mitchnick Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Thats awesome. VDOT **** the bed on this storm for sure. NOVA is a hell of a mess.Much more road to cover in the rural locations so that makes it harder even if you had received what we got. But some decent melting and shrinkage of the snow thanks to the sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Temps at 10-50 mb are rising from the displacement of the pv, so I agree it will help even if we can't get that persistent sucker to split. HM doesnt think it splits either, more like tilted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 guess euro contradicts that Contradicts? No. Euro shows some potential. Model guidance is just that- a guide. Not a forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Surprisingly, after 29", our roads are in pretty good shape. By Tuesday, if not later tomorrow, we should be good to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Psu- things are starting to look pretty good in ensemble land after the first 3-4 days of Feb. Starting to get that +pna/-epo/-ao look on the means. We should have some shots if things go down like that. Agree Bob Feb looks active again after a little break and after 20-35" Dc to Balt PHL ABE to NYC we need a couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 HECS come in bunches. Let's do another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 No I want the NAM on board And after the Nam is onboard then SEREF and HARR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Man, if that trof axis was farther west on the 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Eps mean precip is .45 give or take. Some of the members drop a foot on areas that just got 3 feet. Lol. I'll pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Man, if that trof axis was farther west on the 18z GFS Big jump closer to the coast than 12z...*nervously awaiting ensembles* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 18z GFS: Trough just a little bit too far east, northern branch kicks it out to sea. But it's not far from coming up the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Big jump closer to the coast than 12z...*nervously awaiting ensembles* yeah, was just doing the comparison loop and from 0z to now, it keeps moving closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Contradicts? No. Euro shows some potential. Model guidance is just that- a guide. Not a forecast. very true, we get a couple of inches, however i do give way to your experience Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Big jump closer to the coast than 12z...*nervously awaiting ensembles* pass on what you find , please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 pass on what you find , please Lol- you don't need to ask. I have plenty of issues but not posting snow chances isn't one of them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I havent heard anything about the 00z Para EURO, did it show anything? It picked up on yesterdays storm b4 the OP I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Lol- you don't need to ask. I have plenty of issues but not posting snow chances isn't one of them ty bob!! lol!! dont we all !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I havent heard anything about the 00z Para EURO, did it show anything? It picked up on yesterdays storm b4 the OP I believe got a link for that, i have everything else, ty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Lol- you don't need to ask. I have plenty of issues but not posting snow chances isn't one of them at D9 GFS continues to have that look like we had for this storm, but the s/w doesnt progress east it look like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 There's a nice HP, but the energy takes way too long it looks like. EURO is completely wrapped up with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I've been on board for a good February for months now. The blocking we were all hoping for established itself nicely. Now we'll probably see periods of relax and return IMO. Winter ain't over yet Also--threepeat baby. Climo+. We're on a heater. I've been on the late show for months now. I've also said that anything before Jan 15 was house money, so I guess the blizzard is cash for savings. I honestly think we see another two or three storms that have a real chance at dropping 12"+ in favored areas, and even in the corridor. I'd say that we get the last shot at it around the March 5-10 period. Plenty of time left before we start to enjoy spring. Boom or bust. We do it well, and the juiced Nino is only adding to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 There's a nice HP, but the energy takes way too long it looks like. EURO is completely wrapped up with it. 1043. Euro was that cut off and slow with the s/w? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Some stout CAD on the GFS at D10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 1043. Euro was that cut off and slow with the s/w? 216 hr EURO btw on the ecmwf.int the EURO comes out at 2pm/2am everyday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Some stout CAD on the GFS at D10It snows on us at some point before 237 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 However there is 1032 HP in SE Canada, but it gets beat down on the LR EURO....don't really trust the euro right now anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Some stout CAD on the GFS at D10 Keep an eye on the confluence. EPS and gfs have been upping that as we move forward. I personally don't think there is much chance at the digital storm going under us but a wedged in cold hp could give us a front ender. We should have plenty of snow on the ground still by then after the thurs/fri deal freshens things up. Snow on snow on snow. It's how we're gonna roll. Blizzards make weenies overly optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Multiple runs in a row the GFS showing strong HP in a great spot....Even if a low is sent inland, we could get thumped. EURO OP is way too far inland of course though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 240 hrs total snow http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2016012418&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=264 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 240 hrs total snow http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2016012418&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=264 lol !! amazing !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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