bluewave Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Beautiful..Hopefully, we can squeeze another normal to above normal snowfall winter out of this pattern. NYC is currently at 12 out of the last 16 winters with near to above normal seasonal snowfall. Would be great if we could extend the streak to 13 out of 17 next winter. The only 4 duds since 2000 were 01-02, 06-07, 07-08, and 11-12. https://alaskapacificblob.wordpress.com/2016/02/09/subsurface-warmth-persists/ Looking at the 100-200m layer, it’s remarkable to see that the region of warm water in the northeast Pacific actually increasedslightly in size and intensity from October to January. The anomaly is slightly east of the NPM center-of-action of 45°N/150°W, but nevertheless it’s clear that “the Blob” lives on under the surface. The two images below show vertical cross-sections of temperature anomaly from 0-400m depth along 45°N for October and January. It’s rather fascinating to see how shallow the warm layer of water was in October across the north-central North Pacific (south of the Aleutians), but the warm anomaly in the northeast Pacific is very much deeper. Consequently the shallow warm anomaly was easily wiped out by surface cooling and mixing during the early winter, but the deep eastern anomaly remains largely intact. In conclusion, although the positive NPM phase is gone for now, the major thermal anomaly associated with “the Blob” is still very much in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Winter is far from over after the warm up starting next week - the same pattern that delivered arctic cold last month and this month will set up again in later Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 So I purchased storm vista platinum package cause I was tired of waiting 2 hours for wxbell to load frames.. Can someone with SV please explain why certain frame types like snow total isn't offered on all models.. For example the CMC doesn't have a snow total option Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Can we please refrain from telling posters what to analyze and name calling? The immaturity is very annoying to see on a science-based bord. This isn't elementary school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 someone from ulster county is starting to get desperate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 someone from ulster county is starting to get desperate Calm down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 why don't you post about the 16th storm going east 47 more times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 why don't you post about the 16th storm going east 47 more times why do u care? Lol.. Other than to stir the pot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CiBill Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 lol, the NYC Metro forum, the only forum where half of a thread is about fights over whether or not someone gets 2 inches or 3. Why are we the only forum to constantly be in fight mode? The MidAtl forum barely gets anything on average and they seem to be pretty calm with each other... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Remember how all the models showed the blizzard being nothing more than a few inches... Was I on here trolling all the city folks, even as every model EXCEPT the nam showed a crap storm?, no I continued to be confident In a snowy solution for you guys, and support you, even tho I wasn't getting a single flake lol I think it's a little poor taste that following this storm closely which has the potential to be my snowiest/icy storm of the year if it comes east has yielded so much pissy posts towards me and trolls posts for a-holes that are def gonna rain.. Poor taste Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Remember how all the models showed the blizzard being nothing more than a few inches... Was I on here trolling all the city folks, even as every model EXCEPT the nam showed a crap storm?, no I continued to be confident In a snowy solution for you guys, and support you, even tho I wasn't getting a single flake lol I think it's a little poor taste that following this storm closely which has the potential to be my snowiest/icy storm of the year if it comes east has yielded so much pissy posts towards me and trolls posts for a-holes that are def gonna rain.. Poor taste We get you're frustrated but I don't think anyone's trolling you. I think most would like to see the interior cash in, especially if its a rain event for the city either way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 We get you're frustrated but I don't think anyone's trolling you. I think most would like to see the interior cash in, especially if its a rain event for the city either way The posts were deleted already, trust me it's trolling lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Remember how all the models showed the blizzard being nothing more than a few inches... Was I on here trolling all the city folks, even as every model EXCEPT the nam showed a crap storm?, no I continued to be confident In a snowy solution for you guys, and support you, even tho I wasn't getting a single flake lol I think it's a little poor taste that following this storm closely which has the potential to be my snowiest/icy storm of the year if it comes east has yielded so much pissy posts towards me and trolls posts for a-holes that are def gonna rain.. Poor taste Hey man I for one would not mind you guys getting dumped on while we snow to rain. It's been a long time for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Remember how all the models showed the blizzard being nothing more than a few inches... Was I on here trolling all the city folks, even as every model EXCEPT the nam showed a crap storm?, no I continued to be confident In a snowy solution for you guys, and support you, even tho I wasn't getting a single flake lol I think it's a little poor taste that following this storm closely which has the potential to be my snowiest/icy storm of the year if it comes east has yielded so much pissy posts towards me and trolls posts for a-holes that are def gonna rain.. Poor taste What you don't seem to