  I was surprised once I got up there... I was thinking based on your early morning skin something was wrong but it did nuke last night.  I think daylight and sunshine and ability to wander around instead of one lap makes for a different look at the mountain.

Hayride had a ton of snow on it.  It was like full on pow day in the woods.

 

 

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Just now, powderfreak said:

Haha.  I was surprised once I got up there... I was thinking based on your early morning skin something was wrong but it did nuke last night.  I think daylight and sunshine and ability to wander around instead of one lap makes for a different look at the mountain.

Hayride had a ton of snow on it.  It was like full on pow day in the woods.

 

 

It also had a perfect sunrise and pow cloud on it.....B)B)

 

 

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11 minutes ago, adk said:

It also had a perfect sunrise and pow cloud on it.....B)B)

 

 

Haha yeah I bet it was beautiful.

I was surprised the snow completely covered and filled in all weekend tracks.  Wind might have done some of it but I didn't see as much scouring and drifting as I was expecting.  It was pretty uniform in the trees and on the Front Four terrain.

I do think this is one of the oddest winters now in how well the mountains are doing vs. the Champlain Valley.  I mean elevation is one thing, but to have probably around 80" on the ground now at the Stake and bare ground 10 miles east in the Valley is pretty crazy.  Talk about a gradient.

IMG_4801_zpsv7l5925y.jpg

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2017-02-06_141959.gif

2017-02-06_142019.gif

 

@OceanStWx Looks like something is wrong with the calculations for this product.  The percent chance of > 4" for ash is 0% on top chart and the chance for 4-6" is 29% on the bottom for example. 

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2 minutes ago, bobbutts said:

 

@OceanStWx Looks like something is wrong with the calculations for this product.  The percent chance of > 4" for ash is 0% on top chart and the chance for 4-6" is 29% on the bottom for example. 

Looks like you might have hit us right in the middle of the website updating. I see 0% for both now.

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5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Looks like you might have hit us right in the middle of the website updating. I see 0% for both now.

Yup, once I refreshed now they match up!

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4 minutes ago, J.Spin said:

The BTV NWS has their advisory and projected accumulations maps up, and I’ve added them below.  The Winter Weather Advisory text for eastern Vermont suggests accumulations generally in the 1 to 3-inch range with the potential for a bit more in some areas.

 

06FEB17B.jpg

 

06FEB17C.jpg

 

Essentially a non-event here. NEXT! ;)

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Nice mid-winter snow the past couple hours.  Small flakes but a couple tenths down and reduced visibilities with snow covered roads again. 

Drove from Stowe to Johnson and back just now and it feels like pure winter with snow flying in the headlights and only tire tracks showing bare pavement.  Hyde Park area definitely seemed to have a little bit more snow, especially Stagecoach Road on Stowe/Morrisvile/Hyde Park area at 1,000ft.

This is what day 16 in a row or something with snow?

Feb_6.gif

 

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