hawkeye_wx Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 We are several degrees warmer this morning than yesterday morning(only reached upper 30s this morning), but somehow we ended up with frost at least as thick. I hope my plants did not take a hit after putting in all the work covering/uncovering them yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slimjim101 Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 Hi everyone I am a newbie here. I live just NW of Grand Rapids, MI and I will be dropping a line or two once in a while. I am not much of a forecaster but I like weather history and really enjoy record breaking events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 2 hours ago, slimjim101 said: Hi everyone I am a newbie here. I live just NW of Grand Rapids, MI and I will be dropping a line or two once in a while. I am not much of a forecaster but I like weather history and really enjoy record breaking events There are a few of us in the area. Welcome to the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 12Z GFS shows first flakes on the 29th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 25 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: 12Z GFS shows first flakes on the 29th. Fantasyland, wouldn't count on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 2 hours ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: 12Z GFS shows first flakes on the 29th. Nah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 Hit 31F at my house. Frozen puddles on elevated surfaces. October 14th is right on time. Called this one about 8 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 On 10/7/2016 at 9:21 AM, Jonger said: My typical first freeze in mid October, it might not happen on time. Thursday is the biggest threat for that, but that's iffy. Thursday night verified. 7 days out. Low of 31 at my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 15 days out. Way outside the confidence range, but something for us weenies to follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 2 years ago 6" on Halloween, and it never left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 35 again this morning, but unlike yesterday morning there were patches of frost in the yard, and on other surfaces. Geos is probably loving the big storm moving into the NW tomorrow. Looks like 60+mph winds on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 Flirting with record warmth on Monday. Looks like starting Sunday we string together a few days in the 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 15, 2016 Author Share Posted October 15, 2016 I had to look up FWA's record for Monday after reading this since my point is calling for 84°. 10/16 84° (1963) 10/17 95° (1910) 10/18 86° (1908) ANY other day from the second week of the month on and we would be flirting with a record, but it ain't happening here. It's going to be very windy though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 12 hours ago, weatherbo said: 2 years ago 6" on Halloween, and it never left. the stuff of nightmares and depression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 3 hours ago, IWXwx said: I had to look up FWA's record for Monday after reading this since my point is calling for 84°. 10/16 84° (1963) 10/17 95° (1910) 10/18 86° (1908) ANY other day from the second week of the month on and we would be flirting with a record, but it ain't happening here. It's going to be very windy though. That is absolutely INSANE! Upper 90s in late October?! Nutso. Record here is 87 in 1950, it's very much in play. Heavy mist and fog, love this weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: the stuff of nightmares and depression Ok dramatic. Wind has been howling the past 15 hours or so. The power has flickered a few times but I'm wondering if it's from falling leaves. I'd estimate trees to be 80% bare here. Near 60 to the mid 60's for highs the next few days... already getting started on winter '17-'18's firewood stockpile! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slimjim101 Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 15 hours ago, Jonger said: Hit 31F at my house. Frozen puddles on elevated surfaces. October 14th is right on time. Called this one about 8 days ago. I had a low of 33° at my house (36° at GRR) while I did have a frost still have not had a freeze yet The color on the trees here is a little behind what it has been the past few years. We will have to see if it catches up or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 The moist, low 60s air this morning feels great after the frosty 30s of the last two mornings. DVN has us up to 83 Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 In addition to the unseasonable warmth on Monday, NAM/GFS also have dewpoints in the mid/upper 60s all the way to northern Wisconsin. Pretty impressive for this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 28 minutes ago, Hoosier said: In addition to the unseasonable warmth on Monday, NAM/GFS also have dewpoints in the mid/upper 60s all the way to northern Wisconsin. Pretty impressive for this time of year. I think the more impressive thing is that it will come without severe weather. Most of the times we get that much moisture this far north this time of year, it doesn't leave quietly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoveSN+ Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 NWS has me down for 87 on Monday. Wondering if we'll be able to over achieve and hit 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 Monday Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 81. Southwest wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Tuesday Partly sunny, with a high near 79. I mean what is this, late August? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 15, 2016 Author Share Posted October 15, 2016 1 hour ago, Stebo said: I think the more impressive thing is that it will come without severe weather. Most of the times we get that much moisture this far north this time of year, it doesn't leave quietly. This. Our chance for a second season severe event is going to go to waste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 2 minutes ago, IWXwx said: This. Our chance for a second season severe event is going to go to waste. Considering how quickly we have been recovering lately, case in point here this morning it was 45/43 when I got in and right now it is 70/59. I think we will still have chances, to be honest the pattern we have been is more similar to September than October. I think once the pattern buckles a bit more and we get more amplitude in the pattern something will go. Usually these years where you are transitioning into a Nina come with something very significant in the fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 1 hour ago, Stebo said: I think the more impressive thing is that it will come without severe weather. Most of the times we get that much moisture this far north this time of year, it doesn't leave quietly. Agree. We would've been in business if the original GFS type solution (more amplification) panned out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 8 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Agree. We would've been in business if the original GFS type solution (more amplification) panned out. Yeah for sure, places being 80/65 would have been golden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 Just awesome weather for October. Even the "cold" days haven't been bad at all (as they were also Sunny). No complaints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 Breezy, with mid 70s today. Leaves have really changed in the past few days. The cold mornings must have helped. DVN has point at 84 for Mon. Overall a very benign weather pattern though. Hope we can get something interesting before the month is out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 9 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Breezy, with mid 70s today. Leaves have really changed in the past few days. The cold mornings must have helped. DVN has point at 84 for Mon. Overall a very benign weather pattern though. Hope we can get something interesting before the month is out. Last I heard, we're about 2-3 weeks behind schedule in terms of color change here. While the late September ULL and the brief cold shots have led to some trees turning yellow and orange, there's still quite a bit of green out there. The sunny days and the warmth (not to mention the 7-9" of rain that fell over the city with that ULL at the end of September) have really helped with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 And this is with extensive cloud cover tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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