Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 wut?anyways in good news dept Euro ens mean is 4-8 across Ct not Ryans .5 for the next threat , lets hope that holds or even builds. One storm at a time this year, volatility was the call. More good news new GFS para is pretty stout with the ULL snows , at least a couple of inches, man heckuva a classic text book PWM INVT too, That sig has been there for a long way out (Debbies will doubt but its been there in some shape or form) Hope you are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 This is how i read And in the more good news dept, Euro ens have another threat at the end of the 14-15 day period which Ens wise drops even more snow across New England, by the end of 15 days there is 12-18 across NNE and a good 5-10 across SNE according to Euro ens means that is. In fact the best look snow wise of this season. so people want to say there is nothing to look forward to are basing it on emotions not Ens forecasting. this is what it shows just reporting and this is not for the MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Hope you are right. Its not my forecast, its what the model shows so hope the modeling is right. I wouldn't bust Rays balls just yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Yea 32-38ish is now el torcho, thats what Euro Ens and GEFS have have, just saying. And we get accused of hyping cold, lol hyping? not really. just trying to infer a little bit based on the look. the return of the +ao/nao and flatter conus flow is likely going to mean AN. i don't really think that's hype. nothing in what i wrote implied it's going to last til May...but seems fair chance milder times are coming to close out the month / start off february. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 Its not my forecast, its what the model shows so hope the modeling is right. I wouldn't bust Rays balls just yet I didn't at all. He seems very confident in the face of what guidance is showing us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 hyping? not really. just trying to infer a little bit based on the look. the return of the +ao/nao and flatter conus flow is likely going to mean AN. i don't really think that's hype. nothing in what i wrote implied it's going to last til May...but seems fair chance milder times are coming to close out the month / start off february. El torcho in the headlines dude , your column was excellent but cmon really be honest. I agree with the pattern relax but certainly would never refer to that as #eltorcho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 El torcho in the headlines dude , your column was excellent but cmon really be honest. I agree with the pattern relax but certainly would never refer to that as #eltorcho. el torcho was just a joke that ryan made back in early DEC. who cares? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 This place lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 el torcho was just a joke that ryan made back in early DEC. who cares? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 el torcho was just a joke that ryan made back in early DEC. who cares? lol Seems like someone in Moosup is taking his lack of snow personally. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Seems like someone in Moosup is taking his lack of snow personally. Yikes. :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Seems like someone in Moosup is taking his lack of snow personally. Yikes. Not boring? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Meanwhile Ray says his outlook on track . #ninoheater It is. We aren't even into the second half of January yet. What is wrong with you? Some neurotic disorder in which you are inclined to attack those who tell you that you will get snow until it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Not boring? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 It is. We aren't even into the second half of January yet. What is wrong with you? Some neurotic disorder in which you are inclined to attack those who tell you that you will get snow until it happens. Attack? Take it off the rack if its whack, put it back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Some of these a$$ clowns getting on me now are going to be the same ones hounding people to interpret models for them.next weekend. Then if we get 15", its all of sudden "great job", even though I have already nailed that patter thus far....and I do mean, absolutely nailed. Sorry we got porked by unfortunate spacing of shortwaves. Jesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Anthony Masiello @antmasiello 1m1 minute ago Anthony Masiello Retweeted Anthony Masiello This can be posted now again. Late Jan into early Feb looking warm. No no normal temps... Eps is very warm in the 11-15 day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 How did we go from normal temps this morning for end of Jan/early Feb..to winter ending and torch this afternoon? Was there that big of flip on the ensembles? Because you where having a hard time understanding stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Some of these a$$ clowns getting on me now are going to be the same ones hounding people to interpret models for them.next weekend. Then if we get 15", its all of sudden "great job", even though I have already nailed that patter thus far....and I do mean, absolutely nailed. Sorry we got porked by unfortunate spacing of shortwaves. Jesus. Relax man its all good, when you are out there in the public you are going to get it from all angles. At least you are doing it without hype unlike some who get paid to do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 No no normal temps... Eps is very warm in the 11-15 day I think this was posted 4 times now but thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Relax man its all good, when you are out there in the public you are going to get it from all angles. At least you are doing it without hype unlike some who get paid to do it. I'm relaxed.....but some people wonder why 90% of the board population sits on their hands come outlook time. I'm only predicting normal snowfall, which still has a very good shot of verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I'm relaxed.....but some people wonder why 90% of the populations sits on their hands come outlook time. I'm only predicting normal snowfall, which still has a very good shot of verifying. Its Jan 13th, Ryan cancelled winter, hes whacking to Hodographs already. Can't make it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Actually I'm wondering if Alex has any influence on this pattern reversal. Looks to be heading toward the eastern arctic in the long range.Maybe Maybe Tip will give us a long dissertation on how this will change the upper air patterns leading to a full scale blizzard within the next 10 days, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Its Jan 13th, Ryan cancelled winter, hes whacking to Hodographs already. Can't make it up I didn't cancel winter and I also didn't make a long term forecast - I honestly could care less what happens beyond D7. I'd like a snowstorm - and this period certainly had a whole lot of potential but we've gotten screwed so far. What can you do. Sitting here and posting about how great things are/look just is weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Maybe Tip will give us a long dissertation on how this will change the upper air patterns leading to a full scale blizzard within the next 10 days, lol. Haha maybe. In all seriousness though has anyone put any thought into how the remnants of a hurricane moving into the high latitudes, might affect the pattern. I mean that's gonna be one hell of a storm. Maybe it's nothing. I don't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Its Jan 13th, Ryan cancelled winter, hes whacking to Hodographs already. Can't make it up If I fail miserably the second half, I will be the first one to admit it and congratulate those like Kevin. But that time is nowhere near here.....that is what irritates me. I have a hard time calling the outlook a failure because three SWs were out of sync when we have yet to even start the official second half. If we haven't scored within a month, sure....doubt away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 If I fail miserably the second half, I will be the first one to admit it and congratulate those like Kevin. But that time is nowhere near here.....that is what irritates me. I have a hard time calling the outlook a failure because three SWs were out of sync when we have yet to even start the official second half. If we haven't scored within a month, sure....doubt away. alert GFS 12Z para http://mageval.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=207ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_207_precip_p48.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=precip_p48&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20160114+12+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 What the hell is the para GFS? We just got a new version of it. You weenies and your para's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 What the hell is the para GFS? We just got a new version of it. You weenies and your para's. Weenies? actually the link was posted by a pro? http://mageval.ncep.noaa.gov/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Wow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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