understand is that's called wishcasting and not scientific reasoning. Show me something in the pattern that supports the system tracking further East and I'll shut up. Statements such as, "well other storms shifted East" or "Remember what happened with the blizzard" are completely irrelevant. You have a kicker moving through the lakes and you still can't get it done. That should tell you something. If not for that pig ridge, the system would probably end up well OTS and we would be praying for a phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 lol, the NYC Metro forum, the only forum where half of a thread is about fights over whether or not someone gets 2 inches or 3. Why are we the only forum to constantly be in fight mode? The MidAtl forum barely gets anything on average and they seem to be pretty calm with each other... They accept reality that they don't get much in the way of snow.. in my opinion from viewing for many years, people tend to talk about there own areas a while lot, leading to confusing and then fights...if it doesn't show snow in there yard they post it's worse,winter over,etc... Needs to be more towards the general area and yes, talking about some areas doing better then others is great for discussions! But, you can't change people who post like that sadly..but the name calling, storm bashing etc is something that can be controlled... My motto, don't live and die with every model run etc. Don't give up until the storms started, just enjoy the storm till its over look for the next big threat!. and...anything can and will happen.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 someone from ulster county is starting to get desperateI would too if I was in his situation. We got the blizzard so we're fine but alot of the hudson valley in the single digits with regards to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 I would too if I was in his situation. We got the blizzard so we're fine but alot of the hudson valley in the single digits with regards to snow. Sadly, seems to be a new thing over past several years, we see more then them... dunno why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Sadly, seems to be a new thing over past several years, we see more then them... dunno why That's part of the reason why I don't think this will end up as a snow interior, rain coast outcome. He can't buy a good snowstorm up there. Either he starts as snow and flips to rain or he's all rain like most of the rest of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Sadly, seems to be a new thing over past several years, we see more then them... dunno whyHonestly I think we just been lucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Sadly, seems to be a new thing over past several years, we see more then them... dunno why The storm track favors the warmer gulf stream so storms are staying over the ocean and not hugging the coasting or coming inland like in the past. The interior has to rely on cutters but then they get snow to rain instead of 1-2 feet of snow like in the most winters in the 90s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CiBill Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Honestly I think we just been lucky Well, they get a lot more t-storms than us here, so they're lucky in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 What you don't seem to understand is that's called wishcasting and not scientific reasoning. Show me something in the pattern that supports the system tracking further East and I'll shut up. Statements such as, "well other storms shifted East" or "Remember what happened with the blizzard" are completely irrelevant. You have a kicker moving through the lakes and you still can't get it done. That should tell you something. If not for that pig ridge, the system would probably end up well OTS and we would be praying for a phase. So explain to me how saying "upstate NY" sees a lot of snow... Warranted a pissy response.. About how it has nothing to do with Nyc metro.. I'll be sure to monitor your posts to ensure you never mention another area other than NYC metro again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Sadly, seems to be a new thing over past several years, we see more then them... dunno why This is not true lol... I was above average last season.. And the season prior with a seasonal average of 50+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Why don't we talk about and explain why the storm could go inland or, possibly be east... Would be better then name calling,bashing, arguing don't you think? Poor rjay and bxengine have more gray hairs because of all of us being childish fast too often lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Well, they get a lot more t-storms than us here, so they're lucky in that. They don't have to worry about the marine layer killing the tstorms like here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 This is not true lol... I was above average last season.. And the season prior with a seasonal average of 50+ Ok fine, your above, average whatever. It was an observation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Ok fine, your above, average whatever. It was an observation When was the last time you hit 50+ inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CiBill Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 They don't have to worry about the marine layer killing the tstorms like here. Yep. It's so darn irritating to watch them get slammed by storms over and over again, and then see how a huge storm nearing us just evaporates into thin air or suddenly turn north and hit CT, even though we have plenty of instability. You get teased so badly by all the posts about how "huge hail is falling" and the lightning flashes in the distance, and then it just never comes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 When was the last time you hit 50+ inches? Blizzard alone last February,had 31" so I'm going say last winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 When was the last time you hit 50+ inches?Last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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